614 Pine St · Muscatine, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.2/10.0
- DSCR +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$83,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home has many updates and improvements! There is a main floor bedroom, and a 2nd living room that has often been used by owners as a bedroom. Main floor laundry hookups. The attic level has a half-bath (nearly complete - buyer will need to complete on their own) Oversized 2 car detached garage.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1920
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-40 ($-479/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $76k (8.5% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $68k (18.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $68k (18.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#358 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Muscatine Community School District (town): math 55% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #257 of 289 in IA (top 89%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Susan Clark Junior High (math 52% / reading 57%, grade B-, #204 of 246 statewide, top 83%, 662 students, 53% FRL); Muscatine High School (math 54% / reading 64%, grade C+, #273 of 336 statewide, top 81%, 1,539 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools at 50% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 191 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 16d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 65 units permitted in Muscatine County in 2024 (45 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Muscatine County population projected at +8% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $58k; 43% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.82% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.06%
- DSCR
- 0.91
- GRM
- 10.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.31×
- Total profit
- $-15,981
- Equity at exit
- $12,376
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.26×
- Total profit
- $-17,142
- Equity at exit
- $7,176
Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52761
- Active inventory
- 191
- Price-to-rent
- 10.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $679 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$435
- Tax from tax record
- −$106 /mo · $1,278/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$143
- Net cashflow
- $-40
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $7 | -5% $-16 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-63 | +10% $-87 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-94 | -5% $-67 | +0% $-40 | +5% $-13 | +10% $14 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2 | -0.5pp $-19 | base $-40 | +0.5pp $-61 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $20,750
- Closing costs
- $2,490
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1218 Cedar St #2 Muscatine, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 672 | $720 | $1.07 | 46d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1807 Hershey Ave Unit 1 Muscatine, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $700 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 108 Park Ave Muscatine, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 628 | $650 | $1.04 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2219 Hershey Ave Unit 4 Muscatine, IA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 652 | $550 | $0.84 | 15d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 2111 Bidwell Rd Muscatine, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 564 | $724 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-05-04status Pending 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
This home has many updates and improvements! There is a main floor bedroom, and a 2nd living room that has often been used by owners as a bedroom. Main floor laundry hookups. The attic level has a half-bath (nearly complete - buyer will need to complete on their own) Oversized 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-04-28price $83,000 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
This home has many updates and improvements! There is a main floor bedroom, and a 2nd living room that has often been used by owners as a bedroom. Main floor laundry hookups. The attic level has a half-bath (nearly complete - buyer will need to complete on their own) Oversized 2 car detached garage.
-
2026-04-15$87,500 Active 300-char remark
Show marketing remark (300 chars)
This home has many updates and improvements! There is a main floor bedroom, and a 2nd living room that has often been used by owners as a bedroom. Main floor laundry hookups. The attic level has a half-bath (nearly complete - buyer will need to complete on their own) Oversized 2 car detached garage.
-
2020-10-26soldstatus $58,000
-
2020-10-23soldstatus $58,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Cute 1 bedroom home with eat in kitchen. Nice lot with a 2 car detached garage. Great home to start in or retire in.
-
2020-06-01$69,000 116-char remark
Show marketing remark (116 chars)
Cute 1 bedroom home with eat in kitchen. Nice lot with a 2 car detached garage. Great home to start in or retire in.
-
1999-12-16soldstatus $40,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,278 · $106/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,291 · $108/mo
- Expected delta
- +$13/yr (+$1/mo · 1.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $8,148
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,649
- − Property taxes
- −$1,278
- − Insurance
- −$415
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$652
- − Management
- −$652
- − Depreciation
- −$2,415
- Taxable loss
- −$1,912
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$459
- After-tax cash flow
- $-20/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Muscatine Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1920130
- Math proficiency
- 55% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,193
- Composite
- 48.6/100
- National rank
- #2110
- State rank
- #257 of 289 in IA
Livability — Muscatine
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #358
- US rank
- #7508
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Muscatine, IA
- City population
- 29,800
- Population (ZIP)
- 29,800
Population outlook (Muscatine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,820 people
- By 2030
- 45,461 · +1.4%
- By 2040
- 46,765 · +4.3%
- By 2050
- 48,609 · +8.5%
- By 2075
- 56,014 · +25.0%
- By 2100
- 63,513 · +41.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 13%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 86% English-only · Spanish 11% French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Muscatine
- 2024 margin
- R (+14.9) · D 41.7% · R 56.6% · Other 1.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -30.6pp toward R · 2008: 15.7pp · 2024: -14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+14.9 2020: R+7.0 2016: R+6.6 2012: D+15.5 2008: D+15.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -130.30%
- Current HPI
- 182.4493
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+107.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Pending — Muscatine BOR
- 2026-04-28 Price Changed $83,000 Muscatine BOR
- 2026-04-15 Listed $87,500 Muscatine BOR
- 2020-10-26 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2020-10-23 Sold (MLS) $58,000 Muscatine BOR
- 2020-06-01 Listed $69,000 Muscatine BOR
- 1999-12-16 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,278 · +6.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…