100 Poplar St · Russell, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Trees removed
- New hot water tank
- Listed 40 days
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $65k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 3.1% in Russell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#91 in KY, #3,643 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, schools A; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Russell Independent (suburban): math 40% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #22 of 165 in KY (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 46 active listings in the ZIP; 20 units permitted in Greenup County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Greenup County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 40 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $5k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $48k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 40 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.91%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $78,398
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -10.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 100 Poplar Street St | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 1,255 (-8%) | 9mo | $48,000 | $38 | 80 |
| 201 Ridge Street St | 0.25mi | 2/1.0 | 1,331 (-2%) | 7mo | $131,250 | $99 | 79 |
| 505 Railroad Street St | 0.18mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,384 (+2%) | 12mo | $26,848 | $19 | 74 |
| 308 Etna Street St | 0.42mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,397 (+3%) | 0mo | $149,900 | $107 | 68 |
| 1310 Argillite Rd | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,312 (-4%) | 2mo | $140,499 | $107 | 59 |
| 217 Amanda Street St | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,464 (+8%) | 5mo | $137,000 | $94 | 57 |
| 1009 Woodland Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,272 (-6%) | 11mo | $145,000 | $114 | 55 |
| 1210 Woodland Ave | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,260 (-7%) | 11mo | $189,900 | $151 | 51 |
| 1113 Argillite Road Rd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,300 (-4%) | 11mo | $179,900 | $138 | 50 |
| 321 Riverside Dr. Dr | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+10%) | 12mo | $247,500 | $165 | 44 |
| 716 N 1st St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,481 (+9%) | 10mo | $132,500 | $89 | 40 |
| 823 Cumberland Ave Ave | 0.46mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,162 (-15%) | 7mo | $64,500 | $56 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 22.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.90×
- Total profit
- $16,447
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 30.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.70×
- Total profit
- $49,109
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41169
- Active inventory
- 46
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,104 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$232
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $468 | -5% $446 | +0% $423 | +5% $401 | +10% $378 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $336 | -5% $380 | +0% $423 | +5% $467 | +10% $511 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $456 | -0.5pp $440 | base $423 | +0.5pp $407 | +1.0pp $389 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 37 DOM
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2026-06-16pricedays on market $65,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $70,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $70,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $70,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $70,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $70,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $70,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $70,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $70,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $70,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $70,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$70,000 Active 304-char remark
-
2025-09-23soldstatus $48,000
-
2025-09-18soldstatus $48,000 Closed 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-08-30historical Active Under Contract 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-08-08price $54,500 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-07-31price $59,500 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-07-27price $64,500 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
-
2025-07-13$69,500 Active 734-char remark
Show marketing remark (734 chars)
Opportunity knocks in the heart of Russell! Welcome to 100 Poplar Street—a 2 bedroom, 1 bathroom one-floor plan home sitting on an expansive 2.3-acre lot. Whether you're looking for a peaceful retreat or your next renovation project, this fixer-upper has serious potential. All furniture and decor stays! Enjoy the privacy and space of a large lot while still being conveniently located just minutes from town. The home features a spacious deck perfect for relaxing or entertaining, plus an above-ground pool to help you beat the summer heat. With a little vision and some elbow grease, this property could be transformed into a true gem. Don’t miss your chance to own acreage in Russell—schedule your showing today!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,254
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,060
- − Management
- −$1,060
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,301
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,032
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,048/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Russell Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2105130
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -22.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -18.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,382
- Composite
- 38.14/100
- National rank
- #4268
- State rank
- #22 of 165 in KY
Livability — Russell
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #91
- US rank
- #3643
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Russell, KY
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,527
Population outlook (Greenup County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 34,374 people
- By 2030
- 33,145 · -3.6%
- By 2040
- 30,407 · -11.5%
- By 2050
- 27,702 · -19.4%
- By 2075
- 21,970 · -36.1%
- By 2100
- 16,670 · -51.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 5%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Serbian 2% Subsaharan African 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Greenup
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.5) · D 24.1% · R 74.6% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -36.4pp toward R · 2008: -14.1pp · 2024: -50.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.5 2020: R+45.1 2016: R+45.5 2012: R+18.6 2008: R+14.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.88%
- Current HPI
- 171.1405
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
||
| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
-6.5% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-16 Price Changed $65,000 FSBO.com
- 2026-05-12 Listed $70,000 FSBO.com
- 2025-09-23 Sold (Public Records) $48,000 Public Records
- 2025-09-18 Sold (MLS) $48,000 AABOR
- 2025-08-30 Contingent — AABOR
- 2025-08-08 Price Changed $54,500 AABOR
- 2025-07-31 Price Changed $59,500 AABOR
- 2025-07-27 Price Changed $64,500 AABOR
- 2025-07-13 Listed $69,500 AABOR
Property tax history
-20.9%/yrLatest (2020): $11 · +0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…