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735 Emerson Ave
B- Composite 69.2
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$98,000

735 Emerson Ave · Pontiac, MI 48340
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 786 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1955 6,098 sqft lot $125/sqft · 8% below area Est $106k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

HUGH PRICE REDUCTION! Great investment or starter home. Has been maintained. It is close to all amenities.

Key facts

  • 6,098 sq ft lot
  • Built 1955
  • Listed 37 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Front porch; Back yard fencing; Paved road access

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Electric water heater; 5 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.7% vs local median 5.4% in Pontiac — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#499 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Pontiac City School District (urban): math 8% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #514 of 540 in MI (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 81% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 85 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,614 units permitted in Oakland County in 2024 (721 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $678 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Oakland County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($95k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 18y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $5k; list at $98k implies a 1963% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $95,060 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.65%
Cash-on-cash
15.57%
DSCR
1.69
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$106,257
List price
$98,000
Delta
-7.77%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
785 Kenilworth Ave 0.15mi 2/1.5 799 (+2%) 8mo $87,500 $110 82
973 Kettering Ave 0.46mi 2/1.0 796 (+1%) 6mo $97,500 $122 72
725 Emerson Ave 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 902 (+15%) 5mo $136,000 $151 65
940 Cameron Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 744 (-5%) 5mo $85,000 $114 63
638 Raskob St 0.70mi 2/1.0 809 (+3%) 2mo $104,000 $129 60
509 Cameron Ave 0.38mi 3/1.0 (+1) 860 (+9%) 6mo $42,000 $49 56
417 Cameron Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 713 (-9%) 4mo $116,900 $164 54
506 Emerson Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 (+1) 900 (+14%) 1mo $135,000 $150 52
635 Wesbrook St 0.75mi 3/1.0 (+1) 842 (+7%) 2mo $135,000 $160 46
414 Kenilworth Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (+1) 884 (+12%) 4mo $155,000 $175 43
667 Raskob St 0.65mi 3/1.0 (+1) 866 (+10%) 8mo $95,000 $110 41
428 Jordon Rd 0.59mi 3/1.0 (+1) 887 (+13%) 7mo $153,000 $172 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.73% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.3%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$9,083
Equity at exit
$14,612
10-year hold
IRR
18.9%
Equity multiple
2.71×
Total profit
$46,833
Equity at exit
$8,473

Cash invested: $27,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48340

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
85
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,287 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$514
Tax from tax record
$106 /mo · $1,273/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$270
Net cashflow
$356

Break-even live

Break-even rent $837
Max offer price $98,000
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $411 -5% $384 +0% $356 +5% $328 +10% $301
Rent -10% $254 -5% $305 +0% $356 +5% $407 +10% $458
Rate -1.0pp $405 -0.5pp $381 base $356 +0.5pp $331 +1.0pp $305

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,500
Closing costs
$2,940
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
750 Scottwood St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,395 $1.52 14d 1 0.30mi
957 Perry St Pontiac, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0 835 $974 $1.17 45d 1 0.60mi
1173 Featherstone Rd Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 970 $1,495 $1.54 25d 1 0.70mi
672 Linda Vista Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,500 $1.67 5d 1 0.78mi
611 E Madison Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.5 950 $1,395 $1.47 45d 1 0.82mi
188 Vernon Dr Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 25d 1 0.83mi
695 1st Ave Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 986 $1,295 $1.31 45d 1 0.87mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1114 $1,150 $1.03 25d 1 1.00mi
16 Victory Dr Unit 18 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1118 $1,150 $1.03 45d 1 1.00mi
505 Old Oak Ct Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,299 $1.18 45d 1 1.04mi
505 Old Oak Ct Unit 7 Pontiac, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,279 $1.35 45d 1 1.08mi
505 Old Oak Ct Unit 507 Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 770 $1,049 $1.36 45d 1 1.08mi
860 Walton Blvd Pontiac, MI 2.0 2.0 1025 $1,295 $1.26 0d 3 1.34mi
20 Frank St Pontiac, MI 1.0 1.0 995 $800 $0.80 19d 1 1.38mi
1221 Colony Ln Pontiac, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 950 $1,250 $1.32 0d 3 1.40mi
68 N Shirley St Pontiac, MI 3.0 1.0 950 $1,395 $1.47 19d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 38 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $98,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $98,000 Active 34 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $98,000 Active 33 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $98,000 Active 32 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $98,000 Active 31 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 29 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $98,000 Active 28 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $98,000 Active 25 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $98,000 Active 24 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    remarks 106-char remark
  11. 2026-06-07
    pricedays on market $98,000 Active 23 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 20 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 16 DOM
  17. 2026-05-15
    listed $110,000 Active 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    HUGH PRICE REDUCTION! Great investment or starter home. Has been maintained. It is close to all amenities.

