CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
5421 Pine Level Dr
D+ Composite 47.34
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.8/30.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$220,000

5421 Pine Level Dr · Greensboro, NC 27214
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 30 Days on market
Built 1974 0.46 ac lot Est $200k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!

Key facts

  • Country living
  • Newer flooring
  • Quiet setting

Tags

COUNTRY LIVINGQUIET SETTINGOUTDOOR SPACENEWER FLOORINGGRANITE COUNTERTOPSFUNCTIONAL LAYOUT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Structure type: House; Lot number 65; Lot size approximately 0.46 acre; Total rooms: 6; No basement (crawl space)
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Monticello Estates

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; 1 garage/carport space
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater; Natural gas available
  • Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story (one level); Built in 1974; Existing structure
  • Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
  • Exterior features: Partially cleared lot; No fencing; No pool; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Range hood; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump for cooling; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel
  • Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Attic access only; Ceiling fan(s); Separate shower; Solid surface counters
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (5.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $208k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Monticello-Brown Summit Elem (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #835 of 1,410 statewide, top 62%, 294 students, 69% FRL); Northeast Guilford Middle (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #427 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 780 students, 100% FRL); Northeast Guilford High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #445 of 535 statewide, top 84%, 959 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 52% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
  • Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $176k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $207,891 (5.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.94%
Cash-on-cash
5.87%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$199,500
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
5423 Pine Level Dr 0.02mi 3/1.5 1,050 (0%) 2mo $199,500 $190 98
7638 Jackson School Rd Unit A 0.58mi 3/2.0 1,092 (+4%) 1mo $210,000 $192 64
7638 Jackson School Rd 0.58mi 3/1.5 1,111 (+6%) 17mo $145,000 $131 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-16,549
Equity at exit
$32,803
10-year hold
IRR
2.3%
Equity multiple
1.16×
Total profit
$9,967
Equity at exit
$19,022

Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27214

Home prices YoY
-20.2%
Active inventory
102
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,079 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,154
Tax from tax record
$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
Insurance
$92
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$437
Net cashflow
$301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,698
Max offer price $220,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $426 -5% $363 +0% $301 +5% $239 +10% $177
Rent -10% $137 -5% $219 +0% $301 +5% $383 +10% $465
Rate -1.0pp $412 -0.5pp $357 base $301 +0.5pp $244 +1.0pp $186

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,000
Closing costs
$6,600
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $220,000 Active 30 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $220,000 Active 27 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $220,000 Active 10 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
  16. 2026-05-22
    listed $220,000 Active
  17. 2026-03-24
    soldstatus $176,000
  18. 2012-08-31
    soldstatus $86,000 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!

  19. 2012-05-29
    listed $87,900 514-char remark
    Show marketing remark (514 chars)

    Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!

  20. 2006-11-02
    soldstatus $109,500
  21. 1974-06-01
    soldstatus $21,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,150 · $96/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,804 · $150/mo
Expected delta
+$654/yr (+$55/mo · 56.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,947
− Mortgage interest
−$12,323
− Property taxes
−$1,150
− Insurance
−$1,100
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,996
− Management
−$1,996
− Depreciation
−$6,400
Taxable loss
−$18
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$4
After-tax cash flow
$3,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
14,766
Household income
$82,655
Rent vs Own
27.4% rent · 72.6% own
Severe rent burden
32.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 7%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -63.20%
Current HPI
249.9252
Rent YoY
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+923.3% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Listed $220,000 Triad MLS
  • 2026-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
  • 2012-08-31 Sold (MLS) $86,000 Triad MLS
  • 2012-05-29 Listed $87,900 Triad MLS
  • 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $109,500 Public Records
  • 1974-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,150 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…