416 Michigan Ave · Troy, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.3/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$94,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don’t miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
Key facts
- Finished attic
- Dual-living setup
- Separate guest house
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One and one-half stories; Built in 1920; No shared/common walls
- Exterior features: Block foundation
Interior
- Bedrooms: 3 main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom (1.5 total)
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
- Interior features: Cellar basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $467 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.6% in Troy — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#345 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Troy City (suburban): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #271 of 656 in OH (top 41%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 281 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 326 units permitted in Miami County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $656 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.43% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.08%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $187,136
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 555 Miami St | 0.36mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,064 (-2%) | 3mo | $149,900 | $141 | 72 |
| 1087 Fairfield Rd | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 988 (-9%) | 2mo | $189,900 | $192 | 59 |
| 731 Michigan Ave | 0.22mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 948 (-13%) | 6mo | $154,900 | $163 | 57 |
| 709 N Market St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 | 1,251 (+15%) | 8mo | $176,000 | $141 | 56 |
| 1006 N Nutmeg Sq | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-8%) | 2mo | $156,100 | $156 | 55 |
| 318 S Mulberry St | 0.74mi | 3/1.0 | 1,131 (+4%) | 11mo | $199,000 | $176 | 49 |
| 425 W Franklin St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 | 1,170 (+8%) | 2mo | $185,000 | $158 | 49 |
| 1006 Mayfield Dr | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-8%) | 11mo | $181,000 | $181 | 47 |
| 1021 Nutmeg Sq | 0.71mi | 3/1.0 | 999 (-8%) | 10mo | $196,900 | $197 | 45 |
| 454 Mayfield Sq | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 | 1,001 (-8%) | 9mo | $172,000 | $172 | 43 |
| 467 Mayfield Ct | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,001 (-8%) | 10mo | $196,000 | $196 | 42 |
| 995 Terry Dr | 0.74mi | 3/1.5 | 1,211 (+11%) | 9mo | $199,900 | $165 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.06% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.65×
- Total profit
- $17,206
- Equity at exit
- $14,150
- IRR
- 25.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.46×
- Total profit
- $65,467
- Equity at exit
- $8,205
Cash invested: $26,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45373
- Rents YoY
- 5.1%
- Active inventory
- 281
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $775/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $467
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $521 | -5% $494 | +0% $467 | +5% $440 | +10% $413 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $360 | -5% $413 | +0% $467 | +5% $520 | +10% $574 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $515 | -0.5pp $491 | base $467 | +0.5pp $442 | +1.0pp $417 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,725
- Closing costs
- $2,847
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 580 Staunton Commons Dr Troy, OH | 2.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 957 | $1,395 | $1.46 | 3d | 2 | 0.29mi |
| 1187 Salem Ct Troy, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1417 | $1,400 | $0.99 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 906 1/2 Race Dr Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 920 | $750 | $0.82 | 3d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 1214 Stephenson Dr Troy, OH | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,400 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 455 Stonyridge Ave Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $1,175 | $2.04 | 3d | 5 | 0.97mi |
| 1200 Bunker Hill Dr Apt D Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,125 | $1.25 | 20d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1115 Stephenson Dr Unit 1255F Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 3d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1115 Stephenson Dr Unit 1115C Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,149 | $1.28 | 12d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1115 Stephenson Dr Unit 1265B Troy, OH | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,175 | $1.31 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 1211 W Main St Troy, OH | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 3d | 3 | 1.33mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-02$94,900 Pending 1 DOM
-
2026-04-30status Pending 1575-char remark
Show marketing remark (1572 chars)
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
-
2026-04-30status Pending
Show marketing remark (1572 chars)
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
-
2026-04-30status Pending 1572-char remark
Show marketing remark (1572 chars)
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
-
2026-04-29$94,900 Active
-
2026-04-28$94,900 Active 1575-char remark
Show marketing remark (1572 chars)
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
-
2026-04-28$94,900 Active 1572-char remark
Show marketing remark (1572 chars)
Welcome to 416 Michigan Avenue -- an incredible opportunity packed with potential just minutes from downtown Troy, local parks, schools, shopping, and restaurants. This unique property features a 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath main home plus a separate 1-bedroom, 1-bath guest house on the same parcel, offering excellent possibilities for investors or those looking to create additional income. The main home offers 1,088 square feet on the main floor, plus an additional mostly finished attic that is not included in the 1,088 square feet offering over 400 additional square feet of living bedroom & living space. The main floor includes an open living room, dining room, and kitchen space, along with three bedrooms and one full plus a half bathroom. The finished attic provides a large fourth bedroom and abundant storage, adding valuable extra space and flexibility. The 720 square foot guest house offers its own private living quarters with living room, kitchen, bedroom, and bathroom -- ideal for a rental, in-law suite, or guest space. Both homes feature charming front porches, adding to the property's character and curb appeal. Situated on a 50x120 lot, the property also includes a 2-car attached garage and an unfinished cellar-style basement in the main home for additional storage. This property is being sold as-is, making it a prime opportunity for investors or buyers ready to bring their vision to life. With its location and dual-living setup, the potential here is hard to beat. Don't miss your chance to transform this property into something special!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $775 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,128 · $94/mo
- Expected delta
- +$353/yr (+$29/mo · 45.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,233
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,316
- − Property taxes
- −$775
- − Insurance
- −$474
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,299
- − Management
- −$1,299
- − Depreciation
- −$2,761
- Taxable income
- $4,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,034
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,568/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Troy City
- NCES district ID
- 3904492
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,012
- Composite
- 52.1/100
- National rank
- #1625
- State rank
- #271 of 656 in OH
Livability — Troy
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #345
- US rank
- #5621
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Troy, OH
- County
- Miami County · 85,667 people
- City population
- 37,565
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 37,565
- Household income
- $75,742
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1134.0
Population outlook (Miami County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 107,816 people
- By 2030
- 108,896 · +1.0%
- By 2040
- 109,581 · +1.6%
- By 2050
- 108,110 · +0.3%
- By 2075
- 101,523 · -5.8%
- By 2100
- 85,787 · -20.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (87%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 87% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 3% Black 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Miami
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.1) · D 27.0% · R 72.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -16.6pp toward R · 2008: -28.5pp · 2024: -45.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.1 2020: R+44.3 2016: R+45.6 2012: R+35.6 2008: R+28.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -158.93%
- Current HPI
- 211.5279
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.06%
- Metro
- Dayton-Kettering, OH
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-30 Pending — Dayton MLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — CBRMLS
- 2026-04-30 Pending — WRIST
- 2026-04-29 Listed $94,900 CBRMLS
- 2026-04-28 Listed $94,900 WRIST
- 2026-04-28 Listed $94,900 Dayton MLS
Property tax history
+0.1%/yrLatest (2025): $775 · +1.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…