523 S Walnut St · Taylorville, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +6.7/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.0/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover this affordable and charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked away with a peaceful setting and added privacy in Taylorville! Offering approximately 700 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a cozy place to call their own. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the covered porch, plus convenience of a concrete driveway and a 1-car detached garage for extra storage or parking. With its peaceful setting and affordable price point, this property offers a great opportunity to own a home with privacy and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Quiet dead-end road
- Peaceful setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Not new construction
- Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space basement; Built in 1880
- Exterior features: Dead-end street lot; Irregular lot shape
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level); Egress window in bedroom; Bedroom flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
- Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Window unit heating/cooling
- Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.0% in Taylorville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Taylorville CUSD 3 (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #383 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: North Elem School (537 students, 0% FRL); Taylorville Jr High School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 683 students, 0% FRL); Taylorville Sr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 781 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.75%
- DSCR
- 1.75
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $63,700
- Comps found
- 5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 S Wyandotte St | 0.14mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (+11%) | 10mo | $45,000 | $58 | 62 |
| 710 E Adams St | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (+10%) | 15mo | $70,000 | $91 | 52 |
| 931 W Rich St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 728 (+4%) | 9mo | $95,000 | $130 | 44 |
| 1008 E Park St | 0.72mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 700 (0%) | 16mo | $80,000 | $114 | 44 |
| 1121 E Main Cross St | 0.71mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 660 (-6%) | 15mo | $50,000 | $76 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $5,642
- Equity at exit
- $9,677
- IRR
- 17.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.42×
- Total profit
- $25,716
- Equity at exit
- $5,611
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62568
- Active inventory
- 88
- Price-to-rent
- 6.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $860 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$58 /mo · $696/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$181
- Net cashflow
- $254
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $290 | -5% $272 | +0% $254 | +5% $235 | +10% $217 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $186 | -5% $220 | +0% $254 | +5% $288 | +10% $322 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $286 | -0.5pp $270 | base $254 | +0.5pp $237 | +1.0pp $220 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $64,900 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-20$64,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $696 · $58/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,084 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$389/yr (+$32/mo · 55.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,315
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$696
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$825
- − Management
- −$825
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $2,121
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$509
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,536/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Taylorville CUSD 3
- NCES district ID
- 1738700
- Math proficiency
- 14% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,940
- Composite
- 19.53/100
- National rank
- #8764
- State rank
- #383 of 620 in IL
Livability — Taylorville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #478
- US rank
- #9895
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Taylorville, IL
- City population
- 16,035
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,035
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,182 people
- By 2030
- 29,787 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 26,793 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 23,757 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 17,333 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 11,573 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.77%
- Current HPI
- 159.2588
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+11.1%/yrLatest (2025): $696 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…