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100 Ocean Springs Ave
D Composite 41.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.9/15.0
  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +1.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.2/10.0

$280,000

100 Ocean Springs Ave · Meridianville, AL 35773
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,774 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 105 Days on market
Built 2022 0.25 ac lot Est $289k · at est. $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Discover this beautifully maintained 2022-built home located in the growing community of Toney. With convenient access to Huntsville, Madison, and Redstone Arsenal, you get comfort and connectivity. The property sits on a corner lot with a fully fenced backyard and a 10-foot gate, providing easy entry and plenty of space to enjoy. A screened sun porch and adjoining patio create the perfect setting for outdoor gatherings and relaxation. Inside, high ceilings and stylish Luxury flooring, wood burning fireplace creates a cozy space to savor. Relish in an allergy-friendly living, carpet-free environment. You'll adore the Sonos surround system making movie night a hit!! Call today to view!

Key facts

  • Screened sun porch
  • Adjoining patio
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTFULLY FENCED BACKYARDSCREENED SUN PORCHADJOINING PATIOWOOD BURNING FIREPLACECARPET FREE ENVIRONMENT

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Living area approximately 1,748 square feet
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150; Subdivision: Wood Trail

Exterior

  • Parking: Concrete driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Built in 2022; Residential property
  • Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Screened porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
  • Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Security system

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (19.0% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (38.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $173k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Meridianville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lynn Fanning Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 772 students, 39% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 326 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $173,094 (38.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.62%
Cap rate
5.00%
Cash-on-cash
-4.61%
DSCR
0.79
GRM
13.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$289,162
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
100 Ocean Springs Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,748 (-2%) 1mo $280,000 $160 93
106 Cedar Lake Rd Unit N/A 0.04mi 4/2.0 1,748 (-2%) 2mo $281,000 $161 90
109 Ocean Springs Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,630 (-8%) 3mo $265,000 $163 72
303 Cherokee Glen Ave 0.08mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+11%) 10mo $284,900 $145 66
216 Pine Island Ave 0.10mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 13mo $288,107 $178 61
301 Cherokee Glen Ave 0.09mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 15mo $300,000 $185 60
118 Cedar Lake Rd 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 16mo $279,900 $173 60
306 Cherokee Glen Ave 0.12mi 4/3.0 1,964 (+11%) 10mo $299,980 $153 60
204 Pine Island Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 17mo $267,900 $165 60
120 Cedar Lake Rd 0.07mi 4/2.0 1,964 (+11%) 20mo $294,900 $150 58
211 Pine Island Ave 0.05mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,620 (-9%) 20mo $264,900 $164 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.70×
Total profit
$133,184
Equity at exit
$252,246
10-year hold
IRR
19.0%
Equity multiple
6.19×
Total profit
$407,010
Equity at exit
$543,978

Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35773

Home prices YoY
28.8%
Active inventory
326
Price-to-rent
13.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,468
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $846/yr
Insurance
$117
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$363
Net cashflow
$-301

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,112
Max offer price $226,820
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-143 -5% $-222 +0% $-301 +5% $-380 +10% $-460
Rent -10% $-438 -5% $-369 +0% $-301 +5% $-233 +10% $-164
Rate -1.0pp $-160 -0.5pp $-230 base $-301 +0.5pp $-374 +1.0pp $-447

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$70,000
Closing costs
$8,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
118 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL 4.0 2.0 1748 $1,850 $1.06 45d 1 0.11mi
136 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL 4.0 2.0 1749 $1,775 $1.01 45d 1 0.21mi
109 Cottondale Rd Toney, AL 3.0 2.0 1280 $1,101 $0.86 45d 1 0.36mi
121 Balboa Rd Meridianville, AL 4.0 2.0 1863 $1,800 $0.97 45d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-05
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-04
    status Active
  3. 2026-04-01
    status Pending
  4. 2026-03-09
    price $280,000
  5. 2026-02-11
    price $295,000
  6. 2025-12-17
    listed $300,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$846 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,148 · $96/mo
Expected delta
+$302/yr (+$25/mo · 35.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,771
− Mortgage interest
−$15,684
− Property taxes
−$846
− Insurance
−$1,400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,662
− Management
−$1,662
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$8,145
Taxable loss
−$8,784
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,108
After-tax cash flow
$-1,504/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Madison County
NCES district ID
0102220
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$66,058
Composite
37.15/100
National rank
#4483
State rank
#19 of 129 in AL

Livability — Meridianville

Score
65/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#12516

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
30,710
Population (ZIP)
13,977

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
392,086 people
By 2030
409,788 · +4.5%
By 2040
440,557 · +12.4%
By 2050
460,990 · +17.6%
By 2075
502,872 · +28.3%
By 2100
513,623 · +31.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
+6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 149.14%
Current HPI
666.8602
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-6.7% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-05 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-05-04 Relisted VMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Pending VMLS
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $280,000 VMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Price Changed $295,000 VMLS
  • 2025-12-17 Listed $300,000 VMLS

Property tax history

+9.4%/yr

Latest (2024): $846 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…