203 Forsyth St NE · Rome, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 21.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.
Key facts
- Value-add renovation
- Metal roof
- Local park
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $624 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $105k).
- Recommended offer: $96k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.4% vs local median 3.3% in Rome — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#266 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Rome City (urban): math 27% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #112 of 174 in GA (top 64%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 411 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 355 units permitted in Floyd County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($62k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Floyd County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $29k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($96k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $12k; list at $105k implies a 775% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.63% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.43%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.48%
- DSCR
- 2.13
- GRM
- 5.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $163,117
- List price
- $105,000
- Delta
- -35.63%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 203 Forsyth St NE | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,395 (0%) | 1mo | $90,000 | $65 | 95 |
| 310 Kingston Ave NE | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,420 (+2%) | 2mo | $200,000 | $141 | 72 |
| 308 Perkins St NE | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 | 1,338 (-4%) | 5mo | $37,000 | $28 | 72 |
| 304 Perkins St NE | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,433 (+3%) | 5mo | $30,000 | $21 | 68 |
| 200 Ross St NE | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,358 (-3%) | 9mo | $190,000 | $140 | 66 |
| 501 Calhoun Ave NE | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,329 (-5%) | 10mo | $132,000 | $99 | 63 |
| 122 Perkins St NE | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,289 (-8%) | 3mo | $199,000 | $154 | 60 |
| 102 Smith St | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,409 (+1%) | 6mo | $190,000 | $135 | 59 |
| 205 Couper St NE | 0.55mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,349 (-3%) | 6mo | $189,900 | $141 | 59 |
| 43 King Bee Cir NE | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 | 1,269 (-9%) | 5mo | $180,000 | $142 | 59 |
| 205 Camp St NE | 0.18mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-12%) | 10mo | $182,000 | $149 | 54 |
| 206 Church Street St | 0.68mi | 3/2.0 | 1,473 (+6%) | 7mo | $195,000 | $132 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.28% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $28,598
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- 32.8%
- Equity multiple
- 4.46×
- Total profit
- $101,773
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30161
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 411
- Price-to-rent
- 5.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,708 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$131 /mo · $1,571/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$359
- Net cashflow
- $624
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $684 | -5% $654 | +0% $624 | +5% $595 | +10% $565 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $489 | -5% $557 | +0% $624 | +5% $692 | +10% $759 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $677 | -0.5pp $651 | base $624 | +0.5pp $597 | +1.0pp $569 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105 W Callahan St Rome, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 0.03mi |
| 3 Forsyth St NE Rome, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1134 | $1,795 | $1.58 | 44d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1 Roseway Cir NE Rome, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,200 | $1.37 | 44d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 19 Poplar St NE Unit Na Rome, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1020 | $1,550 | $1.52 | 44d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 525 W 13th St NE Rome, GA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1059 | $1,499 | $1.41 | 44d | 12 | 1.14mi |
| 413 E 2nd St Rome, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1328 | $1,275 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 340 W 3rd St Rome, GA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 804 | $2,225 | $2.77 | 44d | 27 | 1.19mi |
| 20 Joplin St NE Rome, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1740 | $2,399 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.25mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-02-10$105,000 New 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.
-
2026-02-10$105,000 Active 479-char remark
Show marketing remark (479 chars)
Solid 3 bedroom, 2 full bath home featuring a durable metal roof and ready for your vision. Ideal for a value-add renovation with strong resale potential or a smart buy-and-hold investment. Great layout with spacious bedrooms and a functional floor plan, offering the perfect canvas for your finishing touches or a full transformation. Conveniently located just blocks from a local park with playground and basketball courts, adding lifestyle appeal for future buyers or tenants.
-
2014-05-07price $12,000
-
2013-12-20soldstatus $12,000 Sold
-
2013-12-03status Under Contract
-
2013-12-02price $14,900
-
2013-10-12$14,900 New
-
2004-05-26soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,571 · $131/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,571 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 21% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,501
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$1,571
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,640
- − Management
- −$1,640
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $6,188
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,485
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Rome City
- NCES district ID
- 1304440
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,889
- Composite
- 23.1/100
- National rank
- #7963
- State rank
- #112 of 174 in GA
Livability — Rome
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #266
- US rank
- #14459
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rome, GA
- County
- Floyd County · 77,706 people
- City population
- 77,706
- Metro
- Rome, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,705
- Household income
- $61,667
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1104.0
Population outlook (Floyd County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 96,321 people
- By 2030
- 95,532 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 93,332 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 90,850 · -5.7%
- By 2075
- 84,989 · -11.8%
- By 2100
- 76,097 · -21.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Black 20% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Serbian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Floyd
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.0) · D 28.8% · R 70.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: -36.4pp · 2024: -42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.0 2020: R+41.1 2016: R+43.5 2012: R+39.9 2008: R+36.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -186.06%
- Current HPI
- 257.8168
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.28%
- Metro
- Rome, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+600.0% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-10 Listed $105,000 FMLS
- 2026-02-10 Listed $105,000 GAMLS
- 2014-05-07 Price Changed $12,000 GAMLS
- 2013-12-20 Sold (MLS) $12,000 GAMLS
- 2013-12-03 Pending — GAMLS
- 2013-12-02 Price Changed $14,900 GAMLS
- 2013-10-12 Listed $14,900 GAMLS
- 2004-05-26 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+22.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,571 · +9.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…