100 Ocean Springs Ave · Meridianville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +8.9/15.0
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.9/10.0
- 1% rule +1.2/10.0
$280,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Discover this beautifully maintained 2022-built home located in the growing community of Toney. With convenient access to Huntsville, Madison, and Redstone Arsenal, you get comfort and connectivity. The property sits on a corner lot with a fully fenced backyard and a 10-foot gate, providing easy entry and plenty of space to enjoy. A screened sun porch and adjoining patio create the perfect setting for outdoor gatherings and relaxation. Inside, high ceilings and stylish Luxury flooring, wood burning fireplace creates a cozy space to savor. Relish in an allergy-friendly living, carpet-free environment. You'll adore the Sonos surround system making movie night a hit!! Call today to view!
Key facts
- Screened sun porch
- Adjoining patio
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Living area approximately 1,748 square feet
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150; Subdivision: Wood Trail
Exterior
- Parking: Concrete driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Private sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-story; Built in 2022; Residential property
- Construction: Brick construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Screened porch
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central cooling
- Interior features: Wood-burning fireplace; Security system
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $280k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-301 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $227k (19.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $173k (38.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $173k (38.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.6% in Meridianville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#118 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Madison County (rural): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #19 of 129 in AL (top 15%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Lynn Fanning Elementary School (math 27% / reading 57%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 772 students, 39% FRL); Meridianville Middle School (math 19% / reading 62%, grade F, #56 of 257 statewide, top 22%, 724 students, 45% FRL); Hazel Green High School (math 23% / reading 31%, grade F, #90 of 305 statewide, top 35%, 1,348 students, 42% FRL).
- Market conditions: 326 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 4,709 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (1,186 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $30k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $28k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Madison County population projected at +18% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$48k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($255k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 38% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.62% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.00%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.61%
- DSCR
- 0.79
- GRM
- 13.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $289,162
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Ocean Springs Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (-2%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $160 | 93 |
| 106 Cedar Lake Rd Unit N/A | 0.04mi | 4/2.0 | 1,748 (-2%) | 2mo | $281,000 | $161 | 90 |
| 109 Ocean Springs Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,630 (-8%) | 3mo | $265,000 | $163 | 72 |
| 303 Cherokee Glen Ave | 0.08mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (+11%) | 10mo | $284,900 | $145 | 66 |
| 216 Pine Island Ave | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-9%) | 13mo | $288,107 | $178 | 61 |
| 301 Cherokee Glen Ave | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-9%) | 15mo | $300,000 | $185 | 60 |
| 118 Cedar Lake Rd | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-9%) | 16mo | $279,900 | $173 | 60 |
| 306 Cherokee Glen Ave | 0.12mi | 4/3.0 | 1,964 (+11%) | 10mo | $299,980 | $153 | 60 |
| 204 Pine Island Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-9%) | 17mo | $267,900 | $165 | 60 |
| 120 Cedar Lake Rd | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 | 1,964 (+11%) | 20mo | $294,900 | $150 | 58 |
| 211 Pine Island Ave | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,620 (-9%) | 20mo | $264,900 | $164 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 21.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.70×
- Total profit
- $133,184
- Equity at exit
- $252,246
- IRR
- 19.0%
- Equity multiple
- 6.19×
- Total profit
- $407,010
- Equity at exit
- $543,978
Cash invested: $78,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35773
- Home prices YoY
- 28.8%
- Active inventory
- 326
- Price-to-rent
- 13.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,731 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,468
- Tax from tax record
- −$70 /mo · $846/yr
- Insurance
- −$117
- HOA
- −$13
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$363
- Net cashflow
- $-301
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-143 | -5% $-222 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-380 | +10% $-460 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-438 | -5% $-369 | +0% $-301 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-164 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-160 | -0.5pp $-230 | base $-301 | +0.5pp $-374 | +1.0pp $-447 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $70,000
- Closing costs
- $8,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 118 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1748 | $1,850 | $1.06 | 45d | 1 | 0.11mi |
| 136 Ocean Springs Ave Toney, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1749 | $1,775 | $1.01 | 45d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 109 Cottondale Rd Toney, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $1,101 | $0.86 | 45d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 121 Balboa Rd Meridianville, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1863 | $1,800 | $0.97 | 45d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $13 · $156/yr
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-05status Pending
-
2026-05-04status Active
-
2026-04-01status Pending
-
2026-03-09price $280,000
-
2026-02-11price $295,000
-
2025-12-17$300,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $846 · $70/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,148 · $96/mo
- Expected delta
- +$302/yr (+$25/mo · 35.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,771
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,684
- − Property taxes
- −$846
- − Insurance
- −$1,400
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,662
- − Management
- −$1,662
- − HOA
- −$156
- − Depreciation
- −$8,145
- Taxable loss
- −$8,784
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,108
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,504/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Madison County
- NCES district ID
- 0102220
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,058
- Composite
- 37.15/100
- National rank
- #4483
- State rank
- #19 of 129 in AL
Livability — Meridianville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #118
- US rank
- #12516
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 30,710
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,977
Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 392,086 people
- By 2030
- 409,788 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 440,557 · +12.4%
- By 2050
- 460,990 · +17.6%
- By 2075
- 502,872 · +28.3%
- By 2100
- 513,623 · +31.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Black 17% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Madison
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.0) · D 44.7% · R 53.7% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.0pp toward D · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -9.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.0 2020: R+8.0 2016: R+16.8 2012: R+18.7 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 149.14%
- Current HPI
- 666.8602
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
||
Price history
-6.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-05-04 Relisted — VMLS
- 2026-04-01 Pending — VMLS
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $280,000 VMLS
- 2026-02-11 Price Changed $295,000 VMLS
- 2025-12-17 Listed $300,000 VMLS
Property tax history
+9.4%/yrLatest (2024): $846 · +9.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…