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203 Forsyth St NE
B+ Composite 77.08
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.1/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$105,000

203 Forsyth St NE · Rome, GA 30161
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,395 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 1910 5,227 sqft lot $75/sqft · 36% below area Est $163k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.

Key facts

  • Value-add renovation
  • Metal roof
  • Local park

Tags

METAL ROOFVALUE-ADD RENOVATIONLOCAL PARKPLAYGROUNDBASKETBALL COURTS

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
  • Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.3% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#266 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
  • Rome City (urban): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #112 of 174 in GA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 355 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $12k; list at $105k implies a 775% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,550 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.63%
Cap rate
13.43%
Cash-on-cash
25.48%
DSCR
2.13
GRM
5.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$163,117
List price
$105,000
Delta
-35.63%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
203 Forsyth St NE 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,395 (0%) 1mo $90,000 $65 95
310 Kingston Ave NE 0.41mi 3/2.0 1,420 (+2%) 2mo $200,000 $141 72
308 Perkins St NE 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,338 (-4%) 5mo $37,000 $28 72
304 Perkins St NE 0.39mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,433 (+3%) 5mo $30,000 $21 68
200 Ross St NE 0.38mi 3/2.0 1,358 (-3%) 9mo $190,000 $140 66
501 Calhoun Ave NE 0.36mi 3/2.0 1,329 (-5%) 10mo $132,000 $99 63
122 Perkins St NE 0.45mi 3/2.0 1,289 (-8%) 3mo $199,000 $154 60
102 Smith St 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,409 (+1%) 6mo $190,000 $135 59
205 Couper St NE 0.55mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,349 (-3%) 6mo $189,900 $141 59
43 King Bee Cir NE 0.39mi 3/2.0 1,269 (-9%) 5mo $180,000 $142 59
205 Camp St NE 0.18mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,224 (-12%) 10mo $182,000 $149 54
206 Church Street St 0.68mi 3/2.0 1,473 (+6%) 7mo $195,000 $132 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
22.7%
Equity multiple
1.97×
Total profit
$28,598
Equity at exit
$15,656
10-year hold
IRR
32.8%
Equity multiple
4.46×
Total profit
$101,773
Equity at exit
$9,078

Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30161

Rents YoY
6.3%
Active inventory
411
Price-to-rent
5.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,708 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$551
Tax from tax record
$131 /mo · $1,571/yr
Insurance
$44
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$359
Net cashflow
$624

Break-even live

Break-even rent $918
Max offer price $105,000
Occupancy floor 58%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $684 -5% $654 +0% $624 +5% $595 +10% $565
Rent -10% $489 -5% $557 +0% $624 +5% $692 +10% $759
Rate -1.0pp $677 -0.5pp $651 base $624 +0.5pp $597 +1.0pp $569

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,250
Closing costs
$3,150
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
105 W Callahan St Rome, GA 3.0 2.0 1500 $2,000 $1.33 44d 1 0.03mi
3 Forsyth St NE Rome, GA 3.0 2.0 1134 $1,795 $1.58 44d 1 0.10mi
1 Roseway Cir NE Rome, GA 2.0 1.0 875 $1,200 $1.37 44d 1 0.15mi
19 Poplar St NE Unit Na Rome, GA 2.0 1.0 1020 $1,550 $1.52 44d 1 0.91mi
525 W 13th St NE Rome, GA 2.0–3.0 2.0 1059 $1,499 $1.41 44d 12 1.14mi
413 E 2nd St Rome, GA 2.0 1.5 1328 $1,275 $0.96 44d 1 1.14mi
340 W 3rd St Rome, GA 2.0 1.0–2.0 804 $2,225 $2.77 44d 27 1.19mi
20 Joplin St NE Rome, GA 3.0 2.5 1740 $2,399 $1.38 44d 1 1.25mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-02-10
    listed $105,000 New 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.

  2. 2026-02-10
    listed $105,000 Active 479-char remark
    Show marketing remark (479 chars)

    Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.

  3. 2014-05-07
    price $12,000
  4. 2013-12-20
    soldstatus $12,000 Sold
  5. 2013-12-03
    status Under Contract
  6. 2013-12-02
    price $14,900
  7. 2013-10-12
    listed $14,900 New
  8. 2004-05-26
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,571 · $131/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,571 · $131/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,501
− Mortgage interest
−$5,882
− Property taxes
−$1,571
− Insurance
−$525
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,640
− Management
−$1,640
− Depreciation
−$3,055
Taxable income
$6,188
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,485
After-tax cash flow
$6,007/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Rome City
NCES district ID
1304440
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
29% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$34,889
Composite
23.1/100
National rank
#7963
State rank
#112 of 174 in GA

Livability — Rome

Score
64/100
State rank
#266
US rank
#14459

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Rome, GA
County
Floyd County · 77,706 people
City population
77,706
Metro
Rome, GA
Population (ZIP)
34,705
Household income
$61,667
Rent vs Own
39.3% rent · 60.7% own
Severe rent burden
1104.0

Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
96,321 people
By 2030
95,532 · -0.8%
By 2040
93,332 · -3.1%
By 2050
90,850 · -5.7%
By 2075
84,989 · -11.8%
By 2100
76,097 · -21.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Floyd

2024 margin
Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.8% · R 70.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -42.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+42.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+36.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -186.06%
Current HPI
257.8168
Rent YoY
▲ 6.28%
Metro
Rome, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+600.0% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $105,000 FMLS
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
  • 2014-05-07 Price Changed $12,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $12,000 GAMLS
  • 2013-12-03 Pending GAMLS
  • 2013-12-02 Price Changed $14,900 GAMLS
  • 2013-10-12 Listed $14,900 GAMLS
  • 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+22.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,571 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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