5205 Heatherstone Dr #0 · Baton Rouge, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- ARV discount +10.6/15.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
.NEW ROOF..NEW A/C ... Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE..Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
Key facts
- New a/c
- Pool and tennis
- New roof
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $263 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $165k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.3% in Baton Rouge — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#24 in LA, #4,535 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, crime F, employment D-.
- East Baton Rouge Parish (urban): math 22% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #47 of 98 in LA (top 48%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 77% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Highland Elementary School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #359 of 646 statewide, top 57%, 322 students, 62% FRL); Glasgow Middle School (math 29% / reading 40%, grade F, #93 of 218 statewide, top 43%, 550 students, 60% FRL); Liberty High School (math 50% / reading 74%, grade B-, #15 of 265 statewide, top 6%, 1,208 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools average 60% FRL vs 77% district-wide (17 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 41% at this address vs 28% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the East Baton Rouge Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 315 active listings in the ZIP; 27 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,252 units permitted in East Baton Rouge Parish in 2024 (440 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,954/mo this rent would consume 49% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 1879% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- East Baton Rouge County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 88 days — a 6% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 9 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 88 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.18% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.83%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $177,000
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -6.78%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2261 Stonehenge Ave | 0.11mi | 3/2.0 | 1,926 (-3%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $91 | 88 |
| 5527 Riverstone Dr | 0.11mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,992 (+1%) | 1mo | $186,000 | $93 | 86 |
| 5626 Moorstone Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,973 (-0%) | 12mo | $130,000 | $66 | 81 |
| 5510 Moorstone Dr | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 2,032 (+3%) | 14mo | $180,000 | $89 | 77 |
| 5624 Moorstone Dr | 0.18mi | 3/2.5 | 1,865 (-6%) | 6mo | $128,999 | $69 | 77 |
| 5503 Moorstone Dr | 0.13mi | 2/2.5 (-1) | 1,850 (-7%) | 11mo | $159,900 | $86 | 69 |
| 2403 Brightside Dr #67 | 0.19mi | 3/3.0 | 1,740 (-12%) | 2mo | $207,400 | $119 | 67 |
| 5012 Alvin Dark Ave | 0.14mi | 3/2.0 | 1,806 (-9%) | 14mo | $189,000 | $105 | 65 |
| 2405 Brightside Dr #36 | 0.16mi | 3/3.5 | 1,700 (-14%) | 2mo | $195,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 1542 Sharlo Ave | 0.15mi | 3/2.5 | 1,735 (-12%) | 11mo | $178,500 | $103 | 63 |
| 1741 Brightside Dr Unit j1 | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,746 (-12%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $106 | 60 |
| 5385 Arlington Ct | 0.17mi | 3/3.0 | 1,749 (-12%) | 13mo | $215,555 | $123 | 60 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.79% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-10,296
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- 3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.25×
- Total profit
- $11,373
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70820
- Home prices YoY
- -29.9%
- Rents YoY
- 2.8%
- Active inventory
- 315
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,954 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$160 /mo · $1,916/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- HOA
- −$187
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $263
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $356 | -5% $309 | +0% $263 | +5% $216 | +10% $169 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $108 | -5% $186 | +0% $263 | +5% $340 | +10% $417 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $346 | -0.5pp $305 | base $263 | +0.5pp $220 | +1.0pp $177 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 27 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5112 Arlington Ct Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1601 | $1,850 | $1.16 | 45d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2122 Stonehenge Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1540 | $1,550 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.06mi |
| 5416 Heatherstone Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1990 | $2,000 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.08mi |
| 2452 Brightside Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1246 | $1,600 | $1.28 | 15d | 1 | 0.10mi |
| 1274 Sharlo Ave Unit 1519871P Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1786 | $3,298 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 5648 Riverstone Dr Unit 94A Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1603 | $1,250 | $0.78 | 22d | 1 | 0.16mi |
| 5628 Moorstone Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $1,650 | $0.87 | 45d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 2173 Plantation Ln Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1374 | $1,200 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 5268 S Brightside View Dr Apt 2 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1348 | $1,250 | $0.93 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 2021 S Brightside View Dr Unit C Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 1983 S Brightside View Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,100 | $0.87 | 22d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 1345 Harwich Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1478 | $1,800 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 1835 S Brightside View Dr Unit C Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1250 | $1,375 | $1.10 | 25d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 1741 Brightside Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $1,850 | $1.29 | 15d | 3 | 0.36mi |
