509 W Agency Rd #55 · West Burlington, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$31,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Well maintained 2013 Harmony Homes mobile home located in Western Pines Mobile Home Park in West Burlington. This 3-bedroom, 2 full bath home offers a functional open-concept layout connecting the kitchen, dining, and living areas ideal for everyday living. The home features a dedicated laundry room, a spacious primary suite with private bath and a split-bedroom design for added privacy. Measuring 16x76 (1,216 sq ft), this home provides comfortable living at an affordable price point. Property is being sold as-is. * These are Manufactured Homes & do not include Real Estate ground underneath the property. There are lease restrictions for the land these units are on. Contact the listing
Key facts
- Built 2013
- Listed 59 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Located in Western Pines Mobile Home Park
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with a $450 monthly fee that includes trash
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home; Residential property
- Construction: Vinyl siding
- Exterior features: Storage; Public utilities (water and sewer)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Range; Microwave; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Washer; Dryer
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $32k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $6 ($71/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($853 rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $31k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 82/100 on livability (#47 in IA, #1,179 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, crime D-, amenities F.
- West Burlington Ind School District (town): math 66% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #140 of 289 in IA (top 48%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $218 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $945 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 60 days — a 3% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 53% of rent.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 60 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.71% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.80%
- DSCR
- 1.04
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-4,440
- Equity at exit
- $4,697
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.75×
- Total profit
- $-2,209
- Equity at exit
- $2,724
Cash invested: $8,820 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 52655
- Home prices YoY
- -5.7%
- Active inventory
- 22
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $853 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$165
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$39 /mo · $472/yr
- Insurance
- −$13
- HOA
- −$450
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$179
- Net cashflow
- $6
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $28 | -5% $17 | +0% $6 | +5% $-5 | +10% $-16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-61 | -5% $-28 | +0% $6 | +5% $40 | +10% $73 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $22 | -0.5pp $14 | base $6 | +0.5pp $-2 | +1.0pp $-11 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,875
- Closing costs
- $945
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4051 West Ave Burlington, IA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 723 | $1,060 | $1.47 | 44d | 2 | 1.06mi |
| 2911 Market St Unit 2909 Burlington, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $625 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2645 Newbury Cir Burlington, IA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $825 | $1.00 | 44d | 3 | 1.45mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $450 · $5,400/yr
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $31,500 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $31,500 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $31,500 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $31,500 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $31,500 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $31,500 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $31,500 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $31,500 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $31,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $31,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $31,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $35,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $35,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $35,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $35,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-13price $35,000
-
2026-04-20$40,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,231
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,764
- − Property taxes
- −$472
- − Insurance
- −$158
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$819
- − Management
- −$819
- − HOA
- −$5,400
- − Depreciation
- −$916
- Taxable loss
- −$116
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$28
- After-tax cash flow
- $99/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
A fair condition manufactured home with cosmetic updates needed to enhance its resale and rental value.
Repairs flagged
- Minor Kitchen cabinets — Worn appearance
- Minor Bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Minor Exterior siding — Weathered appearance
- Minor Interior walls — Faded paint
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and appearance
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and longevity
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| Kitchen cabinets · Worn appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Exterior siding · Weathered appearance | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Interior walls · Faded paint | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 4 items | $2,000–12,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics ↑
- Both Replace worn kitchen cabinets — New cabinets improve functionality and appearance ↑
- Both Upgrade bathroom fixtures — Modern fixtures increase appeal and functionality ↑
- Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint improves curb appeal and longevity ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- West Burlington Ind School District
- NCES district ID
- 1930780
- Math proficiency
- 66% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,093
- Composite
- 59.62/100
- National rank
- #910
- State rank
- #140 of 289 in IA
Livability — West Burlington
- Score
- 82/100
- State rank
- #47
- US rank
- #1179
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- West Burlington, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 4,300
Population outlook (Des Moines County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 39,735 people
- By 2030
- 39,257 · -1.2%
- By 2040
- 38,090 · -4.1%
- By 2050
- 37,156 · -6.5%
- By 2075
- 36,905 · -7.1%
- By 2100
- 37,222 · -6.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (86%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 86% Two or more races 6% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Des Moines
- 2024 margin
- R (+15.1) · D 41.8% · R 56.8% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -38.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -15.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+15.1 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+7.0 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+23.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -12.25%
- Current HPI
- 201.4077
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
||
| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
|
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Price history
-12.5% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-13 Price Changed $35,000 IAR
- 2026-04-20 Listed $40,000 IAR
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…