203 N Adams St · San Angelo, TX
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.3/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- Cash flow +6.8/30.0
- Rent growth +3.9/5.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.8/10.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3/2 family home, centrally located. Large living/dining room. Big kitchen with pass through to breakfast bar. Split bedrooms, Nice deck in back. Take a look.
Key facts
- Centrally located
- Big kitchen
- Split bedrooms
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-290 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $134k (27.7% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $144k (22.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $134k (27.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#199 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- San Angelo ISD (urban): math 27% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #627 of 826 in TX (top 76%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.8%/yr); 331 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 66% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 233 units permitted in Tom Green County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Tom Green County population projected at +35% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 214 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $18k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 214 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.78% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- -6.71%
- DSCR
- 0.70
- GRM
- 10.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $217,946
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -15.12%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 215 N Bishop St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,336 (+9%) | 7mo | $140,000 | $105 | 72 |
| 314 N Jefferson St | 0.13mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (+10%) | 7mo | $199,500 | $148 | 65 |
| 915 Guadalupe St | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 | 1,400 (+14%) | 1mo | $169,999 | $121 | 64 |
| 1315 Pecos St | 0.15mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,100 (-10%) | 7mo | $137,500 | $125 | 61 |
| 1710 W Ave H | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 | 1,244 (+2%) | 8mo | $169,500 | $136 | 55 |
| 121 S Tyler St | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,303 (+6%) | 0mo | $189,900 | $146 | 55 |
| 1951 W Twohig Ave | 0.69mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,292 (+6%) | 4mo | $190,000 | $147 | 51 |
| 312 N Milton St | 0.44mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,080 (-12%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $153 | 50 |
| 1024 N Bishop St | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 1,070 (-13%) | 1mo | $135,000 | $126 | 47 |
| 909 N Bishop St | 0.48mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,096 (-10%) | 5mo | $63,500 | $58 | 47 |
| 1913 W Twohig Ave | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 | 1,106 (-10%) | 7mo | $169,000 | $153 | 44 |
| 402 Westland Ave | 0.72mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,070 (-13%) | 7mo | $147,500 | $138 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 5.78% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.67×
- Total profit
- $86,554
- Equity at exit
- $166,663
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.39×
- Total profit
- $279,009
- Equity at exit
- $359,414
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76901
- Home prices YoY
- 6.4%
- Rents YoY
- 5.8%
- Active inventory
- 331
- Price-to-rent
- 10.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,439 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$379 /mo · $4,547/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$302
- Net cashflow
- $-290
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-185 | -5% $-237 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-342 | +10% $-394 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-403 | -5% $-347 | +0% $-290 | +5% $-233 | +10% $-176 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-197 | -0.5pp $-243 | base $-290 | +0.5pp $-338 | +1.0pp $-386 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-C San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 925 | $1,175 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 902 Shiloh St Unit RE-908-16 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 875 | $1,125 | $1.29 | 44d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 121 N Van Buren St Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 715 | $1,095 | $1.53 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 711 N Monroe St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1345 | $1,500 | $1.12 | 44d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1835 Willow St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1267 | $1,750 | $1.38 | 44d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 212 S Fillmore St Unit B San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $999 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 706 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1298 | $1,590 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 2065 Live Oak St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $950 | $1.32 | 44d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 540 W 16th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,364 | $1.25 | 44d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2102 Webster St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1233 | $1,750 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 810 W 19th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1090 | $1,249 | $1.15 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 2430 Rio Grande St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,395 | $1.16 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-02 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 837 | $1,200 | $1.43 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 1222 S Abe St Unit CK-03 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1007 | $1,425 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 209 West Avenue C Unit A San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,400 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 2425 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1225 | $1,395 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1725 West Avenue M Unit M San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1202 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 705 Childress St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 872 | $1,400 | $1.61 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 1929 Raney St San Angelo, TX | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 765 | $1,000 | $1.31 | 22d | 4 | 1.24mi |
| 1818 S Lincoln St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 555 | $1,199 | $2.16 | 22d | 19 | 1.29mi |
| 1905 Meadowbrook Dr San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1184 | $1,400 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.31mi |
| 2630 Waco St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1024 | $1,600 | $1.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 2102 Raney St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,295 | $1.25 | 22d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 212 Koberlin St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 925 | $945 | $1.02 | 44d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2629 Forest Park Ave San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1336 | $1,895 | $1.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 134 E 11th St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 872 | $1,025 | $1.18 | 44d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 2804 Abilene St San Angelo, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,550 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 302 Allen St #18 San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $2,000 | $2.56 | 22d | 1 | 1.49mi |
| 302 Allen St San Angelo, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $185,000 Active 214 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 213 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 212 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 211 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 210 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $185,000 Active 208 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 207 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $185,000 Active 205 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 204 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $185,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $196,000 Active 203 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $196,000 Active 202 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $196,000 Active 197 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $196,000 Active 195 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $196,000 Active 194 DOM
-
2026-05-04price $196,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Nice 3/2 family home, centrally located. Large living/dining room. Big kitchen with pass through to breakfast bar. Split bedrooms, Nice deck in back. Take a look.
-
2026-01-06price $199,000 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Nice 3/2 family home, centrally located. Large living/dining room. Big kitchen with pass through to breakfast bar. Split bedrooms, Nice deck in back. Take a look.
-
2025-11-18$203,000 Active 162-char remark
Show marketing remark (162 chars)
Nice 3/2 family home, centrally located. Large living/dining room. Big kitchen with pass through to breakfast bar. Split bedrooms, Nice deck in back. Take a look.
-
2024-10-30historical $1,400
-
2024-09-25$1,400
-
2024-09-16historical $1,400
-
2024-07-19$1,400
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $4,547 · $379/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,547 · $379/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,263
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$4,547
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,381
- − Management
- −$1,381
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$6,716
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,612
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,864/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- San Angelo ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4838700
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,501
- Composite
- 25.56/100
- National rank
- #7427
- State rank
- #627 of 826 in TX
Livability — San Angelo
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #199
- US rank
- #5030
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- San Angelo, TX
- County
- Tom Green County · 113,188 people
- City population
- 81,357
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,831
- Household income
- $69,450
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1034.0
Population outlook (Tom Green County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 135,110 people
- By 2030
- 144,090 · +6.6%
- By 2040
- 162,561 · +20.3%
- By 2050
- 182,158 · +34.8%
- By 2075
- 232,274 · +71.9%
- By 2100
- 268,218 · +98.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (55%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 17% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 38%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 3% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Spanish 21% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Tom Green
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+48.0) · D 25.5% · R 73.5% · Other 1.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.3pp toward R · 2008: -41.7pp · 2024: -48.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+48.0 2020: R+44.4 2016: R+47.9 2012: R+47.9 2008: R+41.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 47.96%
- Current HPI
- 798.58
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.78%
- Metro
- San Angelo, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
||
| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
||
| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
||
| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
||
| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
|
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Price history
+13900.0% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-04 Price Changed $196,000 SAAR TX
- 2026-01-06 Price Changed $199,000 SAAR TX
- 2025-11-18 Listed $203,000 SAAR TX
- 2024-10-30 Rental Removed $1,400 SAARTX
- 2024-09-25 Listed for Rent $1,400 SAARTX
- 2024-09-16 Rental Removed $1,400 SAARTX
- 2024-07-19 Listed for Rent $1,400 SAARTX
Property tax history
+8.2%/yrLatest (2025): $4,547 · +24.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…