13132 N State Highway 21 · Potosi, MO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$64,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
3 Bedroom 2 Bath Mobile Home on 2 Acres with an Additional 1.42 acre Lot in Back. Home has a Large Fenced Yard, A Shed for you Lawn Equipment and a Small Outbuilding with Electric could be used for a Workshop or Extra Storage Area. There is a Large Covered Front Porch and Nice Size Back Deck. The Home is in need of repairs and being Sold As Is.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Shed
- Fenced yard
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 3.42 acres
- Financial info: Seller may consider concessions
Exterior
- Utilities: Well water; Electricity connected (electric: other); Water connected; Sewer: unknown
- Home design: Residential mobile home; One level
- Construction: Construction details: see remarks; Built area reported as 1,280 (above grade)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Outbuilding and shed(s); Gently rolling lot with some trees; State road frontage
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms, all on the main level
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms, both on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Seven total rooms
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $426 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 2.7% in Potosi — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#287 in MO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities D-, commute F.
- Kingston K-14 (rural): math 38% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #88 of 324 in MO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Kingston Elem. (math 57% / reading 67%, grade B, #98 of 1,115 statewide, top 10%, 183 students, 98% FRL); Kingston High (math 17% / reading 62%, grade F, #247 of 521 statewide, top 55%, 254 students, 99% FRL) — zoned schools average 99% FRL vs 63% district-wide (35 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $4k of equity ($449 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
- Washington County population projected at -21% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (5.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 41 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 41 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.61% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 28.14%
- DSCR
- 2.25
- GRM
- 5.2
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
5.34% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.39×
- Total profit
- $43,348
- Equity at exit
- $38,119
- IRR
- 35.9%
- Equity multiple
- 6.89×
- Total profit
- $106,991
- Equity at exit
- $66,925
Cash invested: $18,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 63630
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 5.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,044 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$340
- Tax from tax record
- −$31 /mo · $372/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $426
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $463 | -5% $445 | +0% $426 | +5% $408 | +10% $389 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $344 | -5% $385 | +0% $426 | +5% $467 | +10% $509 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $459 | -0.5pp $443 | base $426 | +0.5pp $409 | +1.0pp $392 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,225
- Closing costs
- $1,947
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-07statusdays on market $64,900 Pending 41 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $64,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $64,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $64,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $64,900 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $64,900 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $64,900 346-char remark
-
2026-04-26$79,900 Active 346-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $372 · $31/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $630 · $52/mo
- Expected delta
- +$257/yr (+$21/mo · 69.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,525
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,635
- − Property taxes
- −$372
- − Insurance
- −$324
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$1,888
- Taxable income
- $4,301
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,082/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kingston K-14
- NCES district ID
- 2931140
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,047
- Composite
- 38.8/100
- National rank
- #4119
- State rank
- #88 of 324 in MO
Livability — Potosi
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #287
- US rank
- #13297
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,765
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 23,761 people
- By 2030
- 22,923 · -3.5%
- By 2040
- 20,992 · -11.7%
- By 2050
- 18,849 · -20.7%
- By 2075
- 13,749 · -42.1%
- By 2100
- 9,016 · -62.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 6% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+65.2) · D 17.1% · R 82.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -65.3pp toward R · 2008: 0.1pp · 2024: -65.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+65.2 2020: R+62.6 2016: R+55.2 2012: R+18.6 2008: D+0.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 5.34%
- Current HPI
- 185.8082
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-18.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-07 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $64,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-26 Listed $79,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $372 · +9.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…