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2538 3rd Ave Multi-family
B- Composite 66.87
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$150,000

2538 3rd Ave · Nitro, WV 25143
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,356 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1917 0.71 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records

Listing remarks MLS

Open the door to this beautiful 3 bedroom 1 full bath with an open living room. Located in the heart of Nitro with plenty ofpotential and room to make it your own. Must see!

Key facts

  • 0.71 acre lot
  • Built 1917
  • Listed 6 days

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: On-street parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two-story
  • Construction: Brick construction; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Porch; Rolling slope lot

Interior

  • Flooring: Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Dryer; Refrigerator; Vinyl flooring

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath multifamily listed at $150k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $569 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
  • Cap rate 10.8% vs local median 5.2% in Nitro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#97 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D.
  • Kanawha County Schools (suburban): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #17 of 55 in WV (top 31%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 39 active listings in the ZIP; 103 units permitted in Kanawha County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Kanawha County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1917 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $150,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1917 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
10.85%
Cash-on-cash
16.26%
DSCR
1.72
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.3%
Equity multiple
1.28×
Total profit
$11,937
Equity at exit
$22,365
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.36×
Total profit
$57,051
Equity at exit
$12,969

Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State West Virginia
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Landlord-favorable; preempted; minimal protections.

ZIP-level market 25143

Home prices YoY
-19.2%
Active inventory
39
Price-to-rent
12.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,963 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$787
Tax from tax record
$133 /mo · $1,590/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$412
Net cashflow
$569

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,243
Max offer price $150,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $654 -5% $612 +0% $569 +5% $527 +10% $484
Rent -10% $414 -5% $492 +0% $569 +5% $647 +10% $724
Rate -1.0pp $645 -0.5pp $607 base $569 +0.5pp $530 +1.0pp $491

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $1,963

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,500
Closing costs
$4,500
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $150,000 Active 7 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $150,000 Active 6 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $150,000 Active 5 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $150,000 Active 4 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $150,000 Active 3 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    listing id $150,000 Active 1 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    remarks 174-char remark
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    Open the door to this beautiful 3 bedroom 1 full bath with an open living room. Located in the heart of Nitro with plenty ofpotential and room to make it your own. Must see!

  8. 2026-06-12
    listed $150,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (173 chars)

    Open the door to this beautiful 3 bedroom 1 full bath with an open living room. Located in the heart of Nitro with plenty ofpotential and room to make it your own. Must see!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,590 · $133/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,590 · $133/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 64% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,556
− Mortgage interest
−$8,402
− Property taxes
−$1,590
− Insurance
−$750
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,884
− Management
−$1,884
− Depreciation
−$4,364
Taxable income
$4,681
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,123
After-tax cash flow
$5,706/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Kanawha County Schools
NCES district ID
5400600
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -13.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$44,329
Composite
29.35/100
National rank
#6540
State rank
#17 of 55 in WV

Livability — Nitro

Score
67/100
State rank
#97
US rank
#10940

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Nitro, WV
Population (ZIP)
9,185

Population outlook (Kanawha County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,946 people
By 2030
172,906 · -3.4%
By 2040
159,874 · -10.7%
By 2050
148,148 · -17.2%
By 2075
123,257 · -31.1%
By 2100
96,454 · -46.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
0%
Languages at home
99% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Kanawha

2024 margin
R (+17.4) · D 40.2% · R 57.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-17.0pp toward R · 2008: -0.4pp · 2024: -17.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+17.4 2020: R+14.7 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+11.9 2008: R+0.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -48.75%
Current HPI
205.6038
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $150,000 KVBOR
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $150,000 HBRMLS

Property tax history

+2.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,590 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…