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4803 Cordelia Ln
D+ Composite 48.24
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$223,000

4803 Cordelia Ln · Chattanooga, TN 37416
3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,809 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 56 Days on market
Built 1968 0.25 ac lot Est $403k · 45% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

Key facts

  • One level rancher
  • 0.25 acre lot
  • 2 parking spots

Tags

ONE LEVEL RANCHERMINUTES FROM THE MALL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached parking; Carport with 2 spaces; 2 covered parking spaces (2 total)
  • Security: Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Water available
  • Home design: Residential property; Three or more levels; Existing construction
  • Construction: Brick and other construction materials; Other roof; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: 0.25-acre lot (approx. 90 x 126.7); Other lot features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Microwave; Electric range; Dishwasher; Pantry
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 half bath
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
  • Interior features: Open floorplan; Crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $223k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $43 ($517/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $178k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $178k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 3.4% in Chattanooga — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#3 in TN, #2,582 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Hamilton County (urban): math 31% / reading 31% proficiency, ranked #42 of 139 in TN (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Harrison Elementary (math 20% / reading 19%, grade F, #654 of 952 statewide, top 72%, 1,013 students, 0% FRL); Central High School (math 8% / reading 32%, grade F, #183 of 332 statewide, top 59%, 749 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 52% district-wide (52 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 99 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,133 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (405 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hamilton County population projected at +23% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 56 days — a 3% lower offer ($216k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $178,178 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 56 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.52%
Cash-on-cash
0.83%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$403,407
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4703 Ranger Ln 0.12mi 3/3.0 1,732 (-4%) 2mo $181,500 $105 80
5085 Oop Rd #34 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,880 (+4%) 3mo $415,000 $221 55
5012 Oop Rd 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,750 (-3%) 6mo $429,500 $245 54
4573 Tricia Dr 0.70mi 3/2.5 1,860 (+3%) 8mo $290,000 $156 52
5059 Oop Rd 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,740 (-4%) 13mo $428,000 $246 48
5110 Oop Rd 0.69mi 3/2.5 1,900 (+5%) 9mo $429,500 $226 48
6426 Rosemary Dr 0.25mi 3/2.5 1,545 (-15%) 15mo $345,000 $223 47
4569 Tricia Dr 0.69mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,920 (+6%) 3mo $324,000 $169 44
5031 Oop Rd 0.72mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-6%) 13mo $419,000 $246 43
7648 Mallette Rd 0.71mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,861 (+3%) 11mo $335,000 $180 42
5047 Oop Rd 0.71mi 3/2.0 1,700 (-6%) 19mo $406,000 $239 39
4524 Dumac Rd 0.69mi 3/2.0 1,600 (-12%) 18mo $335,000 $209 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.1%
Equity multiple
0.38×
Total profit
$-38,696
Equity at exit
$33,250
10-year hold
IRR
-16.6%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-50,675
Equity at exit
$19,281

Cash invested: $62,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Tennessee
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
14-day notice (URLTA); generally landlord-favorable; Nashville court paced moderate.

ZIP-level market 37416

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Rents YoY
-0.2%
Active inventory
99
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,782 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,169
Tax from tax record
$102 /mo · $1,226/yr
Insurance
$93
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$374
Net cashflow
$43

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,727
Max offer price $223,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $169 -5% $106 +0% $43 +5% $-20 +10% $-83
Rent -10% $-98 -5% $-27 +0% $43 +5% $113 +10% $184
Rate -1.0pp $155 -0.5pp $100 base $43 +0.5pp $-15 +1.0pp $-74

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$55,750
Closing costs
$6,690
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 4 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4089 Arbor Place Ln Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.5 2040 $1,375 $0.67 24d 1 1.26mi
4025 Oakwood Dr Chattanooga, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 997 $1,685 $1.69 15d 14 1.34mi
5270 Rotary Dr Chattanooga, TN 2.0 1.0 1571 $1,425 $0.91 24d 1 1.40mi
6168 Foxboro DR Chattanooga, TN 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1093 $2,496 $2.28 15d 37 1.47mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $223,000 Active 56 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $223,000 Active 55 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $223,000 Active 54 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $223,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $223,000 Active 51 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $223,000 Active 48 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $223,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $223,000 Active 46 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $223,000 Active 45 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    days on market $223,000 Active 42 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $223,000 Active 41 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $223,000 Active 40 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $223,000 Active 39 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $223,000 Active 38 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $223,000 Active 37 DOM
  16. 2026-04-23
    listed $223,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  17. 2026-04-23
    listed $223,000 Active 262-char remark
    Show marketing remark (262 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  18. 2026-04-01
    historical 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  19. 2025-08-15
    status Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  20. 2025-08-11
    historical 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  21. 2024-12-16
    price $225,000
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  22. 2024-12-16
    price $225,000 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  23. 2024-11-20
    price $230,000
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  24. 2024-11-20
    price $230,000 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  25. 2024-09-29
    listed $240,000 Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great Investment Opportunity !! ALL brick , one level rancher is the one . For the investor or homeowner plenty of potential equity for a flip or buy and hold. The location is minutes from the mall, Volkswagen, Amazon and the lakes. Make this house your home !!

  26. 2024-08-26
    price $240,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,226 · $102/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,583 · $132/mo
Expected delta
+$357/yr (+$30/mo · 29.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 10% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,381
− Mortgage interest
−$12,491
− Property taxes
−$1,226
− Insurance
−$1,115
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,711
− Management
−$1,711
− Depreciation
−$6,487
Taxable loss
−$3,360
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$806
After-tax cash flow
$1,323/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Hamilton County
NCES district ID
4701590
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
31% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$47,456
Composite
26.8/100
National rank
#7122
State rank
#42 of 139 in TN

Livability — Chattanooga

Score
78/100
State rank
#3
US rank
#2582

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattanooga, TN
County
Hamilton County · 312,777 people
City population
131,999
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
Population (ZIP)
13,919
Household income
$70,705
Rent vs Own
39.7% rent · 60.3% own
Severe rent burden
480.0

Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
393,784 people
By 2030
412,983 · +4.9%
By 2040
449,502 · +14.1%
By 2050
484,341 · +23.0%
By 2075
565,746 · +43.7%
By 2100
618,394 · +57.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 47% Black 43% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 4% Italian 3% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton

2024 margin
R (+13.1) · D 42.7% · R 55.7% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.2pp toward R · 2008: -11.8pp · 2024: -13.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.1 2020: R+9.7 2016: R+16.6 2012: R+14.8 2008: R+11.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -112.99%
Current HPI
257.5129
Rent YoY
▼ -0.22%
Metro
Chattanooga, TN-GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.78%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.1% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $223,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-23 Listed $223,000 GCAR
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-15 Relisted REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-08-11 Listing Removed REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-12-16 Price Changed $225,000 GCAR
  • 2024-12-16 Price Changed $225,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-11-20 Price Changed $230,000 GCAR
  • 2024-11-20 Price Changed $230,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-09-29 Listed $240,000 REALTRACS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-26 Price Changed $240,000 GCAR

Property tax history

+4.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,226 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…