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815 S Charles St
C+ Composite 63.64
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$124,900

815 S Charles St · Belleville, IL 62220
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,170 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 202 Days on market
Built 1898 6,782 sqft lot Est $104k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!

Key facts

  • 6,782 sq ft lot
  • Built 1898
  • Listed 202 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $563 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $110k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.7% vs local median 5.6% in Belleville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#142 in IL, #2,604 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-.
  • Belleville Twp Hsd 201 (suburban): math 21% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #308 of 620 in IL (top 50%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+14.5%/yr); 148 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 202 days — a 12% lower offer ($110k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $92k; 36% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1898 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $109,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 202 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1898 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
11.71%
Cash-on-cash
19.33%
DSCR
1.86
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$104,130
Comps found
10
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
312 S Jackson St 0.35mi 3/3.5 (-1) 1,064 (-9%) 3mo $89,000 $84 59
818 S Jackson St 0.11mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,010 (-14%) 1mo $85,000 $84 58
508 Freeburg Ave 0.21mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,032 (-12%) 7mo $99,900 $97 54
704 Wabash Ave 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,196 (+2%) 4mo $125,000 $105 50
18 Scarlet Dr 0.63mi 4/1.0 1,232 (+5%) 11mo $155,000 $126 44
625 E Adams St 0.27mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,312 (+12%) 16mo $224,900 $171 44
403 W Van Buren St 0.61mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,293 (+10%) 1mo $114,500 $89 40
514 S 6th St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,078 (-8%) 11mo $86,900 $81 32
12 Rusty Wil Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,128 (-4%) 18mo $75,000 $66 32
6 Scarlet Dr 0.66mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,000 (-14%) 7mo $84,900 $85 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
1.74×
Total profit
$25,901
Equity at exit
$18,623
10-year hold
IRR
29.3%
Equity multiple
4.30×
Total profit
$115,386
Equity at exit
$10,799

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62220

Home prices YoY
-26.4%
Rents YoY
14.5%
Active inventory
148
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,924 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$249 /mo · $2,990/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$404
Net cashflow
$563

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,210
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $634 -5% $599 +0% $563 +5% $528 +10% $493
Rent -10% $411 -5% $487 +0% $563 +5% $639 +10% $715
Rate -1.0pp $626 -0.5pp $595 base $563 +0.5pp $531 +1.0pp $498

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
721 S Church St Belleville, IL 4.0 2.0 1216 $2,000 $1.64 24d 1 0.11mi
618 W Monroe St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,050 $0.70 24d 1 0.90mi
1953 Richmond Springs Ln Belleville, IL 3.0 3.0 1480 $2,500 $1.69 2d 1 1.12mi
1107 Bristow St Belleville, IL 3.0 1.0 1238 $1,500 $1.21 13d 1 1.40mi

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    status $124,900 Pending 202 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 202 DOM
  3. 2026-06-13
    days on market $124,900 Active 200 DOM
  4. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 196 DOM
  5. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 195 DOM
  6. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 194 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 190 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 189 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 188 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 187 DOM
  11. 2026-02-18
    price $124,900 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!

  12. 2026-01-14
    price $134,900 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!

  13. 2025-11-26
    listed $139,900 Active 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!

  14. 2025-11-26
    historical $139,900 1023-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1023 chars)

    Charming 2-Story, 4-Bedroom / 2-Bath Home with Classic Appeal This inviting two-story home offers four generous bedrooms and two full bathrooms — ideal for families or anyone looking for extra space. The moment you step inside, you’ll appreciate the thoughtful layout, filled with natural light and welcoming comfort. Inside you’ll find a spacious living area perfect for relaxing or entertaining, a well-appointed kitchen (with room for upgrades if desired), and plenty of closet/storage space. Upstairs, all four bedrooms offer flexibility — from cozy retreats to functional home offices or guest rooms. Outside, the property boasts a nice yard and outdoor space — perfect for summer barbecues, gardening, or relaxing with family and friends. The quiet, friendly neighborhood adds to the sense of home and community. With a warm, inviting layout and flexible floor-plan, this home is ready to welcome its next owners. Don’t miss your chance — schedule a private showing today!

  15. 2022-08-26
    soldstatus Closed 618-char remark
    Show marketing remark (618 chars)

    This 1 1/2 Story Home located in Downtown Belleville has so much Potential. Home had previously been used as a 2 Family Unit Home. The Upper level has it's own Entry. The main level of the home features a large Living Room, Dining Room, Kitchen, Bedroom and Bath. The Upper level has 2 Bedrooms, and 2 rooms that were used as a Kitchen and Living Room and also a Full Bath. There is a large Covered Front Porch for relaxing after a days work. Location is great - Close to all the Downtown Amenities and easy Access to Interstate Highways and Downtown St Louis. Call for your Appointment today to tour this home!!!

  16. 2022-06-15
    price $53,450
  17. 2022-06-14
    price $45,000
  18. 2022-03-29
    price $59,400
  19. 2022-03-28
    price $45,000
  20. 2010-04-07
    soldstatus $92,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,990 · $249/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,990 · $249/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,084
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$2,990
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,847
− Management
−$1,847
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$5,146
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,235
After-tax cash flow
$5,527/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belleville Twp Hsd 201
NCES district ID
1705640
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$58,064
Composite
22.39/100
National rank
#8115
State rank
#308 of 620 in IL

Livability — Belleville

Score
78/100
State rank
#142
US rank
#2604

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Belleville, IL
County
Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
City population
47,407
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
Population (ZIP)
19,152
Household income
$65,952
Rent vs Own
37.0% rent · 63.0% own
Severe rent burden
923.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
250,366 people
By 2030
240,511 · -3.9%
By 2040
217,391 · -13.2%
By 2050
192,699 · -23.0%
By 2075
140,637 · -43.8%
By 2100
100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (67%)
Race & ethnicity
White 67% Black 22% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -52.27%
Current HPI
145.9237
Rent YoY
▲ 14.47%
Metro
St. Louis, MO-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.8% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-18 Price Changed $124,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-14 Price Changed $134,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Listed $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-26 Coming Soon $139,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-08-26 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-15 Price Changed $53,450 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-06-14 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-29 Price Changed $59,400 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2022-03-28 Price Changed $45,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-04-07 Sold (Public Records) $92,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+2.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,990 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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