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316 W 138th St
B+ Composite 76.1
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$110,000

316 W 138th St · Riverdale, IL 60827
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,533 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 83 Days on market
Built 1915 4,960 sqft lot Est $189k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

There's room to grow in this oversized home. It has great potential. Full attic that can be finished with 1 bath and 2 bedrooms along with an open floor concept for the first floor. Livingroom is combined with formal dining room, eat-in kitchen & 1 bathroom on the main level. Enclosed back porch and a full unfinished basement waiting your ideas for your new home. Seller has updated the roof, windows and Boiler. Owner has owned property for almost 30 yrs. and is ready to downsizes. This is not a FORCLOSURE, SHORT SALE nor ESTATE SALE. THIS PROPERTY IS BEING SOLD AS-IS. Buyer is to assume Village required inspection and repairs. The property is near public Transportation etc. .. In term

Key facts

  • Enclosed back porch
  • Updated windows
  • Updated roof

Tags

FULL ATTICENCLOSED BACK PORCHFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTUPDATED ROOFUPDATED WINDOWSUPDATED BOILER

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: Halsted north or south to 138th Street, then east to the property
  • HOA & community: No master association fee required

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage (2 garage spaces, 2 total parking spaces)
  • Utilities: Water source: Lake Michigan; Public sewer
  • Home design: Detached single-family home; 2-story residence; Fee simple ownership; Built before 1978
  • Construction: Frame construction; Asphalt roof; Age: approximately 91–100 years
  • Exterior features: Lot dimensions: 40 x 124; Less than 0.25 acre lot; Located near commuter train

Interior

  • Kitchen: Kitchen (main level)
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level); Master bedroom on the main level
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Steam heat with radiators
  • Interior features: Enclosed porch; Full unfinished attic; Unfinished full basement; 5 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Dedicated laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $687 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $103k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 13.8% vs local median 9.5% in Riverdale — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#434 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: health & safety C-, schools F, crime F.
  • Thornton Twp Hsd 205 (suburban): math 7% / reading 8% proficiency, ranked #594 of 620 in IL (top 96%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 77 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,909/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($37k/yr) (locally 1868% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $761 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 83 days — a 6% lower offer ($103k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $49k; list at $110k implies a 124% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1915 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $103,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 83 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1915 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.74%
Cap rate
13.79%
Cash-on-cash
26.77%
DSCR
2.19
GRM
4.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$188,559
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13841 S School St 0.11mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,475 (-4%) 11mo $140,000 $95 73
13704 S Atlantic Ave 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,440 (-6%) 12mo $65,000 $45 72
13845 S Wabash Ave 0.39mi 3/1.0 1,415 (-8%) 2mo $155,000 $110 66
14107 S State St 0.51mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,496 (-2%) 8mo $195,000 $130 58
14115 S Wabash Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 1,600 (+4%) 8mo $237,000 $148 58
14209 S Tracy Ave 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,700 (+11%) 0mo $210,000 $124 56
14233 S Wentworth Ave 0.61mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,630 (+6%) 2mo $200,000 $123 51
163 W 142nd St 0.49mi 3/2.0 1,339 (-13%) 7mo $189,900 $142 48
14206 S Eggleston Ave 0.60mi 3/1.5 1,660 (+8%) 13mo $170,000 $102 48
14237 S La Salle St 0.63mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,679 (+10%) 5mo $128,229 $76 45
14126 S Wabash Ave 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,384 (-10%) 11mo $212,000 $153 45
13934 S Edbrooke Ave 0.52mi 4/2.5 (+1) 1,313 (-14%) 5mo $73,000 $56 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 7.82% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
26.3%
Equity multiple
2.16×
Total profit
$35,718
Equity at exit
$16,401
10-year hold
IRR
36.8%
Equity multiple
5.28×
Total profit
$131,743
Equity at exit
$9,511

Cash invested: $30,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 60827

Home prices YoY
-31.8%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
77
Price-to-rent
4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,909 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$577
Tax from tax record
$198 /mo · $2,376/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$401
Net cashflow
$687

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,039
Max offer price $110,000
Occupancy floor 59%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $749 -5% $718 +0% $687 +5% $656 +10% $625
Rent -10% $536 -5% $612 +0% $687 +5% $763 +10% $838
Rate -1.0pp $743 -0.5pp $715 base $687 +0.5pp $659 +1.0pp $630

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,500
Closing costs
$3,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
13708 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,200 $1.47 23d 1 0.13mi
13604 S Wentworth Ave Riverdale, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 25d 1 0.25mi
19 E 140th Ct Riverdale, IL 3.0 2.0 2076 $2,231 $1.07 9d 1 0.47mi
14124 Manor Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 2.0 1440 $2,390 $1.66 25d 1 0.80mi
14844 Wabash Ave Dolton, IL 3.0 1.5 1277 $2,320 $1.82 25d 1 1.38mi
14305 Irving Ave Unit 2 Dolton, IL 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 25d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $110,000 Active 83 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $110,000 Active 80 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $110,000 Active 79 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $110,000 Active 78 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $110,000 Active 77 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 75 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $110,000 Active 74 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $110,000 Active 71 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $110,000 Active 70 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $110,000 Active 69 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $110,000 Active 66 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $110,000 Active 65 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $110,000 Active 64 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $110,000 Active 63 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $110,000 Active 62 DOM
  16. 2026-04-29
    price $114,900
  17. 2026-03-30
    listed $119,900 Active
  18. 1996-09-26
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,376 · $198/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,437 · $203/mo
Expected delta
+$60/yr (+$5/mo · 2.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,905
− Mortgage interest
−$6,162
− Property taxes
−$2,376
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,832
− Management
−$1,832
− Depreciation
−$3,200
Taxable income
$6,952
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,669
After-tax cash flow
$6,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Thornton Twp Hsd 205
NCES district ID
1738970
Math proficiency
7% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
8% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$43,392
Composite
6.92/100
National rank
#9976
State rank
#594 of 620 in IL

Livability — Riverdale

Score
69/100
State rank
#434
US rank
#8867

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A- Health & safety C- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Riverdale, IL
County
Cook County · 4,486,803 people
City population
24,713
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
Population (ZIP)
24,713
Household income
$37,217
Rent vs Own
59.8% rent · 40.2% own
Severe rent burden
1868.0

Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
5,347,519 people
By 2030
5,357,703 · +0.2%
By 2040
5,324,924 · -0.4%
By 2050
5,230,762 · -2.2%
By 2075
4,785,735 · -10.5%
By 2100
4,188,836 · -21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 88% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Cook

2024 margin
Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -76.39%
Current HPI
163.7725
Rent YoY
▲ 7.82%
Metro
Chicago-Naperville-Elgin, IL-IN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+134.5% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $114,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $119,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-09-26 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-1.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $2,376 · +445.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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