3019 Phillips Ave · Mount Pleasant, WI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $636 – $1,182
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.7/30.0
- DSCR +8.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Rent growth +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover a promising investment opportunity with this property that includes an additional lot, offering great potential for development. This home requires some work, including a new roof and kitchen renovations, as it currently lacks cabinets, countertops, and appliances. Despite these challenges, the property is well-positioned for future growth. The extra lot presents possibilities for construction or expansion--subject to zoning regulations. Plus, the house next door is also for sale, providing an added bonus for investors. The surrounding area boasts a few local businesses, hinting at potential for commercial use. Whether you're looking for a project or seeking to capitalize on the pr
Key facts
- New roof
- Kitchen renovations
- 5,227 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $292 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.8% vs local median 2.1% in Mount Pleasant — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 84/100 on livability (#38 in WI, #778 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F.
- Racine Unified School District (urban): math 12% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #335 of 342 in WI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 91 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 505 units permitted in Racine County in 2024 (287 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Racine County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.8% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 330 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 330 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.93%
- DSCR
- 1.40
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.00×
- Total profit
- $50
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.07×
- Total profit
- $42,046
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Wisconsin
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 53403
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 91
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,432 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$47 /mo · $563/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$301
- Net cashflow
- $292
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2328 21st St Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1239 | $1,750 | $1.41 | 13d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 1802 Grange Ave Unit 101 Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 21d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3313 Daisy Ln Unit 4 Racine, WI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1025 | $1,150 | $1.12 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 1722 Wisconsin Ave Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1380 | $1,860 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 1.35mi |
| 512 16th St Unit 2 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 959 | $1,095 | $1.14 | 21d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 1540 Park Ave Unit 301 Racine, WI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,200 | $1.26 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-08status Pending
-
2025-05-19historical Contingent
-
2025-05-12$140,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $563 · $47/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,577 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,013/yr (+$84/mo · 179.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,183
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$563
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,375
- − Management
- −$1,375
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,256
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$301
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,200/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Racine Unified School District
- NCES district ID
- 5512360
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $50,716
- Composite
- 14.64/100
- National rank
- #9405
- State rank
- #335 of 342 in WI
Livability — Mount Pleasant
- Score
- 84/100
- State rank
- #38
- US rank
- #778
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Mount Pleasant, WI
- County
- Racine County · 146,693 people
- City population
- 25,778
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 27,009
- Household income
- $59,820
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1164.0
Population outlook (Racine County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 195,281 people
- By 2030
- 193,725 · -0.8%
- By 2040
- 188,159 · -3.6%
- By 2050
- 181,323 · -7.1%
- By 2075
- 174,342 · -10.7%
- By 2100
- 166,870 · -14.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 42% Black 27% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 16%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Portuguese 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 15%
Political lean MEDSL · Racine
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+6.2) · D 46.3% · R 52.5% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.4pp · 2024: -6.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+6.2 2020: R+4.1 2016: R+4.4 2012: D+3.6 2008: D+7.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.08%
- Current HPI
- 191.0012
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.84%
- Metro
- Racine, WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.10%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 4 | $23B |
|
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| Industrial Technology | 2 | $36B |
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| Insurance | 1 | $36B |
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| Professional Services | 1 | $19B |
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $3B |
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Price history
3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Pending — METROMLS
- 2025-05-19 Contingent — METROMLS
- 2025-05-12 Listed $140,000 METROMLS
Property tax history
+12.8%/yrLatest (2025): $563 · -28.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…