904 S Ruby Pl · Sioux Falls, SD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,342 – $2,492
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.6/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Front deck
- Fresh paint
- Well maintained
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $592 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $59k).
- Cap rate 18.3% vs local median 2.6% in Sioux Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#3 in SD, #610 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F.
- Sioux Falls School District 49-5 (urban): math 39% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #45 of 59 in SD (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hayward Elementary - 38 (math 19% / reading 19%, grade F, #237 of 253 statewide, top 94%, 652 students, 70% FRL); George Mcgovern Middle School -09 (math 11% / reading 22%, grade F, #138 of 143 statewide, top 96%, 719 students, 59% FRL); Roosevelt High School - 03 (math 40% / reading 60%, grade D+, #67 of 151 statewide, top 45%, 1,713 students, 28% FRL) — zoned schools average 52% FRL vs 36% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 28% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-15 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sioux Falls School District 49-5 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 399 active listings in the ZIP; 18 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,425 units permitted in Minnehaha County in 2024 (1,367 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Minnehaha County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.2% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.34%
- Cash-on-cash
- 43.03%
- DSCR
- 2.91
- GRM
- 4.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $66,464
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1008 S Liberty Pl | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,152 (+8%) | 16mo | $71,000 | $62 | 67 |
| 1010 S Ruby Pl | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+13%) | 10mo | $78,000 | $64 | 58 |
| 103 N Cheers Pl | 0.62mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+7%) | 10mo | $30,000 | $26 | 47 |
| 300 N Dogwood Pl | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (+11%) | 14mo | $20,000 | $17 | 32 |
| 6304 W Sandalwood Pl Pl | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+13%) | 8mo | $104,900 | $86 | 31 |
| 607 Ebenezer Ave | 0.75mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,216 (+13%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $53 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.64×
- Total profit
- $27,174
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 45.0%
- Equity multiple
- 5.13×
- Total profit
- $68,234
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Dakota
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 57106
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 399
- Price-to-rent
- 4.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,192 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$16 /mo · $186/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$250
- Net cashflow
- $592
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $626 | -5% $609 | +0% $592 | +5% $576 | +10% $559 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $498 | -5% $545 | +0% $592 | +5% $639 | +10% $687 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $622 | -0.5pp $607 | base $592 | +0.5pp $577 | +1.0pp $562 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 18 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5811 W Christopher Pl Unit 15 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,095 | $1.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5811 W Christopher Pl Unit 02 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1010 | $900 | $0.89 | 45d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 5801 W Christopher Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 989 | $897 | $0.91 | 22d | 3 | 0.24mi |
| 1123 S Bridgeport Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1224 | $1,275 | $1.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 920 Willow Creek Pl Unit 920-14 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,250 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 912 S Willow Creek Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 868 | $1,482 | $1.71 | 15d | 4 | 0.60mi |
| 912 Willow Creek Pl Unit 928-10 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1086 | $1,294 | $1.19 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 5007 W Equestrian Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 676 | $1,025 | $1.52 | 15d | 7 | 0.63mi |
| 5008 W Equestrian Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0 | 1.0 | 678 | $988 | $1.46 | 22d | 2 | 0.70mi |
| 1402 S Marion Rd Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1034 | $1,032 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1125 S Ebenezer Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 936 | $1,370 | $1.46 | 15d | 10 | 0.77mi |
| 1111 S Sertoma Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 797 | $1,115 | $1.40 | 15d | 11 | 0.81mi |
| 500 S Ruth Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,301 | $1.18 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 2024 S Oxford Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1292 | $1,700 | $1.32 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2301 S Lorraine Pl Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 834 | $1,695 | $2.03 | 15d | 15 | 1.27mi |
| 925 S Newcomb Ave Unit 18 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $950 | $1.06 | 22d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 925 S Newcomb Ave Apt 12 Sioux Falls, SD | 2.0 | 1.0 | 890 | $950 | $1.07 | 45d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 701 S Lyons Ave Sioux Falls, SD | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,005 | $0.91 | 45d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $59,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-09$59,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SD · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $186 · $16/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $773 · $64/mo
- Expected delta
- +$586/yr (+$49/mo · 314.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,307
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$186
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,145
- − Management
- −$1,145
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $6,515
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,564
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,545/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sioux Falls School District 49-5
- NCES district ID
- 4666270
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,093
- Composite
- 37.47/100
- National rank
- #4407
- State rank
- #45 of 59 in SD
Livability — Sioux Falls
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #610
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Sioux Falls, SD
- County
- Minnehaha County · 191,523 people
- City population
- 207,623
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- Population (ZIP)
- 51,907
- Household income
- $77,580
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1500.0
Population outlook (Minnehaha County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 222,323 people
- By 2030
- 241,430 · +8.6%
- By 2040
- 281,643 · +26.7%
- By 2050
- 325,574 · +46.4%
- By 2075
- 469,313 · +111.1%
- By 2100
- 664,763 · +199.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (81%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 81% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Black 5% Asian 1% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 12% Iranian 7% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Minnehaha
- 2024 margin
- R (+12.7) · D 42.5% · R 55.2% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -13.4pp toward R · 2008: 0.7pp · 2024: -12.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+12.7 2020: R+9.5 2016: R+14.6 2012: R+7.4 2008: D+0.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -138.17%
- Current HPI
- 214.9065
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Metro
- Sioux Falls, SD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 0.70%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Utilities | 1 | $1B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listed $59,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2024): $186 · -4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…