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750 Pickard Rd
C Composite 57.88
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.8/30.0
  • DSCR +8.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$149,900

750 Pickard Rd · Temperance, MI 48182
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 697 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1950 0.44 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Amazing two bedroom home in temperance , new kitchen cabinets , counter top , new sink , 4 new exterior doors , wired in smoke detectors , new toilet , bathroom vanity , faucets , new air conditioner , Brand new Stainless steel gas stove fridge , microwave , washer and dryer included in the price . . giant 61 x 297 lots this home is clean as can be in a great location .

Key facts

  • New air conditioner
  • New kitchen cabinets
  • New sink

Tags

NEW KITCHEN CABINETSNEW SINKNEW AIR CONDITIONERSTAINLESS STEEL GAS STOVEGIANT LOTS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Approximately 697 above-grade finished square feet
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association present

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 1 garage space
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; One-story construction
  • Exterior features: Second garage on property; Lot roughly 61 x 297 x 60 x 298 (about 0.44 acres)

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; 7 total rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $315 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#229 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Bedford Public Schools (suburban): math 33% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #150 of 540 in MI (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Market conditions: 79 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 264 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Monroe County population projected at -20% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $149,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.02%
Cap rate
8.81%
Cash-on-cash
9.00%
DSCR
1.40
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.7%
Equity multiple
0.90×
Total profit
$-4,301
Equity at exit
$22,351
10-year hold
IRR
6.9%
Equity multiple
1.52×
Total profit
$21,814
Equity at exit
$12,961

Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48182

Active inventory
79
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,529 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$786
Tax from tax record
$44 /mo · $531/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$321
Net cashflow
$315

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,130
Max offer price $149,900
Occupancy floor 74%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $400 -5% $357 +0% $315 +5% $272 +10% $230
Rent -10% $194 -5% $254 +0% $315 +5% $375 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $390 -0.5pp $353 base $315 +0.5pp $276 +1.0pp $237

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,475
Closing costs
$4,497
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-02
    status $149,900 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $149,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $149,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    remarks 377-char remark
  5. 2026-05-30
    listed $149,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$531 · $44/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,420 · $118/mo
Expected delta
+$889/yr (+$74/mo · 167.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,345
− Mortgage interest
−$8,397
− Property taxes
−$531
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,468
− Management
−$1,468
− Depreciation
−$4,361
Taxable income
$1,371
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$329
After-tax cash flow
$3,449/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bedford Public Schools
NCES district ID
2604470
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$63,784
Composite
38.22/100
National rank
#4252
State rank
#150 of 540 in MI

Livability — Temperance

Score
72/100
State rank
#229
US rank
#5788

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Monroe · 31,363 people
City population
20,705
Metro
Monroe, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,705
Household income
$83,155
Rent vs Own
16.9% rent · 83.1% own
Severe rent burden
12.7

Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
144,439 people
By 2030
140,033 · -3.1%
By 2040
128,408 · -11.1%
By 2050
115,024 · -20.4%
By 2075
87,273 · -39.6%
By 2100
63,110 · -56.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Black 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 14% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Monroe

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.1) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-31.5pp toward R · 2008: 4.3pp · 2024: -27.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.1 2020: R+22.6 2016: R+22.1 2012: D+1.0 2008: D+4.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -140.99%
Current HPI
158.2484
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $149,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-29 Listed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $531 · -74.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…