815 S Charles St · Belleville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!
Key facts
- 6,782 sq ft lot
- Built 1898
- Listed 202 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $92k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 19.33%
- DSCR
- 1.86
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $104,130
- Comps found
- 10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 312 S Jackson St | 0.35mi | 3/3.5 (-1) | 1,064 (-9%) | 3mo | $89,000 | $84 | 59 |
| 818 S Jackson St | 0.11mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-14%) | 1mo | $85,000 | $84 | 58 |
| 508 Freeburg Ave | 0.21mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,032 (-12%) | 7mo | $99,900 | $97 | 54 |
| 704 Wabash Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,196 (+2%) | 4mo | $125,000 | $105 | 50 |
| 18 Scarlet Dr | 0.63mi | 4/1.0 | 1,232 (+5%) | 11mo | $155,000 | $126 | 44 |
| 625 E Adams St | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,312 (+12%) | 16mo | $224,900 | $171 | 44 |
| 403 W Van Buren St | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,293 (+10%) | 1mo | $114,500 | $89 | 40 |
| 514 S 6th St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,078 (-8%) | 11mo | $86,900 | $81 | 32 |
| 12 Rusty Wil Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,128 (-4%) | 18mo | $75,000 | $66 | 32 |
| 6 Scarlet Dr | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,000 (-14%) | 7mo | $84,900 | $85 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $25,901
- Equity at exit
- $18,623
- IRR
- 29.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.30×
- Total profit
- $115,386
- Equity at exit
- $10,799
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62220
- Home prices YoY
- -26.4%
- Rents YoY
- 14.5%
- Active inventory
- 148
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$249 /mo · $2,990/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$404
- Net cashflow
- $563
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $634 | -5% $599 | +0% $563 | +5% $528 | +10% $493 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $411 | -5% $487 | +0% $563 | +5% $639 | +10% $715 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $626 | -0.5pp $595 | base $563 | +0.5pp $531 | +1.0pp $498 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 721 S Church St Belleville, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1216 | $2,000 | $1.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,050 | $0.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1953 Richmond Springs Ln Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1480 | $2,500 | $1.69 | 2d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1238 | $1,500 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-16status $124,900 Pending 202 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $124,900 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $124,900 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $124,900 Active 196 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $124,900 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $124,900 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $124,900 Active 189 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $124,900 Active 188 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $124,900 Active 187 DOM
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2026-02-18price $124,900 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!
-
2026-01-14price $134,900 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!
-
2025-11-26$139,900 Active 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!
-
2025-11-26historical $139,900 1023-char remark
Show marketing remark (1023 chars)
Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!
-
2022-08-26soldstatus Closed 618-char remark
Show marketing remark (618 chars)
This 1 1/2 Story Home located in Downtown Belleville has so much Potential. Home had previously been used as a 2 Family Unit Home. The Upper level has it's own Entry. The main level of the home features a large Living Room, Dining Room, Kitchen, Bedroom and Bath. The Upper level has 2 Bedrooms, and 2 rooms that were used as a Kitchen and Living Room and also a Full Bath. There is a large Covered Front Porch for relaxing after a days work. Location is great - Close to all the Downtown Amenities and easy Access to Interstate Highways and Downtown St Louis. Call for your Appointment today to tour this home!!!
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2022-06-15price $53,450
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2022-06-14price $45,000
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2022-03-29price $59,400
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2022-03-28price $45,000
-
2010-04-07soldstatus $92,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,990 · $249/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,990 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,084
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$2,990
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,847
- − Management
- −$1,847
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable income
- $5,146
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,235
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,527/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Belleville Twp Hsd 201
- NCES district ID
- 1705640
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $58,064
- Composite
- 22.39/100
- National rank
- #8115
- State rank
- #308 of 620 in IL
Livability — Belleville
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #142
- US rank
- #2604
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Belleville, IL
- County
- Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
- City population
- 47,407
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,152
- Household income
- $65,952
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 923.0
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 250,366 people
- By 2030
- 240,511 · -3.9%
- By 2040
- 217,391 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 192,699 · -23.0%
- By 2075
- 140,637 · -43.8%
- By 2100
- 100,499 · -59.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (67%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -52.27%
- Current HPI
- 145.9237
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 14.47%
- Metro
- St. Louis, MO-IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+35.8% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-14 Price Changed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-26 Coming Soon $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-15 Price Changed $53,450 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-06-14 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-29 Price Changed $59,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2022-03-28 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.0%/yrLatest (2024): $2,990 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…