221 W 57th St Unit A27 · Loveland, CO
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $939 – $1,743
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 9 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 10 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$64,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
Key facts
- New air conditioning
- New furnace
- New siding
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Built by Camelot; Located on a cul-de-sac with wooded and native grass surroundings; Minimal flood risk (C rating); Asphalt paved road frontage on a city street; Fire hydrant within 500 feet
Exterior
- Parking: No garage; No designated parking features
- Utilities: City water with meter; Public sewer; Natural gas available (Xcel); Electricity available; Cable and satellite available; High-speed internet available; Trash service (to be determined)
- Home design: Manufactured in park; Mobile home; Level lot and level drive; Accessible / near bus
- Construction: Composition and other exterior materials; Under carriage: HUD; Metal roof; Post and pier foundation
- Exterior features: Patio; Deck; Enclosed porch; Land lease; Storage building
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Open floor plan; Pantry; Window coverings
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $64k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $915 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $64k).
- Recommended offer: $57k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 23.3% vs local median 2.9% in Loveland — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#52 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, amenities A; Watch: crime C-, commute F, cost of living F.
- Thompson School District R-2J (suburban): math 28% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #28 of 86 in CO (top 33%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 436 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,786 units permitted in Larimer County in 2024 (402 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $446 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Larimer County population projected at +51% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 332 days — a 12% lower offer ($57k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 28y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $55k; 17% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 332 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.67% ✓
- Cap rate
- 23.31%
- Cash-on-cash
- 60.76%
- DSCR
- 3.70
- GRM
- 3.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $78,540
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 221 W 57th St Unit 20B | 0.01mi | 2/1.0 | 868 (-6%) | 3mo | $35,000 | $40 | 87 |
| 221 W 57th St Unit 24A | 0.01mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 910 (-2%) | 2mo | $54,000 | $59 | 87 |
| 605 W 57th St #9 | 0.07mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 9mo | $62,000 | $67 | 80 |
| 221 W 57th St Unit A3 | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 938 (+2%) | 2mo | $34,900 | $37 | 77 |
| 605 W 57th St #64 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,024 (+11%) | 1mo | $89,000 | $87 | 74 |
| 605 W 57th St #42 | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+14%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $85 | 67 |
| 605 W 57th St | 0.07mi | 2/2.0 | 1,056 (+14%) | 2mo | $89,900 | $85 | 67 |
| 420 E 57th St #283 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 924 (0%) | 1mo | $70,000 | $76 | 58 |
| 420 E 57th St #203 | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 938 (+2%) | 5mo | $32,000 | $34 | 56 |
| 420 E 57th Street #223 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+14%) | 3mo | $99,000 | $94 | 32 |
| 420 E 57th St | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+11%) | 10mo | $113,000 | $110 | 32 |
| 420 E 57th St #131 | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,024 (+11%) | 10mo | $113,000 | $110 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.11% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 59.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.66×
- Total profit
- $48,010
- Equity at exit
- $9,617
- IRR
- 64.5%
- Equity multiple
- 7.52×
- Total profit
- $117,696
- Equity at exit
- $5,577
Cash invested: $18,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80538
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 436
- Price-to-rent
- 3.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,722 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$338
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $968/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$362
- Net cashflow
- $915
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $959 | -5% $937 | +0% $915 | +5% $892 | +10% $870 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $778 | -5% $846 | +0% $915 | +5% $983 | +10% $1,051 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $947 | -0.5pp $931 | base $915 | +0.5pp $898 | +1.0pp $881 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,125
- Closing costs
- $1,935
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6444 Eden Garden Dr Loveland, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1033 | $1,850 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 4952 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,619 | $1.74 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4950 Basswood Dr Unit 4952 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $1,495 | $1.61 | 15d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 4927 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,695 | $1.88 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 4885 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 894 | $1,595 | $1.78 | 24d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 4832 Basswood Dr Unit 4838 Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,300 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4838 Basswood Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,433 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 4830 N Grant Ave