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1205 South
D- Composite 39.62
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +9.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +8.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.0/10.0
  • Schools +1.5/10.0

$137,000

1205 South · Greensboro, AL 36744
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,044 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 2005 ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Beautiful home designed by Auburn Rural Studio, locally known as the Rammed Earth House. This unique home is located in the heart of Greensboro, Alabama. One-of-a-kind features makes this home a stunning space.

Key facts

  • Built 2005
  • Listed 83 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (13.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (30.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $95k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#106 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Greensboro High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 294 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $11k of equity ($947 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
  • Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $102k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $95,265 (30.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.70%
Cap rate
5.40%
Cash-on-cash
-3.19%
DSCR
0.86
GRM
12.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
15.6%
Equity multiple
2.11×
Total profit
$42,686
Equity at exit
$96,414
10-year hold
IRR
15.3%
Equity multiple
4.36×
Total profit
$128,724
Equity at exit
$184,498

Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36744

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
36
Price-to-rent
12.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$953 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$718
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $949/yr
Insurance
$57
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$200
Net cashflow
$-102

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,082
Max offer price $118,972
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-25 -5% $-63 +0% $-102 +5% $-141 +10% $-180
Rent -10% $-177 -5% $-140 +0% $-102 +5% $-64 +10% $-27
Rate -1.0pp $-33 -0.5pp $-67 base $-102 +0.5pp $-138 +1.0pp $-174

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,250
Closing costs
$4,110
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2023-08-26
    status Pending
  2. 2023-08-15
    historical
  3. 2022-12-19
    soldstatus $102,000
  4. 2022-12-01
    status Pending
  5. 2022-11-06
    price $137,000
  6. 2022-09-06
    listed $147,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$949 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$949 · $79/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,432
− Mortgage interest
−$7,674
− Property taxes
−$949
− Insurance
−$685
− Repairs & maintenance
−$915
− Management
−$915
− Depreciation
−$3,985
Taxable loss
−$3,691
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$886
After-tax cash flow
$-339/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hale County
NCES district ID
0101710
Math proficiency
6% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$31,076
Composite
14.76/100
National rank
#9391
State rank
#109 of 129 in AL

Livability — Greensboro

Score
66/100
State rank
#106
US rank
#11741

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing C Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, AL
Population (ZIP)
5,662

Population outlook (Hale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
13,830 people
By 2030
13,032 · -5.8%
By 2040
11,487 · -16.9%
By 2050
10,091 · -27.0%
By 2075
7,930 · -42.7%
By 2100
6,595 · -52.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Black (63%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 63% White 32% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hale

2024 margin
Lean D (+6.8) · D 53.1% · R 46.2%
2008→2024 swing
-14.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 6.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+6.8 2020: D+18.9 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+21.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.16%
Current HPI
153.454
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.6% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2023-08-26 Pending WAMLS
  • 2023-08-15 Delisted WAMLS
  • 2022-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
  • 2022-12-01 Pending WAMLS
  • 2022-11-06 Price Changed $137,000 WAMLS
  • 2022-09-06 Listed $147,000 WAMLS

Property tax history

+10.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $949 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…