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Hwy 12 & 16 New Lisbon West #539
C Composite 56.99
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +5.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0
  • Appreciation +1.2/10.0

$99,900

Hwy 12 & 16 New Lisbon West #539 · New Lisbon, WI 53950
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,140 sqft · SingleFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition Est $181k · 45% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Personal property sale - no land included. This brand new 16x80 manufactured home in New Lisbon offers 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms, providing plenty of space for comfortable living. The open-concept layout creates a welcoming atmosphere, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The spacious kitchen features ample cabinetry and flows seamlessly into the dining and living areas. The primary suite includes a private full bath, while two additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Located in a convenient area close to local amenities, shopping, and dining, this home combines comfort, value, and accessibility. Whether you're a first-time buyer or loo

Key facts

  • Ample cabinetry
  • Spacious kitchen
  • Convenient area

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTSPACIOUS KITCHENAMPLE CABINETRYPRIVATE FULL BATHCONVENIENT AREALOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Estimated finished above-grade living area in the 1,001–1,250 sq ft range; No finished below-grade space
  • Financial info: Total taxes reported for 2026

Exterior

  • Utilities: Municipal water; Municipal sewer; Natural gas
  • Home design: Single-family home; One story; Entry level: Main; Zoning: R-3
  • Construction: Manufactured home (sale of home only — land not included)
  • Exterior features: Vinyl exterior

Interior

  • Kitchen: Pantry; Range/Oven; Refrigerator; Dishwasher
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom (Main) — 12 x 15; Bedroom 2 (Main) — 8 x 10; Bedroom 3 (Main) — 9 x 15
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (including a full master bath)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Natural gas heat
  • Interior features: Walk-in closet(s)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $100k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $98 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $100k (0.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $100k (0.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#565 in WI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • New Lisbon School District (rural): math 13% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #334 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: New Lisbon Elementary (math 17% / reading 22%, grade F, #864 of 1,041 statewide, top 85%, 334 students, 55% FRL); New Lisbon Junior High/High (math 8% / reading 17%, grade F, #435 of 483 statewide, top 90%, 248 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 154 units permitted in Juneau County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Juneau County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer $99,848

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.00%
Cap rate
7.48%
Cash-on-cash
4.22%
DSCR
1.19
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,260
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
487 State St 0.41mi 3/1.0 1,100 (-4%) 10mo $175,000 $159 63
316 W State St 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,200 (+5%) 13mo $168,000 $140 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.7%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-9,905
Equity at exit
$14,895
10-year hold
IRR
-0.3%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-493
Equity at exit
$8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Wisconsin
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; Madison / Milwaukee have some local enforcement.

ZIP-level market 53950

Home prices YoY
-1.9%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$998 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax est. 1.5%
$125 /mo · $1,498/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$210
Net cashflow
$98

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,900
Occupancy floor 85%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,975
Closing costs
$2,997
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,900 Active 10 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,900 Active 9 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,900 Active 8 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 7 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,900 Active 6 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $99,900 Active 5 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,900 Active 4 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    remarks 699-char remark
  9. 2026-06-09
    listed $99,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 13 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,982
− Mortgage interest
−$5,596
− Property taxes
−$1,498
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$959
− Management
−$959
− Depreciation
−$2,906
Taxable loss
−$435
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$105
After-tax cash flow
$1,285/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 None rehab

This brand new 16x80 manufactured home is in excellent condition with a good condition score of 80. It is move-in ready and offers a spacious kitchen, two full bathrooms, and a well-maintained exterior. The home is located in a convenient area close to local amenities, shopping, and dining.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Painting the exterior and interior walls — Fresh paint enhances curb appeal and interior aesthetics.
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and adds value to the property.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
New Lisbon School District
NCES district ID
5510560
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$45,996
Composite
15.02/100
National rank
#9358
State rank
#334 of 342 in WI

Livability — New Lisbon

Score
64/100
State rank
#565
US rank
#14435

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A- Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
New Lisbon, WI
Population (ZIP)
5,838

Population outlook (Juneau County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,013 people
By 2030
24,154 · -3.4%
By 2040
22,217 · -11.2%
By 2050
20,276 · -18.9%
By 2075
15,919 · -36.4%
By 2100
11,351 · -54.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (84%)
Race & ethnicity
White 84% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 5% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Juneau

2024 margin
Solid R (+32.1) · D 33.4% · R 65.6% · Other 1.0%
2008→2024 swing
-41.1pp toward R · 2008: 9.0pp · 2024: -32.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+32.1 2020: R+29.2 2016: R+26.3 2012: D+7.1 2008: D+9.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -7.53%
Current HPI
391.69
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.10%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-08 Listed $99,900 SCWMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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