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69 Winter St Multi-family
C Composite 55.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.3/15.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$450,000

69 Winter St · Danielson, CT 06239
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 3,897 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1880 0.47 ac lot $115/sqft · 7% above area Est $420k · 7% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Enormous apartments capable of high rental revenue. Large lot with nice yard. Close to i-395. Excellent location.

Key facts

  • In-unit laundry
  • Mature landscaping
  • Open-concept layout

Tags

THREE RENOVATED UNITSUPDATED EAT-IN KITCHENPRIVATE PRIMARY SUITEIN-UNIT LAUNDRYOPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTMATURE LANDSCAPING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Multi-family for sale (3-family)

Exterior

  • Parking: Paved parking; On-street parking; Off-street parking; 8 total parking spaces
  • Security: No specific security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Public sewer connected; Extra insulation; Generator ready; Thermopane windows
  • Home design: Multi-family property (3-family); Frame construction; Yellow exterior siding
  • Construction: Asphalt shingle roof; Vinyl siding; Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Corner, level lot; Sidewalk; Shed; Porch; Deck; Covered deck; Garden area

Interior

  • Kitchen: No specific kitchen appliance list provided
  • Bedrooms: 5 bedrooms
  • Flooring: No flooring details provided
  • Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot air heating; Electric and gas (in street) fuel sources; 30-gallon hot water tank
  • Interior features: 12 total rooms; Full unfinished basement with interior access, concrete floor, storage, and hatchway; Ceiling fans; Central air
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on main and second levels; Washer/dryer hookups in Unit 1 and Unit 2; some units include washer/dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath multifamily listed at $450k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $954 ($11k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($5k rent vs $450k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#5 in CT, #679 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
  • Killingly School District (rural): math 21% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #119 of 153 in CT (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Killingly Intermediate School (math 19% / reading 46%, grade F, #132 of 175 statewide, top 76%, 667 students, 52% FRL); Killingly High School (math 17% / reading 57%, grade F, #112 of 194 statewide, top 60%, 788 students, 43% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 64 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 149 units permitted in Northeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $4,931/mo this rent would consume 80% of the median local household income ($74k/yr) (locally 223% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $14k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 7 sale attempts since 25y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $450,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.10%
Cap rate
8.84%
Cash-on-cash
9.08%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$419,785
List price
$450,000
Delta
7.20%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
69 Winter St 0.00mi 5/4.0 (+1) 3,897 (0%) 1mo $525,000 $135 90

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.6%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-12,216
Equity at exit
$67,096
10-year hold
IRR
7.1%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$67,449
Equity at exit
$38,908

Cash invested: $126,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Connecticut
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

ZIP-level market 06239

Home prices YoY
-4.8%
Active inventory
64
Price-to-rent
22.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$4,931 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,360
Tax from tax record
$395 /mo · $4,735/yr
Insurance
$188
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$1,036
Net cashflow
$954

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,724
Max offer price $450,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,208 -5% $1,081 +0% $954 +5% $826 +10% $699
Rent -10% $564 -5% $759 +0% $954 +5% $1,148 +10% $1,343
Rate -1.0pp $1,180 -0.5pp $1,068 base $954 +0.5pp $837 +1.0pp $718

3-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (3 units) $4,931

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$112,500
Closing costs
$13,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
85 Maple St Killingly, CT 3.0 2.5 3132 $2,500 $0.80 45d 1 0.42mi

Listing history 16 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Under Contract 1378-char remark
  2. 2026-05-06
    listed $450,000 Active 1378-char remark
  3. 2025-11-13
    historical $1,200
  4. 2025-11-04
    listed $1,200
  5. 2024-12-04
    historical $1,200
  6. 2024-11-16
    listed $1,200
  7. 2024-06-19
    historical $1,200
  8. 2024-06-05
    listed $1,200
  9. 2010-05-30
    historical
  10. 2010-01-07
    listed $109,900
  11. 2006-11-22
    soldstatus $260,000
  12. 2004-07-01
    soldstatus $180,000
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Enormous apartments capable of high rental revenue. Large lot with nice yard. Close to i-395. Excellent location.

  13. 2004-07-01
    soldstatus $180,000
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Enormous apartments capable of high rental revenue. Large lot with nice yard. Close to i-395. Excellent location.

  14. 2004-03-11
    listed $215,000
    Show marketing remark (113 chars)

    Enormous apartments capable of high rental revenue. Large lot with nice yard. Close to i-395. Excellent location.

  15. 2002-01-11
    soldstatus $95,000
  16. 2001-08-28
    listed $112,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$4,735 · $395/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$7,182 · $599/mo
Expected delta
+$2,448/yr (+$204/mo · 51.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$59,172
− Mortgage interest
−$25,207
− Property taxes
−$4,735
− Insurance
−$2,250
− Repairs & maintenance
−$4,734
− Management
−$4,734
− Depreciation
−$13,091
Taxable income
$4,422
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,061
After-tax cash flow
$10,382/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Killingly School District
NCES district ID
0902070
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$55,485
Composite
28.71/100
National rank
#6684
State rank
#119 of 153 in CT

Livability — Danielson

Score
84/100
State rank
#5
US rank
#679

Category grades

Amenities C+ Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Danielson, CT
County
Windham County · 30,529 people
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
Population (ZIP)
11,185
Household income
$74,267
Rent vs Own
30.7% rent · 69.3% own
Severe rent burden
223.0

Population outlook (Northeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

By 2040
104,160

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (86%)
Race & ethnicity
White 86% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 14% Russian 4% Romanian 4%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Northeastern Connecticut

2024 margin
R (+15.4) · D 41.5% · R 57.0% · Other 1.5%
All cycles
2024: R+15.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -11.75%
Current HPI
233.1548
Rent YoY
Metro
Worcester, MA-CT
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.06%
F500 in state
38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+368.8% since first listed
17 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Sold (MLS) $525,000 Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending Smart MLS
  • 2026-05-06 Listed $450,000 Smart MLS
  • 2025-11-13 Rental Removed $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2025-11-04 Listed for Rent $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2024-12-04 Rental Removed $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2024-11-16 Listed for Rent $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2024-06-19 Rental Removed $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2024-06-05 Listed for Rent $1,200 SMARTMLS
  • 2010-05-30 Listing Removed Smart MLS
  • 2010-01-07 Listed $109,900 Smart MLS
  • 2006-11-22 Sold (Public Records) $260,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $180,000 Public Records
  • 2004-07-01 Sold (MLS) $180,000 Smart MLS
  • 2004-03-11 Listed $215,000 Smart MLS
  • 2002-01-11 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Smart MLS
  • 2001-08-28 Listed $112,000 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $4,735 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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