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537 Lynnhaven Dr
D- Composite 39.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.7/30.0
  • Appreciation +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0

$124,900

537 Lynnhaven Dr · Toledo, OH 43609
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,088 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1952 0.29 ac lot Est $89k · 40% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming Midwestern style Cape-Cod home offering more space and flexibility than meets the eye! Situated on a rare double lot (combined to one parcel) this property provides an expansive yard with both side and backyard space. Inside you'll find approximately 1100 ft. ² above grade, plus a finished lower level that expands the living options even further. The basement feature is a private living area with a wet bar, half bath and additional bedroom set up; ideal for guests, extended living, or multi-use space. The upper level offers its own private suite, with a half bath, creating a unique layout with separation of versatility across all three levels. Major updates include a newer roo

Key facts

  • 0.29 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1952

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $32 ($389/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $104k (16.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $104k (16.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#645 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, commute F.
  • Toledo City (urban): math 15% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #634 of 656 in OH (top 97%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Harvard Elementary School (math 17% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,584 statewide, top 80%, 311 students, 0% FRL); Bowsher High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #596 of 781 statewide, top 76%, 1,240 students, 49% FRL) — zoned schools average 25% FRL vs 72% district-wide (47 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.8%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 415 units permitted in Lucas County in 2024 (122 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($864 loan paydown + $936 appreciation (0.8% local appreciation)).
  • Lucas County population projected at -16% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (0.8% appreciation + 7.8% rent growth), your $35k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $125k implies a 178% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1952 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $104,326 (16.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1952 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.84%
Cap rate
6.60%
Cash-on-cash
1.11%
DSCR
1.05
GRM
10.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$89,216
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
537 Lynnhaven Dr 0.00mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,088 (0%) 1mo $150,000 $138 90
219 Storrs 0.35mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-3%) 2mo $81,800 $77 72
1922 Heatherdale Dr 0.17mi 2/1.0 946 (-13%) 2mo $111,000 $117 69
855 Brighton Ave 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,070 (-2%) 2mo $97,500 $91 65
752 Hampton Ave 0.42mi 2/1.5 1,182 (+9%) 2mo $85,900 $73 62
317 Eldred Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,108 (+2%) 1mo $45,000 $41 62
1039 Wright Ave 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,097 (+1%) 2mo $15,000 $14 62
819 Geneva Ave 0.40mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,212 (+11%) 1mo $105,000 $87 56
829 Ogden Ave 0.45mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,220 (+12%) 2mo $100,000 $82 52
624 Carlton St 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,013 (-7%) 2mo $134,888 $133 51
119 Whiting Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,224 (+12%) 2mo $45,000 $37 49
819 Lodge Ave 0.57mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,190 (+9%) 1mo $65,000 $55 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

0.75% appreciation · 7.8% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
4.5%
Equity multiple
1.23×
Total profit
$8,129
Equity at exit
$41,018
10-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
2.58×
Total profit
$55,161
Equity at exit
$53,277

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 43609

Home prices YoY
0.3%
Rents YoY
7.8%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
10.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,043 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax from tax record
$85 /mo · $1,017/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$219
Net cashflow
$32

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,002
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 92%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
707 Toronto Ave Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 750 $775 $1.03 23d 1 0.30mi
307 Danberry St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 988 $950 $0.96 43d 1 0.44mi
2044 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 800 $825 $1.03 21d 1 0.48mi
1734 Arlington Ave Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 13d 1 0.52mi
523 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1290 $1,350 $1.05 13d 1 0.57mi
2314 Airline Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1123 $1,478 $1.32 23d 1 0.59mi
705 Nicholas St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1037 $900 $0.87 43d 1 0.60mi
532 Carlton St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1130 $1,050 $0.93 43d 1 0.60mi
1521 Emma St Unit LABS 1521 Emma St, B 43051619729 Toledo, OH 1.0 1.0 975 $900 $0.92 43d 1 0.66mi
724 Spencer St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1127 $1,100 $0.98 43d 1 0.67mi
569 Colima Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1253 $1,300 $1.04 23d 1 0.74mi
581 Colima Dr Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 13d 1 0.74mi
1418 Colburn St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 992 $1,200 $1.21 13d 1 0.76mi
619 Durango Dr Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1276 $1,350 $1.06 43d 1 0.80mi
1321 Gordon St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1121 $1,050 $0.94 43d 1 0.90mi
2594 Broadway St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 1076 $825 $0.77 43d 1 0.98mi
319 N Detroit Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1341 $845 $0.63 43d 1 0.99mi
1785 Tecumseh St Toledo, OH 2.0 1.0 930 $900 $0.97 43d 1 1.01mi
2424 Broadway St Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1416 $1,049 $0.74 13d 1 1.07mi
915 Woodstock Ave Toledo, OH 3.0 1.5 1500 $1,100 $0.73 23d 1 1.37mi
1510 Watova Rd Toledo, OH 3.0 1.0 1197 $1,495 $1.25 21d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-27
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-23
    listed $124,900 Active
  3. 2026-04-20
    historical $124,900
  4. 2018-08-03
    soldstatus $45,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,017 · $85/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,483 · $124/mo
Expected delta
+$466/yr (+$39/mo · 45.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,519
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,017
− Insurance
−$624
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,002
− Management
−$1,002
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable loss
−$1,755
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$421
After-tax cash flow
$810/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Toledo City
NCES district ID
3904490
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -16.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$32,137
Composite
15.76/100
National rank
#9276
State rank
#634 of 656 in OH

Livability — Toledo

Score
66/100
State rank
#645
US rank
#11442

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Toledo, OH
County
Lucas County · 380,724 people
City population
280,811
Metro
Toledo, OH
Population (ZIP)
21,404
Household income
$42,313
Rent vs Own
55.7% rent · 44.3% own
Severe rent burden
1603.0

Population outlook (Lucas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,751 people
By 2030
410,187 · -2.5%
By 2040
384,019 · -8.7%
By 2050
355,125 · -15.6%
By 2075
291,683 · -30.7%
By 2100
233,670 · -44.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 9%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 15%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Lithuanian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lucas

2024 margin
D (+12.6) · D 55.8% · R 43.2%
2008→2024 swing
-18.9pp toward R · 2008: 31.4pp · 2024: 12.6pp
All cycles
2024: D+12.6 2020: D+16.8 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+30.4 2008: D+31.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 0.75%
Current HPI
235.2515
Rent YoY
▲ 7.80%
Metro
Toledo, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+177.6% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-27 Pending NORIS
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $124,900 NORIS
  • 2026-04-20 Coming Soon $124,900 NORIS
  • 2018-08-03 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-2.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,017 · -2.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…