Fourplex
220 Stevenson St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 7/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.76%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$369,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks
Impressive turnkey 4-unit delivering a 10.2% cap rate! The owner has invested heavily since 2008, with major updates throughout. Recent highlights include new gutters and fascia (2025), full tear-off roof (2020), commercial grade hot water tank (2020), windows throughout (2018, 2020, 2023), exterior painted (2019, 2025) and garage roof (2018). Additional updates include a rebuilt chimney, electrical upgrade to circuit breakers, updated water lines, boiler with 2 zone valves, front steps rebuilt, concrete parking pad, and refreshed kitchens, bathrooms, and flooring throughout, including refinished hardwood floors. Off-street parking with a 2-car garage and concrete parking pad. Serious cash
Key facts
- New gutters
- Full tear-off roof
- Rebuilt chimney
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Four-unit property; Four total units in community; Two separate gas meters; Five separate electric meters
- Financial info: Owner pays grounds care, heat, snow removal and water; Operating expenses include insurance, structural maintenance, snow removal and water/sewer
Exterior
- Parking: 2-car garage; Additional parking available
- Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Circuit breaker electric service
- Home design: 2-story multifamily building; Existing condition; Rectangular residential lot with city street frontage; Facing unspecified
- Construction: Cedar and wood siding; Copper plumbing; Architectural shingle roof; Stone foundation; Built (existing structure)
- Exterior features: Covered porch
Interior
- Flooring: Hardwood; Luxury vinyl; Varies by unit
- Bathrooms: Four full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Gas heating with radiators
- Interior features: Full basement; Hardwood and luxury vinyl flooring; flooring varies by unit; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 6-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $370k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $3k ($41k/yr) — positive. Per door: $864/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($7k rent vs $370k).
- Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+12.7%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $7,192/mo this rent would consume 159% of the median local household income ($54k/yr) (locally 959% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $40k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $37k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $104k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$64k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $370k implies a 516% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1903 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1903 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.94% ✓
- Cap rate
- 17.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 40.69%
- DSCR
- 2.81
- GRM
- 4.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 58.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.44×
- Total profit
- $459,520
- Equity at exit
- $333,235
- IRR
- 54.0%
- Equity multiple
- 13.30×
- Total profit
- $1,274,058
- Equity at exit
- $718,634
Cash invested: $103,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14210
- Home prices YoY
- 13.8%
- Rents YoY
- 12.7%
- Active inventory
- 94
- Price-to-rent
- 17.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,192 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,940
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $908/yr
- Insurance
- −$154
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$56 /mo · $666/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,510
- Net cashflow
- $3,457
Break-even live
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 6 | 4 | $7,192 |
| #1 | 6 | 4 | $1,798 |
| #2 | 6 | 4 | $1,798 |
| #3 | 6 | 4 | $1,798 |
| #4 | 6 | 4 | $1,798 |
| Total (4 units) | $7,192 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $92,475
- Closing costs
- $11,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $369,900 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $369,900 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $369,900 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $369,900 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $369,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $369,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $369,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $369,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $369,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $369,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $369,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $369,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-25$369,900 Active
-
2008-05-09soldstatus $60,000
-
2005-07-06soldstatus $45,000
-
1995-06-09soldstatus $78,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $908 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,580 · $298/mo
- Expected delta
- +$2,672/yr (+$223/mo · 294.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 76% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $86,304
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,720
- − Property taxes
- −$908
- − Insurance
- −$2,516
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$6,904
- − Management
- −$6,904
- − Depreciation
- −$10,761
- Taxable income
- $37,591
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$9,022
- After-tax cash flow
- $32,457/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,563
- Household income
- $54,197
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 959.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Hispanic / Latino 7% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 21% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 52.34%
- Current HPI
- 431.7951
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 12.67%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+374.2% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-25 Listed $369,900 WNYREIS
- 2008-05-09 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
- 1995-06-09 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+8.9%/yrLatest (2025): $908 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…