117 Vanderbilt Dr · Mobile, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$179,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Perfect property located within walking distance to the University of South Alabama--one of the largest universities in South Alabama. Low maintenance brick home on a slab. Seperate dining room that could also be used as an additional living room or sitting area. Large fenced-in yard. A home in this area and price is a rare find!
Key facts
- 0.27 acre lot
- Built 1965
- Listed 23 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $291 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $180k).
- Recommended offer: $177k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Mobile — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#20 in AL, #4,262 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Mobile County (urban): math 15% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #81 of 129 in AL (top 63%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Mary B Austin Elementary School (math 29% / reading 59%, grade F, #194 of 627 statewide, top 32%, 511 students, 51% FRL); Mattie T Blount High School (math 2% / reading 3%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 1,176 students, 86% FRL) — zoned schools at 69% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.2%/yr); 341 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,678 units permitted in Mobile County in 2024 (264 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Mobile County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.2% rent growth), your $50k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $125k; 44% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.94%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $238,728
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 University Blvd N | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-6%) | 2mo | $150,000 | $98 | 81 |
| 100 Cosgrove Dr | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,604 (-1%) | 6mo | $259,000 | $161 | 79 |
| 301 Judson Dr | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 | 1,498 (-8%) | 4mo | $198,900 | $133 | 74 |
| 113 Hilltop Dr E | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,625 (+0%) | 4mo | $250,000 | $154 | 74 |
| 5400 Hilltop Dr S | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,627 (+0%) | 6mo | $225,000 | $138 | 72 |
| 5516 Brightwood Ln | 0.12mi | 3/2.0 | 1,390 (-14%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $122 | 67 |
| 312 Vanderbilt Dr | 0.23mi | 3/2.0 | 1,436 (-12%) | 3mo | $230,000 | $160 | 66 |
| 5257 Greenwood Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,500 (-8%) | 5mo | $220,000 | $147 | 62 |
| 5405 Hilltop Dr N | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,415 (-13%) | 2mo | $229,600 | $162 | 61 |
| 320 University Blvd N | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 | 1,853 (+14%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $135 | 56 |
| 5204 Pineview Ln S | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,740 (+7%) | 4mo | $284,000 | $163 | 51 |
| 105 Village Cir W | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,403 (-14%) | 1mo | $185,500 | $132 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-4,516
- Equity at exit
- $26,824
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.92×
- Total profit
- $46,579
- Equity at exit
- $15,554
Cash invested: $50,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36608
- Rents YoY
- 6.2%
- Active inventory
- 341
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,863 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$943
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$391
- Net cashflow
- $291
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $393 | -5% $342 | +0% $291 | +5% $240 | +10% $190 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $144 | -5% $218 | +0% $291 | +5% $365 | +10% $439 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $382 | -0.5pp $337 | base $291 | +0.5pp $245 | +1.0pp $197 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $44,975
- Closing costs
- $5,397
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 304 N University Blvd Unit 1043721P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $4,148 | $2.77 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 316 Syracuse St Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1776 | $1,875 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 112 S University Blvd Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 4.5 | 1472 | $1,810 | $1.23 | 14d | 5 | 0.43mi |
| 5207 Azalea Cir S Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 5213 Pineview Ln S Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1176 | $1,575 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 6016 Magnolia Pl E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,800 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4670 Rosewood Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,200 | $1.01 | 14d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5855 Woodvale Dr Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1712 | $1,350 | $0.79 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 912 Wendover Rd Unit 1043703P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1496 | $3,190 | $2.13 | 22d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 5477 Ardell Dr Unit 1043691P Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $2,680 | $1.79 | 14d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 6474B Cedar Bend Ct Mobile, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1444 | $1,600 | $1.11 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5904 Saint Gallen Ave S Unit 1043743P Mobile, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1496 | $3,719 | $2.49 | 22d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 914 David Langan Dr E Mobile, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1080 | $1,450 | $1.34 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $179,900 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $179,900 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $179,900 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $179,900 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $179,900 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $179,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $179,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-10statusdays on market $179,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-09status $179,900 Pending 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $179,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $179,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $179,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $179,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $179,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $179,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $179,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $179,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-22historical $179,900
-
2018-04-19soldstatus $124,920
-
2009-08-19soldstatus $130,046
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,942 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,942 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,353
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,077
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,788
- − Management
- −$1,788
- − Depreciation
- −$5,233
- Taxable income
- $624
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$150
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,346/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mobile County
- NCES district ID
- 0102370
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 39% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,455
- Composite
- 22.9/100
- National rank
- #8002
- State rank
- #81 of 129 in AL
Livability — Mobile
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #20
- US rank
- #4262
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mobile, AL
- County
- Mobile County · 246,577 people
- City population
- 205,729
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,890
- Household income
- $61,146
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1823.0
Population outlook (Mobile County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,303 people
- By 2030
- 411,755 · -0.9%
- By 2040
- 399,670 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 382,616 · -7.9%
- By 2075
- 337,353 · -18.8%
- By 2100
- 283,391 · -31.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Mobile
- 2024 margin
- R (+16.4) · D 41.3% · R 57.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.7pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -16.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+16.4 2020: R+11.9 2016: R+13.9 2012: R+9.3 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -224.52%
- Current HPI
- 198.9469
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.15%
- Metro
- Mobile, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+38.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Coming Soon $179,900 GCMLS AL
- 2018-04-19 Sold (Public Records) $124,920 Public Records
- 2009-08-19 Sold (Public Records) $130,046 Public Records
Property tax history
+12.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,942 · -1.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…