105 Briarwood Dr · Lafayette, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- 1% rule +3.8/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$170,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity awaits in North Briarwood Forest!! Welcome to this move-in ready home priced at $189,900! This vacant property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, expanding families, downsizers, or investors looking for strong value. This 1765 sq foot home offers a functional floor plan, spacious living areas, and abundant light throughout. The kitchen offers ample storage and flows easily into a great breakfast area - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom in an ensuite that provides comfortable space and privacy, while 2 additional bedrooms offer flexibility for a growing family, guests, or home office. This house also boast another full bath with double sinks. With a manageable fenced in back yard, this home is conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining and major roadways. This home checks all the boxes. Vacant, easy and ready to show - schedule your appointment today.
Key facts
- Fenced in back yard
- Move in ready
- Conveniently located
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $170k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $89 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $150k (11.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $150k (11.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.9% vs local median 4.7% in Lafayette — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#63 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, employment C-, crime F.
- Lafayette Parish (urban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #19 of 98 in LA (top 19%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.3%/yr); 246 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,585 units permitted in Lafayette Parish in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,503/mo this rent would consume 54% of the median local household income ($33k/yr) (locally 2089% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lafayette County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 81 days — a 6% lower offer ($160k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 81 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.88% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.25%
- DSCR
- 1.10
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,539
- List price
- $170,000
- Delta
- -20.01%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102 Kingswood Dr | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,775 (+1%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $121 | 90 |
| 106 Kingswood Dr | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,576 (-11%) | 2mo | $169,000 | $107 | 74 |
| 202 Walter Dr | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 1,800 (+2%) | 1mo | $169,000 | $94 | 66 |
| 423 Starlight Dr | 0.48mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,700 (-4%) | 0mo | $230,000 | $135 | 66 |
| 335 White Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,704 (-4%) | 1mo | $237,000 | $139 | 60 |
| 204 White Pine Dr | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,786 (+1%) | 6mo | $236,000 | $132 | 60 |
| 323 White Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (+6%) | 1mo | $249,000 | $133 | 56 |
| 328 White Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (+6%) | 1mo | $254,500 | $136 | 56 |
| 319 White Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-9%) | 2mo | $235,500 | $146 | 55 |
| 333 White Pine Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,613 (-9%) | 2mo | $235,000 | $146 | 55 |
| 336 White Pine Dr | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 | 1,616 (-8%) | 3mo | $242,000 | $150 | 54 |
| 120 Red Pine Dr | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,874 (+6%) | 6mo | $239,900 | $128 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-15,015
- Equity at exit
- $25,348
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.52×
- Total profit
- $24,988
- Equity at exit
- $14,698
Cash invested: $47,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70501
- Rents YoY
- 7.3%
- Active inventory
- 246
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,503 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$891
- Tax from tax record
- −$136 /mo · $1,633/yr
- Insurance
- −$71
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$316
- Net cashflow
- $89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $137 | +0% $89 | +5% $41 | +10% $-7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-29 | -5% $30 | +0% $89 | +5% $149 | +10% $208 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $175 | -0.5pp $133 | base $89 | +0.5pp $45 | +1.0pp $0 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $42,500
- Closing costs
- $5,100
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 406 Starlight Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1867 | $3,500 | $1.87 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 109 Red Pine Dr Lafayette, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2087 | $3,500 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.65mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $170,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $170,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $170,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-15pricedays on market $170,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $189,900 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $189,900 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $189,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $189,900 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $189,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $189,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $189,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $189,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $189,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $189,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $189,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $189,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-02-22$189,900 Active 938-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Opportunity awaits in North Briarwood Forest!! Welcome to this move-in ready home priced at $189,900! This vacant property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, expanding families, downsizers, or investors looking for strong value. This 1765 sq foot home offers a functional floor plan, spacious living areas, and abundant light throughout. The kitchen offers ample storage and flows easily into a great breakfast area - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom in an ensuite that provides comfortable space and privacy, while 2 additional bedrooms offer flexibility for a growing family, guests, or home office. This house also boast another full bath with double sinks. With a manageable fenced in back yard, this home is conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining and major roadways. This home checks all the boxes. Vacant, easy and ready to show - schedule your appointment today.
-
2026-02-22$189,900 Active 937-char remark
Show marketing remark (937 chars)
Opportunity awaits in North Briarwood Forest!! Welcome to this move-in ready home priced at $189,900! This vacant property offers a fantastic opportunity for first-time homebuyers, expanding families, downsizers, or investors looking for strong value. This 1765 sq foot home offers a functional floor plan, spacious living areas, and abundant light throughout. The kitchen offers ample storage and flows easily into a great breakfast area - perfect for everyday living or entertaining. The primary bedroom in an ensuite that provides comfortable space and privacy, while 2 additional bedrooms offer flexibility for a growing family, guests, or home office. This house also boast another full bath with double sinks. With a manageable fenced in back yard, this home is conveniently located near schools, shopping, dining and major roadways. This home checks all the boxes. Vacant, easy and ready to show - schedule your appointment today.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,633 · $136/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,042
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,523
- − Property taxes
- −$1,633
- − Insurance
- −$850
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,443
- − Management
- −$1,443
- − Depreciation
- −$4,945
- Taxable loss
- −$1,796
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$431
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,503/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lafayette Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200870
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -24.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,238
- Composite
- 36.15/100
- National rank
- #4741
- State rank
- #19 of 98 in LA
Livability — Lafayette
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #8133
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lafayette, LA
- County
- Lafayette Parish · 207,544 people
- City population
- 158,114
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,465
- Household income
- $33,365
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2089.0
Population outlook (Lafayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 280,930 people
- By 2030
- 301,092 · +7.2%
- By 2040
- 339,456 · +20.8%
- By 2050
- 375,156 · +33.5%
- By 2075
- 451,672 · +60.8%
- By 2100
- 497,203 · +77.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 73% White 18% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lafayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.4) · D 33.5% · R 64.8% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.1pp no change · 2008: -31.3pp · 2024: -31.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.4 2020: R+28.7 2016: R+33.6 2012: R+33.7 2008: R+31.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -108.63%
- Current HPI
- 81.2963
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.35%
- Metro
- Lafayette, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.0% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-22 Listed $189,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-22 Listed $189,900 GBRMLS
Property tax history
+9.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,633 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…