3422 Race St · Flint, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$8,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
Key facts
- 5,227 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 208 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: No garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer (sewer available)
- Home design: Single-family residence; One and one-half stories; Ground-level entry with steps
- Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.12 acres (50 x 100)
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
- Interior features: Unfinished basement; Six total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $8k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $691 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($948 rent vs $8k).
- Recommended offer: $7k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 103.8% vs local median 11.5% in Flint — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#196 in MI, #4,946 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Flint School District (urban): math 7% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #714 of 760 in MI (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 83% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 131 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 419 units permitted in Genesee County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $59 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $255 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Genesee County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $2k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 208 days — a 12% lower offer ($7k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 26y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $1k (14%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $2k; list at $8k implies a 372% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 208 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 11.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 103.78%
- Cash-on-cash
- 348.15%
- DSCR
- 16.49
- GRM
- 0.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $34,584
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3101 Brynmawr Pl | 0.61mi | 3/1.0 | 1,478 (+3%) | 1mo | $50,000 | $34 | 66 |
| 606 Stewart Ave | 0.52mi | 3/2.0 | 1,375 (-5%) | 3mo | $5,000 | $4 | 62 |
| 3002 Proctor St | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,550 (+8%) | 7mo | $99,500 | $64 | 57 |
| 3505 Cassius St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 | 1,510 (+5%) | 18mo | $41,500 | $27 | 55 |
| 3002 N Chevrolet Ave | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,648 (+14%) | 7mo | $29,500 | $18 | 52 |
| 506 Green St | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 1,312 (-9%) | 1mo | $52,000 | $40 | 51 |
| 325 W Dewey St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (-15%) | 7mo | $25,000 | $20 | 51 |
| 3913 Sterling St | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 | 1,600 (+11%) | 15mo | $82,297 | $51 | 49 |
| 326 E Mcclellan St | 0.75mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,466 (+2%) | 12mo | $9,700 | $7 | 45 |
| 3822 Leerda St | 0.58mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,250 (-13%) | 9mo | $30,000 | $24 | 36 |
| 4118 Lawndale Ave | 0.46mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,262 (-12%) | 20mo | $22,500 | $18 | 36 |
| 114 W Stewart Ave | 0.68mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,227 (-15%) | 7mo | $19,000 | $15 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 18.91×
- Total profit
- $42,615
- Equity at exit
- $1,267
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 40.41×
- Total profit
- $93,796
- Equity at exit
- $735
Cash invested: $2,380 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48504
- Active inventory
- 131
- Price-to-rent
- 0.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $948 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$45
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$11 /mo · $128/yr
- Insurance
- −$4
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$199
- Net cashflow
- $691
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $696 | -5% $693 | +0% $691 | +5% $688 | +10% $685 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $616 | -5% $653 | +0% $691 | +5% $728 | +10% $765 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $695 | -0.5pp $693 | base $691 | +0.5pp $688 | +1.0pp $686 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $2,125
- Closing costs
- $255
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 711 W Dewey St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1011 | $925 | $0.91 | 21d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 411 W Marengo Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1350 | $1,072 | $0.79 | 14d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 5413 DuPont St Flint, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1038 | $900 | $0.87 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 100 Rosewood Mnr Flint, MI | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1159 | $947 | $0.82 | 14d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1540 Garland St Flint, MI | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,017 | $0.76 | 21d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 5813 Edwards Ave Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $899 | $0.60 | 14d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 5905 Griggs Dr Flint, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,000 | $1.06 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 41 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $8,500 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $8,500 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $8,500 Active 206 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $8,500 Active 205 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $8,500 Active 203 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $8,500 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $8,500 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $8,500 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $8,500 Active 198 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $8,500 Active 197 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $8,500 Active 194 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $8,500 Active 193 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $8,500 Active 192 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $8,500 Active 191 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $8,500 Active 190 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $8,500 Active 189 DOM
-
2025-12-16price $8,500 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-12-15price $8,500
-
2025-12-01status Active
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2025-11-30historical
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2025-11-21$9,900 Active
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2025-11-21$9,900 Active 231-char remark
Show marketing remark (231 chars)
A property with great potential, ready for renovation or updates to bring it to its full value. Ideal for investors or buyers looking to customize a home to their taste. Homes must be complete with remodeling withing twelve months.
-
2012-03-27soldstatus $1,800 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2012-03-27soldstatus $1,800
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2012-02-28soldstatus $1,800
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2012-02-28soldstatus $1,800
-
2012-02-17historical 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2012-02-17historical
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2011-05-26$2,499 111-char remark
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2011-05-26$2,499
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2011-05-26$2,499
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2011-05-26$2,499
Show marketing remark (111 chars)
Great Investment Opportunity! This 1.5 story home offers 3 bedrooms, 1 bath, full basement. 2 car garage, deck.
-
2001-01-29soldstatus $58,700
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2001-01-29soldstatus $58,700
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2001-01-03historical
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2000-10-23$55,000
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2000-10-23$55,000
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2000-09-18historical
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2000-09-18$50,000
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2000-09-18historical
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2000-09-18$50,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,381
- − Mortgage interest
- −$476
- − Property taxes
- −$128
- − Insurance
- −$42
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$910
- − Management
- −$910
- − Depreciation
- −$247
- Taxable income
- $8,667
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,080
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,206/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Flint School District
- NCES district ID
- 2614520
- Math proficiency
- 7% ▬ 0.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 13% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,954
- Composite
- 10.97/100
- National rank
- #14642
- State rank
- #714 of 760 in MI
Livability — Flint
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #4946
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Flint, MI
- City population
- 93,814
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,873
Population outlook (Genesee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 381,312 people
- By 2030
- 362,731 · -4.9%
- By 2040
- 321,550 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 279,212 · -26.8%
- By 2075
- 193,336 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 128,118 · -66.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (66%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 66% White 24% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Genesee
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 51.4% · R 47.2% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -28.3pp toward R · 2008: 32.5pp · 2024: 4.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+4.2 2020: D+9.3 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+28.2 2008: D+32.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -101.67%
- Current HPI
- 94.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
-83.0% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-16 Price Changed $8,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-12-15 Price Changed $8,500 REALCOMP
- 2025-12-01 Relisted — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Listed $9,900 REALCOMP
- 2025-11-21 Listed $9,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-03-27 Sold (MLS) $1,800 REALCOMP
- 2012-03-27 Sold (MLS) $1,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-28 Sold (MLS) $1,800 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-28 Sold (MLS) $1,800 REALCOMP
- 2012-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-02-17 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-05-26 Listed $2,499 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2011-05-26 Listed $2,499 REALCOMP
- 2011-05-26 Listed $2,499 REALCOMP
- 2011-05-26 Listed $2,499 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-01-29 Sold (MLS) $58,700 REALCOMP
- 2001-01-29 Sold (MLS) $58,700 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2001-01-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-10-23 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-10-23 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-09-18 Listed $50,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-09-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2000-09-18 Listed $50,000 REALCOMP
- 2000-09-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
Property tax history
+25.9%/yrLatest (2018): $1,999 · +74.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…