5421 Pine Level Dr · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 13.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.8/30.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- ARV discount +2.9/15.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$220,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!
Key facts
- Country living
- Newer flooring
- Quiet setting
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Structure type: House; Lot number 65; Lot size approximately 0.46 acre; Total rooms: 6; No basement (crawl space)
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Monticello Estates
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport; Driveway; 1 garage/carport space
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electric water heater; Natural gas available
- Home design: Residential stick/site-built house; One story (one level); Built in 1974; Existing structure
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior
- Exterior features: Partially cleared lot; No fencing; No pool; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Free-standing range; Range hood; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: Primary bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump for cooling; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating fuel
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Attic access only; Ceiling fan(s); Separate shower; Solid surface counters
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $220k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $301 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $208k (5.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $208k (5.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 3.7% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Monticello-Brown Summit Elem (math 37% / reading 32%, grade F, #835 of 1,410 statewide, top 62%, 294 students, 69% FRL); Northeast Guilford Middle (math 15% / reading 26%, grade F, #427 of 475 statewide, top 90%, 780 students, 100% FRL); Northeast Guilford High (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #445 of 535 statewide, top 84%, 959 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 89% FRL vs 52% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 29% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Guilford County Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 102 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($83k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $176k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.94%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.87%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $199,500
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5423 Pine Level Dr | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,050 (0%) | 2mo | $199,500 | $190 | 98 |
| 7638 Jackson School Rd Unit A | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 | 1,092 (+4%) | 1mo | $210,000 | $192 | 64 |
| 7638 Jackson School Rd | 0.58mi | 3/1.5 | 1,111 (+6%) | 17mo | $145,000 | $131 | 49 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-16,549
- Equity at exit
- $32,803
- IRR
- 2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.16×
- Total profit
- $9,967
- Equity at exit
- $19,022
Cash invested: $61,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27214
- Home prices YoY
- -20.2%
- Active inventory
- 102
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,079 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,154
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,150/yr
- Insurance
- −$92
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$437
- Net cashflow
- $301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $426 | -5% $363 | +0% $301 | +5% $239 | +10% $177 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $137 | -5% $219 | +0% $301 | +5% $383 | +10% $465 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $412 | -0.5pp $357 | base $301 | +0.5pp $244 | +1.0pp $186 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $55,000
- Closing costs
- $6,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $220,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $220,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $220,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $220,000 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $220,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $220,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $220,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $220,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $220,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $220,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $220,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $220,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $220,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $220,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-05-22$220,000 Active
-
2026-03-24soldstatus $176,000
-
2012-08-31soldstatus $86,000 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!
-
2012-05-29$87,900 514-char remark
Show marketing remark (514 chars)
Fantastic 3 Bed 2 Full bath home in Browns Summit ready to move into! Home incld's large living room with ceiling fan! Extremely nice kitchen w/granite counter tops and new appliances! Both bathrooms include new fixtures & ceramic tiled flooring! Hall bath incl tiled tub/shower surround! Master bedroom includes his/hers closets! Deck overlooking nice level back yard! New roof! Vinyl replacement windows and vinyl siding! One car attached car port! 100% USDA financing available! Must see! Bring all offers!
-
2006-11-02soldstatus $109,500
-
1974-06-01soldstatus $21,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,150 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,804 · $150/mo
- Expected delta
- +$654/yr (+$55/mo · 56.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 13% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,947
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,323
- − Property taxes
- −$1,150
- − Insurance
- −$1,100
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,996
- − Management
- −$1,996
- − Depreciation
- −$6,400
- Taxable loss
- −$18
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$4
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,618/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,766
- Household income
- $82,655
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 32.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Hispanic 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -63.20%
- Current HPI
- 249.9252
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
+923.3% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Listed $220,000 Triad MLS
- 2026-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $176,000 Public Records
- 2012-08-31 Sold (MLS) $86,000 Triad MLS
- 2012-05-29 Listed $87,900 Triad MLS
- 2006-11-02 Sold (Public Records) $109,500 Public Records
- 1974-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $21,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,150 · +1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…