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9745 S Karlov Ave #610
C Composite 57.11
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.2/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.6/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

9745 S Karlov Ave #610 · Oak Lawn, IL 60453
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,200 sqft · Condo · 148 Days on market
$481/mo HOA · 26% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Cozy two bedroom with large closets and plenty of room for bedroom furniture, front room and dinning are comfortably acommodates a young family. New Laminate floorimg throuhout the home, plenty of sunlight makes this unit bright.

Key facts

  • $481 HOA
  • Parking
  • Listed 148 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Building has 60 units; Living area reported as estimated; Property not currently leased; Commuter bus access; Property was built before 1978
  • HOA & community: Monthly association fee of $481; Association fee includes heat, water, parking, exterior maintenance, trash (scavenger) and snow removal; Pets not allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: One assigned, owned parking space
  • Utilities: Lake Michigan water supply; Public sewer; Electric service with circuit breakers (100 amp)
  • Home design: Attached single condo, fee simple ownership; Entry on level 6
  • Construction: Brick construction; Built approximately 61–70 years ago; Rehab completed in 2023; Rubber roof; Concrete perimeter foundation
  • Exterior features: Common grounds; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Galley kitchen
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on main level (full bath); Second bedroom on main level (10 x 10)
  • Flooring: Wood laminate flooring in living room, family room, kitchen, master and other listed rooms; Laminate flooring in laundry
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heating; Wall cooling units
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Dining room combined with living room; Common area laundry
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in common area

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $133 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 4.4% in Oak Lawn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 80/100 on livability (#102 in IL, #1,614 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, employment A-.
  • Oak Lawn Chsd 229 (suburban): math 22% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #384 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: J M Hannum Elem School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #940 of 2,056 statewide, top 49%, 416 students, 0% FRL); Oak Lawn-Hometown Middle Sch (math 20% / reading 21%, grade F, #410 of 665 statewide, top 62%, 1,121 students, 0% FRL); Oak Lawn Comm High School (math 22% / reading 21%, grade F, #345 of 693 statewide, top 50%, 1,834 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.2%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 148 days — a 12% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $86k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price; HOA is 26% of rent.
Recommended offer $92,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 148 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.75%
Cap rate
7.81%
Cash-on-cash
5.42%
DSCR
1.24
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.3%
Equity multiple
1.05×
Total profit
$1,569
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
17.5%
Equity multiple
2.98×
Total profit
$58,176
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60453

Rents YoY
8.2%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,843 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$248 /mo · $2,972/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$481
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$387
Net cashflow
$133

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,675
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $192 -5% $162 +0% $133 +5% $103 +10% $73
Rent -10% $-13 -5% $60 +0% $133 +5% $205 +10% $278
Rate -1.0pp $186 -0.5pp $159 base $133 +0.5pp $105 +1.0pp $78

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9600 S Komensky Ave Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 2.0 900 $1,800 $2.00 26d 1 0.24mi
9515 S Kildare Ave Oak Lawn, IL 1.0 1.0 950 $1,275 $1.34 26d 1 0.42mi
9957 S Cicero Ave Unit 308 Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,799 $1.80 3d 1 0.89mi
9955 S Cicero Ave Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,799 $1.80 3d 1 0.91mi
4134 W 90th St Hometown, IL 2.0 1.0 740 $1,500 $2.03 22d 1 0.99mi
9305 S Homan Ave Unit 1 Evergreen Park, IL 3.0 1.0 893 $2,195 $2.46 18d 1 1.06mi
10439 S Drake Ave Chicago, IL 3.0 1.5 1165 $3,000 $2.58 0d 1 1.08mi
9739 S Kedzie Ave Evergreen Park, IL 1.0–2.0 1.0 825 $1,700 $2.06 0d 1 1.13mi
10435 S Keating Ave Apt 3N Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,650 $1.53 3d 1 1.19mi
5100 W 96th St Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 2.0 1380 $2,350 $1.70 4d 1 1.34mi
4116 W 109th St Oak Lawn, IL 3.0 1.5 1200 $2,650 $2.21 0d 1 1.36mi
10701 S Keating Ave Unit 3D Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $1,700 $2.12 0d 1 1.42mi
10716 Kilpatrick Ave Unit 2SW Oak Lawn, IL 2.0 1.0 1150 $1,650 $1.43 21d 1 1.42mi

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$481 · $5,772/yr
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $105,000 Active 148 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $105,000 Active 145 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $105,000 Active 144 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $105,000 Active 143 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $105,000 Active 142 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 140 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $105,000 Active 139 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $105,000 Active 136 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $105,000 Active 135 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $105,000 Active 134 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $105,000 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $105,000 Active 130 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $105,000 Active 129 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $105,000 Active 128 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $105,000 Active 127 DOM
  16. 2002-12-02
    soldstatus $85,500
  17. 1985-12-01
    soldstatus $47,300

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,972 · $248/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,972 · $248/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,113
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$2,972
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,769
− Management
−$1,769
− HOA
−$5,772
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$369
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$89
After-tax cash flow
$1,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Oak Lawn Chsd 229
NCES district ID
1729220
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$52,505
Composite
19.41/100
National rank
#8777
State rank
#384 of 620 in IL

Livability — Oak Lawn

Score
80/100
State rank
#102
US rank
#1614

Category grades

Amenities C Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime B Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Oak Lawn, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
56,861
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
56,861
Household income
$83,911
Rent vs Own
17.5% rent · 82.5% own
Severe rent burden
827.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (64%)
Race & ethnicity
White 64% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 9% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21%
Common ancestry
Romanian 16% Iranian 1% Armenian 1%
Foreign-born
16% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
70% English-only · Spanish 17% Russian/Polish/Slavic 5% Arabic 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -259.83%
Current HPI
214.6977
Rent YoY
▲ 8.23%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+80.8% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2002-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $85,500 Public Records
  • 1985-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $47,300 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.3%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,972 · +43.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…