3812 Rigolette Rd · Alexandria, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 98.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$63,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
INVESTORS WELCOME! Home is partly slab, partly raised. 2 BR, 1 BA in raised part. 3BR, 2BA on slab. Inground pool in back yard on almost an acre in rural, desirable area.
Key facts
- Rural area
- Inground pool
- 0.85 acre lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $665 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $56k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.9% vs local median 4.9% in Alexandria — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#160 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Rapides Parish (urban): math 29% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #31 of 98 in LA (top 32%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 239 active listings in the ZIP; 239 units permitted in Rapides Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $439 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Rapides County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 137 days — a 12% lower offer ($56k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $50k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 98% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 137 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.15% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.92%
- DSCR
- 3.00
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $303,212
- List price
- $63,500
- Delta
- -79.06%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 42.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $32,100
- Equity at exit
- $9,468
- IRR
- 48.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.64×
- Total profit
- $82,548
- Equity at exit
- $5,490
Cash invested: $17,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71360
- Home prices YoY
- -26.9%
- Active inventory
- 239
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,364 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$333
- Tax from tax record
- −$53 /mo · $631/yr
- Insurance
- −$26
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $665
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $15,875
- Closing costs
- $1,905
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $63,500 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $63,500 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $63,500 Active 135 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $63,500 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $63,500 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $63,500 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $63,500 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $63,500 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $63,500 Active 127 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $63,500 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $63,500 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $63,500 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $63,500 Active 120 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $63,500 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $63,500 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $63,500 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-03-02price $63,500 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
INVESTORS WELCOME! Home is partly slab, partly raised. 2 BR, 1 BA in raised part. 3BR, 2BA on slab. Inground pool in back yard on almost an acre in rural, desirable area.
-
2026-02-01$67,000 Active 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
INVESTORS WELCOME! Home is partly slab, partly raised. 2 BR, 1 BA in raised part. 3BR, 2BA on slab. Inground pool in back yard on almost an acre in rural, desirable area.
-
2023-06-09soldstatus $50,000
-
2022-08-22$54,900
-
2021-09-07$19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $631 · $53/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $631 · $53/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 98% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,368
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,557
- − Property taxes
- −$631
- − Insurance
- −$318
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,309
- − Management
- −$1,309
- − Depreciation
- −$1,847
- Taxable income
- $7,396
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,775
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,211/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rapides Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201290
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -29.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,057
- Composite
- 30.68/100
- National rank
- #6179
- State rank
- #31 of 98 in LA
Livability — Alexandria
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #160
- US rank
- #13698
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Rapides Parish · 59,791 people
- City population
- 25,138
- Metro
- Alexandria, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,653
- Household income
- $60,527
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 960.0
Population outlook (Rapides County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 133,047 people
- By 2030
- 132,333 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 129,355 · -2.8%
- By 2050
- 124,535 · -6.4%
- By 2075
- 110,338 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 88,641 · -33.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 71% Black 19% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Rapides
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+36.8) · D 31.0% · R 67.7% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.1pp toward R · 2008: -28.7pp · 2024: -36.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+36.8 2020: R+32.1 2016: R+32.5 2012: R+29.6 2008: R+28.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.92%
- Current HPI
- 203.0411
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Alexandria, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+234.2% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-02 Price Changed $63,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-01 Listed $67,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2022-08-22 Listed $54,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2021-09-07 Listed $19,000 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
-3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $631 · -0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…