613 N Liberty St · Jerseyville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +8.2/30.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +2.2/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This charming corner-lot home is full of potential and ready for its next chapter! Offering 3 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and a full basement, this property has great bones and plenty of space to make your own. The kitchen provides so much cabinet space and the dining area opens nicely into the living room, creating a welcoming layout perfect for gathering with family and friends. Beautiful hardwood floors run throughout the home and could truly shine again with a little TLC. Outside, you will find a convenient carport for parking and an additional shed for extra storage. Whether you are looking for your next home or an investment opportunity, this adorable property is one you won’t want
Key facts
- Cabinet space
- Corner-lot
- Dining area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area reported as 1,170 (per public records)
- Financial info: Lease not considered
Exterior
- Parking: Carport (1 space)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity (Ameren); Natural gas connected
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Private ownership
- Construction: Cement siding; Architectural shingle roof; Basement present
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Covered porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level
- Flooring: Wood flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Basement with concrete construction; Covered front porch
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-89 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $79k (16.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $85k (10.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $79k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
- Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Jerseyville East Elem School (math 35% / reading 25%, grade F, #648 of 2,056 statewide, top 32%, 384 students, 0% FRL); Jersey Community Middle School (math 22% / reading 38%, grade F, #246 of 665 statewide, top 38%, 499 students, 0% FRL); Jersey Comm High School (math 23% / reading 30%, grade F, #241 of 693 statewide, top 35%, 1,006 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 41% district-wide (41 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($657 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 31 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 31 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 17% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.00%
- DSCR
- 0.82
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,950
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 900 Sarah St | 0.16mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+11%) | 0mo | $65,000 | $50 | 66 |
| 1137 Warren St | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 1,097 (-6%) | 2mo | $153,000 | $139 | 65 |
| 300 Clay St | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 | 1,304 (+12%) | 2mo | $90,000 | $69 | 62 |
| 935 Forest St | 0.58mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,132 (-3%) | 1mo | $165,000 | $146 | 60 |
| 701 Sumner St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,096 (-6%) | 1mo | $83,000 | $76 | 60 |
| 115 Dressel Dr | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 | 1,048 (-10%) | 1mo | $145,000 | $138 | 58 |
| 418 Short St | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,273 (+9%) | 2mo | $139,000 | $109 | 57 |
| 403 Fremont St | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,080 (-8%) | 3mo | $146,000 | $135 | 56 |
| 604 Stryker Ave | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,129 (-4%) | 1mo | $55,000 | $49 | 54 |
| 1007 W Hickory St | 0.45mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,016 (-13%) | 0mo | $139,500 | $137 | 52 |
| 302 Harrison St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,010 (-14%) | 3mo | $119,950 | $119 | 51 |
| 1109 W Exchange St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 | 1,050 (-10%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $143 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.74×
- Total profit
- $46,164
- Equity at exit
- $85,584
- IRR
- 19.4%
- Equity multiple
- 6.28×
- Total profit
- $140,542
- Equity at exit
- $184,564
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62052
- Home prices YoY
- 10.2%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $850 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$223 /mo · $2,674/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $-89
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-35 | -5% $-62 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-116 | +10% $-143 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-122 | +0% $-89 | +5% $-55 | +10% $-22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-41 | -0.5pp $-65 | base $-89 | +0.5pp $-113 | +1.0pp $-138 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 410 George St Unit K Jerseyville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $775 | $0.97 | 12d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 211 W County Rd Jerseyville, IL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $950 | $1.21 | 3d | 1 | 1.16mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21pricedays on market $95,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $110,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $110,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $110,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $110,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $110,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $110,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $110,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $110,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-03pricestatusdays on market $110,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 12 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active Under Contract 10 DOM
-
2026-05-21$120,000 Active
-
2011-09-30soldstatus $90,000
-
1988-04-01soldstatus $56,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,674 · $223/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,674 · $223/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,205
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$2,674
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$816
- − Management
- −$816
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$2,662
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$639
- After-tax cash flow
- $-426/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Jersey CUSD 100
- NCES district ID
- 1720430
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,066
- Composite
- 25.13/100
- National rank
- #7522
- State rank
- #260 of 620 in IL
Livability — Jerseyville
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #327
- US rank
- #6498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jerseyville, IL
- City population
- 12,483
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,483
Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,031 people
- By 2030
- 20,138 · -4.2%
- By 2040
- 18,077 · -14.0%
- By 2050
- 15,882 · -24.5%
- By 2075
- 11,718 · -44.3%
- By 2100
- 8,546 · -59.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jersey
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 23.63%
- Current HPI
- 255.48
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+69.6% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-19 Price Changed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-03 Relisted — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-06-03 Price Changed $110,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-28 Contingent — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-21 Listed $120,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2011-09-30 Sold (Public Records) $90,000 Public Records
- 1988-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.1%/yrLatest (2024): $2,674 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…