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202 W Holt St Fourplex
C Composite 59.94
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$299,000

202 W Holt St · Burlington, NC 27217
None bd · None ba · 1,240 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 14 Days on market
Built 1910 5,270 sqft lot Est $224k · 33% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks MLS

Great Investment Opportunity. Quad on corner lot. All units are currently occupied. Long term renters 4+ years. All units are 1 bedroom/1 bath, kitchen and laundry. Tenants responsible for all utilities. 1 unit rent $320 other 3 units is $350

Key facts

  • Three vacant units
  • 4 unit quadplex
  • 5,270 sq ft lot

Tags

4 UNIT QUADPLEXTHREE VACANT UNITSIMMEDIATE RENTAL INCOMEVALUE ADD OPPORTUNITYEASY ACCESS TO LOCAL AMENITIES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.121 acre
  • HOA & community: Located in the High Point association area (no association fees)

Exterior

  • Parking: Gravel parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power and heating; Electric water heater
  • Home design: Residential income property; Quadruplex; Built in 1910; Existing structure
  • Construction: Built in 1910
  • Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Gravel parking

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric water heater
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric water heater
  • Interior features: No basement
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer connection

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $331/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
  • Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
  • Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,950/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $155k; list at $299k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $299,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.32%
Cap rate
11.61%
Cash-on-cash
18.99%
DSCR
1.85
GRM
6.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$224,440
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
916 - 918 Harris St 0.56mi 2/2.0 1,191 (-4%) 4mo $215,000 $181 64
805 N Mebane St 0.52mi 2/2.0 1,289 (+4%) 15mo $187,000 $145 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$28,274
Equity at exit
$44,582
10-year hold
IRR
16.4%
Equity multiple
2.23×
Total profit
$103,006
Equity at exit
$25,852

Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27217

Home prices YoY
-22.3%
Rents YoY
1.1%
Active inventory
273
Price-to-rent
25.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,950 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,568
Tax from tax record
$103 /mo · $1,234/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$830
Net cashflow
$1,325

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,273
Max offer price $299,000
Occupancy floor 61%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,494 -5% $1,410 +0% $1,325 +5% $1,240 +10% $1,156
Rent -10% $1,013 -5% $1,169 +0% $1,325 +5% $1,481 +10% $1,637
Rate -1.0pp $1,476 -0.5pp $1,401 base $1,325 +0.5pp $1,248 +1.0pp $1,169

4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (4 units) $3,950

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$74,750
Closing costs
$8,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 23 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
306 N Ireland St Unit 306 Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 807 $1,250 $1.55 22d 1 0.26mi
910 N Main St Unit A Burlington, NC 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,395 $1.27 14d 1 0.40mi
411 S Saint John St Burlington, NC 1.0 1.0 700 $1,100 $1.57 22d 1 0.55mi
1016 Grace Ave Burlington, NC 3.0 1.0 994 $1,245 $1.25 22d 1 0.58mi
511 W Davis St Burlington, NC 2.0 2.0 840 $2,395 $2.85 22d 1 0.60mi
516 Maple Ave Unit B Burlington, NC 1.0 1.0 869 $850 $0.98 22d 1 0.68mi
525 Lakeside Ave Burlington, NC 3.0 1.0 975 $1,300 $1.33 22d 1 0.80mi
321 E 5th St Burlington, NC 1.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 22d 1 0.81mi
805 S Broad St Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 779 $1,100 $1.41 22d 1 0.81mi
830 Oxford Ln Burlington, NC 3.0 1.5 1137 $1,495 $1.31 14d 1 0.85mi
1055 Baldwin Ridge Rd Burlington, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,512 $1.48 14d 19 0.89mi
709 Maryland Ave Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 786 $1,225 $1.56 22d 1 0.89mi
824 Chandler Ave Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 750 $1,275 $1.70 14d 1 0.92mi
654 Lakeside Ave Unit 654 Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 830 $1,125 $1.36 14d 1 0.95mi
131 Carolina Ave Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $1,295 $1.44 22d 1 1.04mi
1013 Attica St Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 855 $1,245 $1.46 14d 1 1.07mi
1106 Attica St Burlington, NC 3.0 2.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 14d 1 1.11mi
102-A/B W Summit Ave Unit B Burlington, NC 1.0 1.0 750 $895 $1.19 14d 1 1.11mi
1128 Ava St Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 900 $1,200 $1.33 14d 1 1.19mi
109 Craig St Unit 109-F Burlington, NC 2.0 1.0 750 $1,095 $1.46 14d 1 1.28mi
1322 Elm St Burlington, NC 3.0 1.5 848 $1,550 $1.83 14d 1 1.34mi
1331 Elm St Burlington, NC 3.0 1.0 950 $1,475 $1.55 22d 1 1.40mi
2076 Legacy Park Trl Burlington, NC 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1025 $1,575 $1.54 22d 22 1.44mi

Listing history 12 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $299,000 Active 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $299,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $299,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $299,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $299,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $299,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $299,000 Active 7 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $299,000 Active 5 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $299,000 Active 3 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    remarks 672-char remark
  12. 2026-06-07
    listed $299,000 Active 2 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,234 · $103/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,452 · $204/mo
Expected delta
+$1,218/yr (+$101/mo · 98.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$47,400
− Mortgage interest
−$16,749
− Property taxes
−$1,234
− Insurance
−$1,495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,792
− Management
−$3,792
− Depreciation
−$8,698
Taxable income
$11,640
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,794
After-tax cash flow
$13,108/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Alamance-Burlington Schools
NCES district ID
3700030
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$43,359
Composite
29.68/100
National rank
#6460
State rank
#133 of 178 in NC

Livability — Burlington

Score
70/100
State rank
#123
US rank
#7396

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, NC
County
Alamance County · 173,369 people
City population
88,508
Metro
Burlington, NC
Population (ZIP)
41,406
Household income
$51,950
Rent vs Own
39.8% rent · 60.2% own
Severe rent burden
1040.0

Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
173,381 people
By 2030
180,609 · +4.2%
By 2040
194,327 · +12.1%
By 2050
206,158 · +18.9%
By 2075
235,665 · +35.9%
By 2100
258,626 · +49.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
Race & ethnicity
White 38% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
13% · Canada
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 24%

Political lean MEDSL · Alamance

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.45%
Current HPI
259.8107
Rent YoY
▲ 1.06%
Metro
Burlington, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+182.3% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-05 Listed $299,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-11-16 Price Changed $330,000 Triad MLS
  • 2025-09-28 Price Changed $345,000 Triad MLS
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Triad MLS
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 AMLSNC
  • 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 TMLS
  • 2021-09-24 Pending Triad MLS
  • 2021-09-24 Pending AMLSNC
  • 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 Triad MLS
  • 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 AMLSNC
  • 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 TMLS
  • 2004-02-27 Listing Removed TMLS
  • 2003-08-27 Listed $105,900 TMLS

Property tax history

+10.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,234 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…