537 Lynnhaven Dr · Toledo, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 101°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.7/30.0
- Appreciation +5.4/10.0
- DSCR +4.5/10.0
- Rent growth +4.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
$124,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Charming Midwestern style Cape-Cod home offering more space and flexibility than meets the eye! Situated on a rare double lot (combined to one parcel) this property provides an expansive yard with both side and backyard space. Inside you'll find approximately 1100 ft. ² above grade, plus a finished lower level that expands the living options even further. The basement feature is a private living area with a wet bar, half bath and additional bedroom set up; ideal for guests, extended living, or multi-use space. The upper level offers its own private suite, with a half bath, creating a unique layout with separation of versatility across all three levels. Major updates include a newer roo
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1952
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($389/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (16.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $104k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
- Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Harvard Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,584 statewide, top 80%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $936 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
- Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.60%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.11%
- DSCR
- 1.05
- GRM
- 10.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $89,216
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 537 Lynnhaven Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,088 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $138 | 90 |
| 219 Storrs | 0.35mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,056 (-3%) | 2mo | $81,800 | $77 | 72 |
| 1922 Heatherdale Dr | 0.17mi | 2/1.0 | 946 (-13%) | 2mo | $111,000 | $117 | 69 |
| 855 Brighton Ave | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,070 (-2%) | 2mo | $97,500 | $91 | 65 |
| 752 Hampton Ave | 0.42mi | 2/1.5 | 1,182 (+9%) | 2mo | $85,900 | $73 | 62 |
| 317 Eldred Ave | 0.57mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,108 (+2%) | 1mo | $45,000 | $41 | 62 |
| 1039 Wright Ave | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,097 (+1%) | 2mo | $15,000 | $14 | 62 |
| 819 Geneva Ave | 0.40mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,212 (+11%) | 1mo | $105,000 | $87 | 56 |
| 829 Ogden Ave | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,220 (+12%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $82 | 52 |
| 624 Carlton St | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,013 (-7%) | 2mo | $134,888 | $133 | 51 |
| 119 Whiting Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,224 (+12%) | 2mo | $45,000 | $37 | 49 |
| 819 Lodge Ave | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+9%) | 1mo | $65,000 | $55 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.23×
- Total profit
- $8,129
- Equity at exit
- $41,018
- IRR
- 11.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.58×
- Total profit
- $55,161
- Equity at exit
- $53,277
Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43609
- Home prices YoY
- 0.3%
- Rents YoY
- 7.8%
- Active inventory
- 99
- Price-to-rent
- 10.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,043 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$655
- Tax from tax record
- −$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$219
- Net cashflow
- $32
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,225
- Closing costs
- $3,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $775 | $1.03 | 23d | 1 | 0.30mi |
| 307 Danberry St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $950 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $825 | $1.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 13d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1290 | $1,350 | $1.05 | 13d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1123 | $1,478 | $1.32 | 23d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1037 | $900 | $0.87 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 532 Carlton St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1130 | $1,050 | $0.93 | 43d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH | 1.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $900 | $0.92 | 43d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 724 Spencer St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1127 | $1,100 | $0.98 | 43d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 569 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1253 | $1,300 | $1.04 | 23d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 13d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 992 | $1,200 | $1.21 | 13d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 619 Durango Dr Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1276 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1121 | $1,050 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1076 | $825 | $0.77 | 43d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1341 | $845 | $0.63 | 43d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 930 | $900 | $0.97 | 43d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1416 | $1,049 | $0.74 | 13d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $1,100 | $0.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 1510 Watova Rd Toledo, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,495 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.39mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-23$124,900 Active
-
2026-04-20historical $124,900
-
2018-08-03soldstatus $45,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,017 · $85/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,483 · $124/mo
- Expected delta
- +$466/yr (+$39/mo · 45.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,519
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,996
- − Property taxes
- −$1,017
- − Insurance
- −$624
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,002
- − Management
- −$1,002
- − Depreciation
- −$3,633
- Taxable loss
- −$1,755
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$421
- After-tax cash flow
- $810/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Toledo City
- NCES district ID
- 3904490
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,137
- Composite
- 15.76/100
- National rank
- #9276
- State rank
- #634 of 656 in OH
Livability — Toledo
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #645
- US rank
- #11442
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Toledo, OH
- County
- Lucas County · 380,724 people
- City population
- 280,811
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 21,404
- Household income
- $42,313
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1603.0
Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 420,751 people
- By 2030
- 410,187 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 384,019 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 355,125 · -15.6%
- By 2075
- 291,683 · -30.7%
- By 2100
- 233,670 · -44.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lucas
- 2024 margin
- D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.75%
- Current HPI
- 235.2515
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.80%
- Metro
- Toledo, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+177.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — NORIS
- 2026-04-23 Listed $124,900 NORIS
- 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $124,900 NORIS
- 2018-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-2.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,017 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…