7021 Georgia Rd · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$50,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home ready for a new owner sitting on a large lot. Could make a nice primary residence or rental property. Covered patio out back and conveniently located to restaurants, grocery stores, and downtown Birmingham. Home has had several upgrades in the last few years. Flooring has been redone, Kitchen redone, New insulation installed along with a window unit added. New Electrical, plumbing, water heater and sewer line. Schedule your showing today.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- Built 1953
- Listed 71 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $50k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $442 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $50k).
- Recommended offer: $47k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 18.5% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, schools F, crime F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 81 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 55% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($37k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $346 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $14k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($47k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $14k; list at $50k implies a 260% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1953 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1953 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.10% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.61%
- DSCR
- 2.94
- GRM
- 4.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,983
- List price
- $50,000
- Delta
- -26.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7212 Georgia Rd | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 | 798 (-4%) | 7mo | $40,000 | $50 | 81 |
| 6936 66th St S | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 880 (+6%) | 6mo | $80,500 | $91 | 70 |
| 6022 5th Ter S | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (+1%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $250 | 67 |
| 6924 67th St S | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 916 (+11%) | 8mo | $15,000 | $16 | 64 |
| 521 Athens Ct | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 876 (+6%) | 10mo | $48,000 | $55 | 62 |
| 6713 Harve Ave | 0.39mi | 2/1.0 | 936 (+13%) | 9mo | $35,000 | $37 | 52 |
| 560 Antwerp Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-13%) | 10mo | $24,500 | $34 | 50 |
| 559 63rd St | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 888 (+7%) | 15mo | $100,000 | $113 | 46 |
| 545 Antwerp Ct | 0.38mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 908 (+10%) | 23mo | $88,776 | $98 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.44×
- Total profit
- $20,114
- Equity at exit
- $7,455
- IRR
- 40.9%
- Equity multiple
- 4.85×
- Total profit
- $53,963
- Equity at exit
- $4,323
Cash invested: $14,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35212
- Active inventory
- 81
- Price-to-rent
- 4.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,050 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$262
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $448/yr
- Insurance
- −$21
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$220
- Net cashflow
- $442
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $12,500
- Closing costs
- $1,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6936 66th St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,050 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 417 Athens Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 978 | $1,250 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 516 Athens Ct Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 738 | $1,123 | $1.52 | 2d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 6732 Frankfort Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 924 | $995 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 559 63rd St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,000 | $1.08 | 3d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 573 61st St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 7716 Sunrise Cir Birmingham, AL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 795 | $1,000 | $1.26 | 44d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 605 71st St S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1024 | $1,303 | $1.27 | 2d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 7025 4th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1090 | $845 | $0.78 | 44d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 201 70th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $950 | $0.96 | 44d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 7005 2nd Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 939 | $950 | $1.01 | 44d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 6820 Division Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1122 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 126 66th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1038 | $1,200 | $1.16 | 14d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 7017 Division Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,050 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 7119 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,100 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 7213 Naples Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 937 | $1,100 | $1.17 | 12d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 224 69th Pl N Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 894 | $975 | $1.09 | 44d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 137 59th St N Unit 3 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 24d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 137 59th St N Apt 6 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $725 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 7216 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,125 | $1.16 | 19d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 5811 2nd Ave N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,200 | $1.20 | 3d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 7313 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $1,395 | $1.40 | 3d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 1522 Cooper Hill Rd Birmingham, AL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 875 | $1,099 | $1.26 | 2d | 17 | 1.18mi |
| 7404 Paris Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 802 | $1,200 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 630 77th St S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $983 | $0.89 | 3d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 409 Oporto Madrid Blvd Unit J Birmingham, AL | 1.0 | 1.0 | 952 | $850 | $0.89 | 44d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 44d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7341 Rome Ave Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,275 | $1.27 | 3d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 7728 Rugby Ave Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 7701 7th Ave S Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $850 | $1.06 | 24d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit 2 Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,000 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 7740 Rugby Ave Unit b Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,100 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 131 Chestnut St Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 927 | $1,649 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 7721 1st Ave S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 956 | $949 | $0.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 756 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1096 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 7728 1st Ave S Apt C Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $950 | $1.00 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 972 53rd St N Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 841 | $900 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 836 Vanderbilt St Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1072 | $850 | $0.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 7801 3rd Ave S Unit B Birmingham, AL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,000 | $0.91 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $50,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $50,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $50,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $50,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $50,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $50,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $50,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $50,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $50,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $50,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $50,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $50,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $50,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-04-08$50,000 Active 477-char remark
Show marketing remark (477 chars)
Charming 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home ready for a new owner sitting on a large lot. Could make a nice primary residence or rental property. Covered patio out back and conveniently located to restaurants, grocery stores, and downtown Birmingham. Home has had several upgrades in the last few years. Flooring has been redone, Kitchen redone, New insulation installed along with a window unit added. New Electrical, plumbing, water heater and sewer line. Schedule your showing today.
-
2020-10-23status Pending 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
This is a slab home with solid framing. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with large kitchen. Nice large backyard. The ceiling in the living room has fallen but it doesn't appear to be from rain/water damage.
-
2020-10-23soldstatus $13,900 Sold 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
This is a slab home with solid framing. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with large kitchen. Nice large backyard. The ceiling in the living room has fallen but it doesn't appear to be from rain/water damage.
-
2020-10-13$16,900 Active 192-char remark
Show marketing remark (192 chars)
This is a slab home with solid framing. 2 bedroom, 1 bath with large kitchen. Nice large backyard. The ceiling in the living room has fallen but it doesn't appear to be from rain/water damage.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $448 · $37/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,596
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,801
- − Property taxes
- −$448
- − Insurance
- −$1,048
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,008
- − Management
- −$1,008
- − Depreciation
- −$1,455
- Taxable income
- $4,829
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,159
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,149/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 10,160
- Household income
- $36,633
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 798.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 68% White 24% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 2% Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -190.24%
- Current HPI
- 120.1264
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+195.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $50,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-23 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-23 Sold (MLS) $13,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2020-10-13 Listed $16,900 Greater Alabama MLS
Property tax history
-3.2%/yrLatest (2025): $448 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…