| 4521 Y a Tittle Ave Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,150 | $0.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 5107 Nicholson Dr Unit A30 Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $1,350 | $0.99 | 25d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5111 Nicholson Dr Unit A44 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1567 | $1,650 | $1.05 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 900 Dean Lee Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1585 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 25d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 900 Dean Lee Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1585 | $1,800 | $1.14 | 45d | 3 | 0.79mi |
| 5157 Etta St Unit 4G Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1473 | $1,650 | $1.12 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5618 Cottage Lake Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2002 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 5618 Cottage Lake Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2002 | $3,000 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 582 Jennifer Jean Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,500 | $1.09 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 4441 Burbank Dr #108 Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,725 | $1.15 | 25d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 4441 Burbank Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 1544 | $1,750 | $1.13 | 45d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 5030 Myrtle Trail Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1601 | $2,350 | $1.47 | 15d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5578 Arialo Dr Baton Rouge, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1484 | $2,100 | $1.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $187 · $2,244/yr
- Likely covers
- pool
Listing history 31 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $165,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $165,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 79 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 78 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $165,000 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-04-14status Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
.NEW ROOF. .NEW A/C . .. Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE. .Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2026-04-14status Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
.NEW ROOF. .NEW A/C . .. Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE. .Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2026-04-01status Pending 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
.NEW ROOF. .NEW A/C . .. Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE. .Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2026-04-01status Pending 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (139 chars)
.NEW ROOF. .NEW A/C . .. Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE. .Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2026-03-09$165,000 Active 139-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
.NEW ROOF..NEW A/C ... Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE..Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2026-03-09$165,000 Active 136-char remark
Show marketing remark (136 chars)
.NEW ROOF..NEW A/C ... Where can you find a 3 bedroom 2.5 bath with a GARAGE..Pull in the garage and walk into you home. POOL AND TENNIS
-
2024-12-11$174,000 Active
-
2024-12-11historical
-
2024-06-21$174,000 Active
-
2024-06-21$174,000 Active
-
2023-05-31soldstatus $159,900
-
2023-05-26soldstatus Sold
-
2023-04-24status Pending
-
2023-04-06$159,500 Active
-
2023-04-06$159,500
-
1998-09-08soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,916 · $160/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,916 · $160/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,445
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$1,916
- − Insurance
- −$825
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,876
- − Management
- −$1,876
- − HOA
- −$2,244
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable income
- $666
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$160
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,993/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- East Baton Rouge Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200540
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -36.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -31.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,263
- Composite
- 24.14/100
- National rank
- #7745
- State rank
- #47 of 98 in LA
Livability — Baton Rouge
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #4535
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Baton Rouge, LA
- County
- East Baton Rouge Parish · 399,686 people
- City population
- 351,868
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,377
- Household income
- $47,429
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1879.0
Population outlook (East Baton Rouge County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 464,810 people
- By 2030
- 472,137 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 480,243 · +3.3%
- By 2050
- 484,422 · +4.2%
- By 2075
- 492,069 · +5.9%
- By 2100
- 476,347 · +2.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 21% Hispanic / Latino 13% Asian 7% Two or more races 5% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 7% Italian 2% Scotch-Irish 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 3% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · East Baton Rouge
- 2024 margin
- D (+11.1) · D 54.5% · R 43.4% · Other 2.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +8.9pp toward D · 2008: 2.2pp · 2024: 11.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+11.1 2020: D+13.1 2016: D+9.2 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+2.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -56.10%
- Current HPI
- 131.5382
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.79%
- Metro
- Baton Rouge, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+3.4% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-14 Relisted — GBRMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $165,000 GBRMLS
- 2026-03-09 Listed $165,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-12-11 Listed $174,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-12-11 Delisted — GBRMLS
- 2024-06-21 Listed $174,000 GBRMLS
- 2024-06-21 Listed $174,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $159,900 Public Records
- 2023-05-26 Sold (MLS) — GBRMLS
- 2023-04-24 Pending — GBRMLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $159,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-04-06 Listed $159,500 GBRMLS
- 1998-09-08 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+14.3%/yrLatest (2025): $1,916 · +4.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…