Fourplex
202 W Holt St · Burlington, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 19.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.2/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 4 units. estimate disagrees with records
5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.
Listing remarks MLS
Great Investment Opportunity. Quad on corner lot. All units are currently occupied. Long term renters 4+ years. All units are 1 bedroom/1 bath, kitchen and laundry. Tenants responsible for all utilities. 1 unit rent $320 other 3 units is $350
Key facts
- Three vacant units
- 4 unit quadplex
- 5,270 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot approximately 0.121 acre
- HOA & community: Located in the High Point association area (no association fees)
Exterior
- Parking: Gravel parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric power and heating; Electric water heater
- Home design: Residential income property; Quadruplex; Built in 1910; Existing structure
- Construction: Built in 1910
- Exterior features: Public water; Public sewer; Gravel parking
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric water heater
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Window air conditioning units; Electric water heater
- Interior features: No basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer connection
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4 × 1-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($16k/yr) — positive. Per door: $331/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $299k).
- Cap rate 11.6% vs local median 3.6% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#123 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute D+, schools F, crime F.
- Alamance-Burlington Schools (rural): math 30% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #133 of 178 in NC (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.1%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 23 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,466 units permitted in Alamance County in 2024 (403 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,950/mo this rent would consume 91% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 1040% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Alamance County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.1% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 23y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $155k; list at $299k implies a 93% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.32% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 18.99%
- DSCR
- 1.85
- GRM
- 6.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $224,440
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 916 - 918 Harris St | 0.56mi | 2/2.0 | 1,191 (-4%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $181 | 64 |
| 805 N Mebane St | 0.52mi | 2/2.0 | 1,289 (+4%) | 15mo | $187,000 | $145 | 56 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 8.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.34×
- Total profit
- $28,274
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- 16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.23×
- Total profit
- $103,006
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27217
- Home prices YoY
- -22.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.1%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 25.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,950 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$103 /mo · $1,234/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$830
- Net cashflow
- $1,325
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,494 | -5% $1,410 | +0% $1,325 | +5% $1,240 | +10% $1,156 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,013 | -5% $1,169 | +0% $1,325 | +5% $1,481 | +10% $1,637 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,476 | -0.5pp $1,401 | base $1,325 | +0.5pp $1,248 | +1.0pp $1,169 |
4-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4× units | 1 | 1 | $3,952 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $988 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $988 |
| #3 | 1 | 1 | $988 |
| #4 | 1 | 1 | $988 |
| Total (4 units) | $3,950 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 23 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 306 N Ireland St Unit 306 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 807 | $1,250 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 910 N Main St Unit A Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 411 S Saint John St Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,100 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 1016 Grace Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 994 | $1,245 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 511 W Davis St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 840 | $2,395 | $2.85 | 22d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 516 Maple Ave Unit B Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 869 | $850 | $0.98 | 22d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 525 Lakeside Ave Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,300 | $1.33 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 321 E 5th St Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $850 | $1.21 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 805 S Broad St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 779 | $1,100 | $1.41 | 22d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 830 Oxford Ln Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1137 | $1,495 | $1.31 | 14d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 1055 Baldwin Ridge Rd Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,512 | $1.48 | 14d | 19 | 0.89mi |
| 709 Maryland Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 786 | $1,225 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 824 Chandler Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,275 | $1.70 | 14d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 654 Lakeside Ave Unit 654 Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,125 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 131 Carolina Ave Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,295 | $1.44 | 22d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 1013 Attica St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,245 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 1106 Attica St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 102-A/B W Summit Ave Unit B Burlington, NC | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $895 | $1.19 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1128 Ava St Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,200 | $1.33 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 109 Craig St Unit 109-F Burlington, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,095 | $1.46 | 14d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1322 Elm St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 848 | $1,550 | $1.83 | 14d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1331 Elm St Burlington, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,475 | $1.55 | 22d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2076 Legacy Park Trl Burlington, NC | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1025 | $1,575 | $1.54 | 22d | 22 | 1.44mi |
Listing history 12 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $299,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $299,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $299,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $299,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 672-char remark
-
2026-06-07$299,000 Active 2 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,234 · $103/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,452 · $204/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,218/yr (+$101/mo · 98.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 19% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $47,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$1,234
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,792
- − Management
- −$3,792
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable income
- $11,640
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,794
- After-tax cash flow
- $13,108/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Alamance-Burlington Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3700030
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,359
- Composite
- 29.68/100
- National rank
- #6460
- State rank
- #133 of 178 in NC
Livability — Burlington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #123
- US rank
- #7396
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Burlington, NC
- County
- Alamance County · 173,369 people
- City population
- 88,508
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 41,406
- Household income
- $51,950
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1040.0
Population outlook (Alamance County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 173,381 people
- By 2030
- 180,609 · +4.2%
- By 2040
- 194,327 · +12.1%
- By 2050
- 206,158 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 235,665 · +35.9%
- By 2100
- 258,626 · +49.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 38% Black 29% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 19% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 75% English-only · Spanish 24%
Political lean MEDSL · Alamance
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.2) · D 45.4% · R 53.5% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.1pp toward D · 2008: -9.2pp · 2024: -8.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.2 2020: R+8.4 2016: R+12.9 2012: R+14.1 2008: R+9.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.45%
- Current HPI
- 259.8107
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.06%
- Metro
- Burlington, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
+182.3% since first listed14 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $299,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-11-16 Price Changed $330,000 Triad MLS
- 2025-09-28 Price Changed $345,000 Triad MLS
- 2021-10-20 Sold (Public Records) $155,000 Public Records
- 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 Triad MLS
- 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 AMLSNC
- 2021-10-20 Sold (MLS) $155,000 TMLS
- 2021-09-24 Pending — Triad MLS
- 2021-09-24 Pending — AMLSNC
- 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 Triad MLS
- 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 AMLSNC
- 2021-09-22 Listed $150,000 TMLS
- 2004-02-27 Listing Removed — TMLS
- 2003-08-27 Listed $105,900 TMLS
Property tax history
+10.8%/yrLatest (2025): $1,234 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…