  18. 2026-05-15
    listed $110,000 Active 84-char remark
    Show marketing remark (106 chars)

    HUGH PRICE REDUCTION! Great investment or starter home. Has been maintained. It is close to all amenities.

  19. 2025-04-22
    historical
  20. 2025-04-22
    status Active
  21. 2025-04-14
    historical
  22. 2025-04-01
    price $119,000
  23. 2025-03-31
    price $119,000
  24. 2025-03-20
    listed $125,000 Active
  25. 2025-03-20
    listed $125,000 Active
  26. 2015-11-08
    historical
  27. 2015-11-08
    historical
  28. 2015-10-06
    listed $32,500 Active
  29. 2015-10-06
    listed $32,500
  30. 2009-04-29
    soldstatus $4,750
  31. 2009-04-29
    soldstatus $4,750
  32. 2009-04-15
    historical
  33. 2009-04-02
    listed $4,900
  34. 2009-04-02
    listed $4,900
  35. 2009-03-11
    historical
  36. 2008-09-11
    listed $73,790
  37. 2007-01-16
    soldstatus $70,000
  38. 1995-08-31
    soldstatus $25,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,273 · $106/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,391 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$118/yr (+$10/mo · 9.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,446
− Mortgage interest
−$5,490
− Property taxes
−$1,273
− Insurance
−$490
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,236
− Management
−$1,236
− Depreciation
−$2,851
Taxable income
$2,871
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$689
After-tax cash flow
$3,583/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pontiac City School District
NCES district ID
2628740
Math proficiency
8% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$33,888
Composite
10.12/100
National rank
#9802
State rank
#514 of 540 in MI

Livability — Pontiac

Score
64/100
State rank
#499
US rank
#14703

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pontiac, MI
County
Oakland County · 1,009,092 people
City population
44,593
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
25,669
Household income
$47,891
Rent vs Own
54.3% rent · 45.7% own
Severe rent burden
1460.0

Population outlook (Oakland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,335,747 people
By 2030
1,375,100 · +2.9%
By 2040
1,435,385 · +7.5%
By 2050
1,469,250 · +10.0%
By 2075
1,531,946 · +14.7%
By 2100
1,450,485 · +8.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.73)
Race & ethnicity
Black 31% Hispanic / Latino 31% White 29% Two or more races 22% Asian 4%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 18% Puerto Rican 7%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
11% · Canada, China
Languages at home
74% English-only · Spanish 23% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oakland

2024 margin
D (+10.6) · D 54.4% · R 43.8% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-3.9pp toward R · 2008: 14.5pp · 2024: 10.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.6 2020: D+14.1 2016: D+8.1 2012: D+8.1 2008: D+14.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -295.80%
Current HPI
177.961
Rent YoY
▲ 4.73%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+292.0% since first listed
24 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-06 Price Changed $98,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-05 Price Changed $98,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $110,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-22 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-22 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-14 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-04-01 Price Changed $119,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-31 Price Changed $119,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-03-20 Listed $125,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-03-20 Listed $125,000 REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-08 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2015-11-08 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2015-10-06 Listed $32,500 REALCOMP
  • 2015-10-06 Listed $32,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-29 Sold (MLS) $4,750 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-29 Sold (MLS) $4,750 REALCOMP
  • 2009-04-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-02 Listed $4,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2009-04-02 Listed $4,900 REALCOMP
  • 2009-03-11 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2008-09-11 Listed $73,790 REALCOMP
  • 2007-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
  • 1995-08-31 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,273 · +2.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…