1010 S 5th St · Lovington, NM 88260

$55,000

2 bd · 1.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily · 242 Days on market

Built 1972 7,000 sqft lot ↓ 31% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.3/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Spacious lot with mobile home to convey. Call for more details!

Key facts

• Spacious lot
• 7,000 sq ft lot
• Built 1972

Tags

• SPACIOUS LOT

Property features AI

Finance

• Financial info: Annual tax amount listed

Exterior

• Parking: No garage
• Utilities: Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected
• Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); Residential property
• Construction: Manufactured structure
• Exterior features: Lot approximately 50 x 140 feet (about 0.16 acres); Public water; Sewer connected; Electricity connected

Interior

• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: No heating listed
• Interior features: One full bathroom; No central heating

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $613 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
• Recommended offer: $48k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 66/100 on livability (#33 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Zoned schools: Llano Elementary (325 students, 99% FRL); Taylor Middle (527 students, 99% FRL); Lovington High (math 44% / reading 54%, grade D, #51 of 110 statewide, top 50%, 737 students, 100% FRL).
• Market conditions: 72 active listings in the ZIP; 172 units permitted in Lea County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lea County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 242 days — a 12% lower offer ($48k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (31%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $48,400 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 242 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 2.29% ✓
• Cap rate: 19.66%
• Cash-on-cash: 47.75%
• DSCR: 3.12
• GRM: 3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 45.2%
• Equity multiple: 2.96×
• Total profit: $30,136
• Equity at exit: $8,201

10-year hold

• IRR: 51.1%
• Equity multiple: 5.97×
• Total profit: $76,575
• Equity at exit: $4,755

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
• State New Mexico: 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+3
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice but with cure rights; relocation assistance in some cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 88260

• Active inventory: 72
• Price-to-rent: 3.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,257 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$288
• Tax est. 1.5%: −$69 /mo · $825/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$264
• Net cashflow: $613

Break-even live

Break-even rent $481

Max offer price $55,000

Occupancy floor 46%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $651	-5% $632	+0% $613	+5% $594	+10% $575
Rent	-10% $514	-5% $563	+0% $613	+5% $662	+10% $712
Rate	-1.0pp $640	-0.5pp $627	base $613	+0.5pp $599	+1.0pp $584

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $13,750
• Closing costs: $1,650
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 9 events

1. 2026-05-10
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-27
   status Active
3. 2026-04-09
   status Pending
4. 2026-02-13
   status Active
5. 2026-02-13
   price $55,000
6. 2026-02-10
   historical
7. 2025-12-12
   price $60,000
8. 2025-08-20
   listed $80,000 Active
9. 1993-09-03
   soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 10/10 Extreme
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $15,082
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,081
• − Property taxes: −$825
• − Insurance: −$275
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,207
• − Management: −$1,207
• − Depreciation: −$1,600
• Taxable income: $6,888
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,653
• After-tax cash flow: $5,700/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — Lovington

• Score: 66/100
• State rank: #33
• US rank: #11541

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Lovington, NM
• Population (ZIP): 15,410

Population outlook (Lea County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 84,268 people
• By 2030: 91,695 · +8.8%
• By 2040: 108,366 · +28.6%
• By 2050: 126,264 · +49.8%
• By 2075: 170,606 · +102.5%
• By 2100: 199,235 · +136.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Hispanic (66%)
• Race & ethnicity: Hispanic / Latino 66% White 31% Two or more races 26% Black 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 63%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 1% Portuguese 1% Serbian 1%
• Foreign-born: 21% · Canada
• Languages at home: 51% English-only · Spanish 49%

Political lean MEDSL · Lea

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+61.6) · D 18.5% · R 80.1% · Other 1.3%
• 2008→2024 swing: -17.4pp toward R · 2008: -44.2pp · 2024: -61.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+61.6 2020: R+59.6 2016: R+48.5 2012: R+49.7 2008: R+44.2

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -124.50%
• Current HPI: 92.2391
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: —
• F500 in state: 0

Price history

-31.2% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-10 Pending — NMMLS
• 2026-04-27 Relisted — NMMLS
• 2026-04-09 Pending — NMMLS
• 2026-02-13 Relisted — NMMLS
• 2026-02-13 Price Changed $55,000 NMMLS
• 2026-02-10 Delisted — NMMLS
• 2025-12-12 Price Changed $60,000 NMMLS
• 2025-08-20 Listed $80,000 NMMLS
• 1993-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records

Property tax history

+3.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $52 · +0.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.