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523 S Walnut St
B- Composite 65.25
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.7/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$64,900

523 S Walnut St · Taylorville, IL 62568
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 700 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1880 Est $64k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this affordable and charming 1-bedroom, 1-bath home tucked away with a peaceful setting and added privacy in Taylorville! Offering approximately 700 square feet of comfortable living space, this home is perfect for first-time buyers, downsizers, or anyone looking for a cozy place to call their own. Enjoy relaxing mornings or evenings on the covered porch, plus convenience of a concrete driveway and a 1-car detached garage for extra storage or parking. With its peaceful setting and affordable price point, this property offers a great opportunity to own a home with privacy and potential. Don’t miss your chance to make this one your own!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Quiet dead-end road
  • Peaceful setting

Tags

COVERED PORCHCONCRETE DRIVEWAYDETACHED GARAGEQUIET DEAD-END ROADPEACEFUL SETTING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Not new construction
  • Construction: Shingle roof; Crawl space basement; Built in 1880
  • Exterior features: Dead-end street lot; Irregular lot shape

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen on main level
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom (main level); Egress window in bedroom; Bedroom flooring: Luxury vinyl plank
  • Flooring: Luxury vinyl plank; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit heating/cooling
  • Interior features: Cable available; Ceiling fan(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($860 rent vs $65k).
  • Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.0% vs local median 4.0% in Taylorville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#478 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Taylorville CUSD 3 (town): math 14% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #383 of 620 in IL (top 62%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: North Elem School (537 students, 0% FRL); Taylorville Jr High School (math 14% / reading 42%, grade F, #284 of 665 statewide, top 44%, 683 students, 0% FRL); Taylorville Sr High School (math 12% / reading 17%, grade F, #479 of 693 statewide, top 71%, 781 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 46% district-wide (46 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 88 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $62,953 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
10.98%
Cash-on-cash
16.75%
DSCR
1.75
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$63,700
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
725 S Wyandotte St 0.14mi 2/1.0 780 (+11%) 10mo $45,000 $58 62
710 E Adams St 0.33mi 2/1.0 768 (+10%) 15mo $70,000 $91 52
931 W Rich St 0.71mi 3/1.0 (+1) 728 (+4%) 9mo $95,000 $130 44
1008 E Park St 0.72mi 1/1.0 (-1) 700 (0%) 16mo $80,000 $114 44
1121 E Main Cross St 0.71mi 1/1.0 (-1) 660 (-6%) 15mo $50,000 $76 36

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.9%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$5,642
Equity at exit
$9,677
10-year hold
IRR
17.2%
Equity multiple
2.42×
Total profit
$25,716
Equity at exit
$5,611

Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62568

Active inventory
88
Price-to-rent
6.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$860 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$340
Tax from tax record
$58 /mo · $696/yr
Insurance
$27
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$181
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $538
Max offer price $64,900
Occupancy floor 65%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $290 -5% $272 +0% $254 +5% $235 +10% $217
Rent -10% $186 -5% $220 +0% $254 +5% $288 +10% $322
Rate -1.0pp $286 -0.5pp $270 base $254 +0.5pp $237 +1.0pp $220

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$16,225
Closing costs
$1,947
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $64,900 Active 33 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $64,900 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $64,900 Active 29 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $64,900 Active 28 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $64,900 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $64,900 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $64,900 Active 24 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $64,900 Active 23 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $64,900 Active 20 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $64,900 Active 19 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 18 DOM
  13. 2026-06-07
    days on market $64,900 Active 17 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $64,900 Active 14 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $64,900 Active 13 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $64,900 Active 12 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 11 DOM
  18. 2026-05-31
    days on market $64,900 Active 10 DOM
  19. 2026-05-20
    listed $64,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$696 · $58/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,084 · $90/mo
Expected delta
+$389/yr (+$32/mo · 55.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,315
− Mortgage interest
−$3,635
− Property taxes
−$696
− Insurance
−$324
− Repairs & maintenance
−$825
− Management
−$825
− Depreciation
−$1,888
Taxable income
$2,121
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$509
After-tax cash flow
$2,536/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylorville CUSD 3
NCES district ID
1738700
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -17.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$45,940
Composite
19.53/100
National rank
#8764
State rank
#383 of 620 in IL

Livability — Taylorville

Score
68/100
State rank
#478
US rank
#9895

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylorville, IL
City population
16,035
Population (ZIP)
16,035

Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
31,182 people
By 2030
29,787 · -4.5%
By 2040
26,793 · -14.1%
By 2050
23,757 · -23.8%
By 2075
17,333 · -44.4%
By 2100
11,573 · -62.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (91%)
Race & ethnicity
White 91% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Christian

2024 margin
Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -171.77%
Current HPI
159.2588
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $64,900 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+11.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $696 · -2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…