Loveland, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 866 | $1,662 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 171 E 42nd St Loveland, CO | 1.0 | 1.5 | 889 | $1,900 | $2.14 | 24d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1650 Oak Creek Dr Loveland, CO | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1072 | $1,985 | $1.85 | 15d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 32 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $64,500 Active 332 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $64,500 Active 329 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $64,500 Active 328 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $64,500 Active 327 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $64,500 Active 326 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $64,500 Active 324 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $64,500 Active 323 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $64,500 Active 321 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $64,500 Active 320 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $64,500 Active 319 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $64,500 Active 318 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $64,500 Active 314 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $64,500 Active 313 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $64,500 Active 312 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $64,500 Active 311 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $64,500 Active 310 DOM
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2026-05-15price $64,500
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2025-07-24$69,500 Active
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2025-03-31historical
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2025-01-29$72,500 Active
-
2024-04-29soldstatus $55,000 Sold 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
-
2024-04-16historical Active - Backup 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
-
2024-02-28price $57,000 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
-
2023-11-03status Active
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
-
2023-11-03price $62,000
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
-
2023-11-03$62,000 Active 616-char remark
Show marketing remark (616 chars)
Price Improvement! Totally updated home! Motivated Seller! Don't miss this! New Furnace, New Air Conditioning, New Siding & paint outside, New paint inside, New laminate flooring throughout. New fixtures, new front door, new plumbing, Roof recoated. Wonderful kitchen open to the large living room. Great for a single person or a couple! 55+ community. Home in a quiet Cul-de-sac. Lovely screened in porch, beautiful front yard, easy car flooring. Appliances come with home. Small dog ok with park approval. Lot rent only $890.00. Don't miss this!! Buyer or buyer's agent to verify lot rent & square footage.
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2023-10-10historical
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2023-10-10historical
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2023-09-18price $65,000
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2023-07-30$72,500 Active
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1998-11-19soldstatus $19,000
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1998-11-03$21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 5/10 Major 9 unhealthy d/yr today · 10 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,662
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,613
- − Property taxes
- −$968
- − Insurance
- −$322
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,653
- − Management
- −$1,653
- − Depreciation
- −$1,876
- Taxable income
- $10,577
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,538
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,436/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thompson School District R-2J
- NCES district ID
- 0805400
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $63,040
- Composite
- 34.01/100
- National rank
- #5313
- State rank
- #28 of 86 in CO
Livability — Loveland
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #5353
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Larimer County · 338,255 people
- City population
- 94,535
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,110
- Household income
- $86,671
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1447.0
Population outlook (Larimer County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 415,361 people
- By 2030
- 457,762 · +10.2%
- By 2040
- 542,310 · +30.6%
- By 2050
- 627,048 · +51.0%
- By 2075
- 833,722 · +100.7%
- By 2100
- 952,590 · +129.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 10% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Larimer
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.6) · D 57.4% · R 39.8% · Other 2.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 9.7pp · 2024: 17.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.6 2020: D+15.4 2016: D+4.9 2012: D+5.2 2008: D+9.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -515.25%
- Current HPI
- 242.9397
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.11%
- Metro
- Fort Collins, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
|
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
|
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Price history
+200.0% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Price Changed $64,500 IRES
- 2025-07-24 Listed $69,500 IRES
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2025-01-29 Listed $72,500 IRES
- 2024-04-29 Sold (MLS) $55,000 IRES
- 2024-04-16 Contingent — IRES
- 2024-02-28 Price Changed $57,000 IRES
- 2023-11-03 Relisted — IRES
- 2023-11-03 Price Changed $62,000 IRES
- 2023-11-03 Listed $62,000 IRES
- 2023-10-10 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2023-10-10 Listing Removed — IRES
- 2023-09-18 Price Changed $65,000 IRES
- 2023-07-30 Listed $72,500 IRES
- 1998-11-19 Sold (MLS) $19,000 IRES
- 1998-11-03 Listed $21,500 IRES
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…