1205 South · Greensboro, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +9.2/30.0
- Appreciation +8.6/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- DSCR +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.0/10.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
$137,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Beautiful home designed by Auburn Rural Studio, locally known as the Rammed Earth House. This unique home is located in the heart of Greensboro, Alabama. One-of-a-kind features makes this home a stunning space.
Key facts
- Built 2005
- Listed 83 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $137k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-102 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (13.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $95k (30.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $95k (30.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#106 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, crime A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Hale County (rural): math 6% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #109 of 129 in AL (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Greensboro Elementary School (math 4% / reading 31%, grade F, #484 of 627 statewide, top 77%, 554 students, 78% FRL); Greensboro Middle School (math 2% / reading 17%, grade F, #227 of 257 statewide, top 90%, 232 students, 88% FRL); Greensboro High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 294 students, 84% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 68% district-wide (15 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 36 active listings in the ZIP; 11 units permitted in Hale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $11k of equity ($947 loan paydown + $10k appreciation (7.2% local appreciation)).
- Hale County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$37k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($129k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $102k; 34% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.70% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- -3.19%
- DSCR
- 0.86
- GRM
- 12.0
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.16% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.6%
- Equity multiple
- 2.11×
- Total profit
- $42,686
- Equity at exit
- $96,414
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 4.36×
- Total profit
- $128,724
- Equity at exit
- $184,498
Cash invested: $38,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36744
- Home prices YoY
- 4.9%
- Active inventory
- 36
- Price-to-rent
- 12.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $953 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$718
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $949/yr
- Insurance
- −$57
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$200
- Net cashflow
- $-102
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-25 | -5% $-63 | +0% $-102 | +5% $-141 | +10% $-180 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-177 | -5% $-140 | +0% $-102 | +5% $-64 | +10% $-27 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-33 | -0.5pp $-67 | base $-102 | +0.5pp $-138 | +1.0pp $-174 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,250
- Closing costs
- $4,110
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 6 events
-
2023-08-26status Pending
-
2023-08-15historical
-
2022-12-19soldstatus $102,000
-
2022-12-01status Pending
-
2022-11-06price $137,000
-
2022-09-06$147,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $949 · $79/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,432
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,674
- − Property taxes
- −$949
- − Insurance
- −$685
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$915
- − Management
- −$915
- − Depreciation
- −$3,985
- Taxable loss
- −$3,691
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$886
- After-tax cash flow
- $-339/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hale County
- NCES district ID
- 0101710
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 31% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,076
- Composite
- 14.76/100
- National rank
- #9391
- State rank
- #109 of 129 in AL
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #106
- US rank
- #11741
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,662
Population outlook (Hale County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 13,830 people
- By 2030
- 13,032 · -5.8%
- By 2040
- 11,487 · -16.9%
- By 2050
- 10,091 · -27.0%
- By 2075
- 7,930 · -42.7%
- By 2100
- 6,595 · -52.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority Black (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 63% White 32% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 1% Slovak 1% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hale
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+6.8) · D 53.1% · R 46.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.8pp toward R · 2008: 21.7pp · 2024: 6.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+6.8 2020: D+18.9 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+25.4 2008: D+21.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.16%
- Current HPI
- 153.454
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-30.6% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2023-08-26 Pending — WAMLS
- 2023-08-15 Delisted — WAMLS
- 2022-12-19 Sold (Public Records) $102,000 Public Records
- 2022-12-01 Pending — WAMLS
- 2022-11-06 Price Changed $137,000 WAMLS
- 2022-09-06 Listed $147,000 WAMLS
Property tax history
+10.0%/yrLatest (2025): $949 · +7.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…