4558 Shoshone Ct · Norfolk, VA
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.13%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +6.9/10.0
- 1% rule +6.1/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor opportunity on a large lot, tucked into a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Norfolk. The value is in the upside. This property is ripe for a full rehab and potential second-story expansion, pushing the footprint toward 2,000+ sq ft. 3/4 crawl space. If you're in the market for a high-ROI flip or long-term rental strategy, this could be for you! Sold strictly AS-IS by a highly motivated seller; property is unlikely to qualify for traditional financing favoring cash buyers and experienced investors who understand how to create value. The set-back natural setting expansion potential and flexible exit options make this a true gem. Note: a portion of the lot lies within the Chesapeake Ba
Key facts
- Crawl space
- Quiet cul-de-sac
- Large lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Neighborhood: SHERWOOD FOREST
- HOA & community: No HOA fees indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Detached 2-car garage; Oversized garage (total garage area approximately 576 sq ft)
- Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
- Home design: Detached ranch-style home; Single-story
- Construction: Crawl foundation
- Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Storage shed; Approximately 0.805-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom with an adjacent full bathroom
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Wood flooring; Bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor; 7 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
- Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
- Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sherwood Forest Elementary (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #900 of 1,108 statewide, top 83%, 480 students, 98% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.11%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.48%
- DSCR
- 1.29
- GRM
- 7.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $288,804
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4553 Shoshone Ct | 0.05mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,321 (+12%) | 3mo | $325,000 | $246 | 65 |
| 3483 W Bonner Dr | 0.22mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,300 (+11%) | 3mo | $310,000 | $238 | 64 |
| 3607 Hyde Cir | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,136 (-3%) | 1mo | $305,000 | $268 | 62 |
| 4741 Krick St | 0.35mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,050 (-11%) | 0mo | $185,000 | $176 | 59 |
| 3708 Tait Ter | 0.70mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,158 (-1%) | 0mo | $285,000 | $246 | 56 |
| 2420 Juniper St | 0.56mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,069 (-9%) | 1mo | $149,999 | $140 | 53 |
| 2719 Overbrook Ave | 0.58mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,100 (-6%) | 2mo | $290,000 | $264 | 52 |
| 2413 Hemlock St | 0.67mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,092 (-7%) | 1mo | $295,000 | $270 | 49 |
| 3717 Buckingham St | 0.34mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,345 (+15%) | 3mo | $332,000 | $247 | 46 |
| 3760 Larkin St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,068 (-9%) | 2mo | $305,000 | $286 | 46 |
| 2301 Birch St | 0.74mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+11%) | 3mo | $274,900 | $211 | 41 |
| 4880 Texas Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,338 (+14%) | 1mo | $325,000 | $243 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.78×
- Total profit
- $-8,441
- Equity at exit
- $20,725
- IRR
- 4.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $12,782
- Equity at exit
- $12,018
Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 23513
- Home prices YoY
- -9.3%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 132
- Price-to-rent
- 7.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,537 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$729
- Tax from tax record
- −$217 /mo · $2,608/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$323
- Net cashflow
- $210
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $289 | -5% $249 | +0% $210 | +5% $171 | +10% $131 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $89 | -5% $149 | +0% $210 | +5% $271 | +10% $332 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $280 | -0.5pp $245 | base $210 | +0.5pp $174 | +1.0pp $137 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,750
- Closing costs
- $4,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3477 E Bonner Dr Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1304 | $2,000 | $1.53 | 24d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 4745 Lind St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 752 | $1,350 | $1.80 | 2d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 4745 Lind St Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,600 | $1.60 | 44d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 3044 Sewells Point Rd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,134 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 4566 Hampshire Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,350 | $1.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 3305 Herbert St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1215 | $1,750 | $1.44 | 13d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 4802 Norvella Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 8d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 2640 Azalea Garden Rd Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $2,150 | $1.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 212 Norfolk, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,025 | $1.28 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 105 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 2412 Azalea Garden Rd Apt 210 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,325 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4505 Cape Henry Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,000 | $1.39 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3400 Lafayette Blvd #2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,350 | $1.69 | 3d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1562 Norcova Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1288 | $2,000 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,200 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir Unit B 1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,700 | $1.89 | 21d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3820 Essex Cir #1 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $2,250 | $2.25 | 17d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 4670 Kincaid Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 3d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 3819 Pamlico Cir Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1250 | $2,000 | $1.60 | 13d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 24d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 3801 Chatham Cir Unit 2 Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 8d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1232 Norview Ave Unit NOR1232R-EA Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1106 | $1,600 | $1.45 | 44d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 4852 E Princess Anne Rd Norfolk, VA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,099 | $1.57 | 17d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1445 Norcova Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,125 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,299 | $1.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 6225 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,499 | $2.00 | 20d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2421 Arkansas Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 870 | $1,225 | $1.41 | 15d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 3507 Cape Henry Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 755 | $1,200 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6241 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $895 | $1.27 | 13d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 2721 Grandy Ave Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,150 | $1.28 | 24d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6228 Chesapeake Blvd Unit G Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 885 | $925 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 4d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 817 | $1,195 | $1.46 | 24d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6234 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $925 | $0.94 | 17d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 3d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,395 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 1525 Nevada Ave Unit B Norfolk, VA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1134 | $1,445 | $1.27 | 44d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 3521 Brest Ave Norfolk, VA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1234 | $2,300 | $1.86 | 44d | 1 | 1.05mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-13statusdays on market $139,000 Under Contract 100 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 96 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 90 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
-
2026-04-28historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-03$139,000 Active
-
2026-02-28historical
-
2026-01-11price $149,000
-
2026-01-02price $156,500
-
2025-12-18status Active
-
2025-12-12status Under Contract
-
2025-12-02$160,000 Active
-
2005-07-06soldstatus $130,000
-
1993-06-01soldstatus $62,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,608 · $217/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,444
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,786
- − Property taxes
- −$2,608
- − Insurance
- −$695
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,476
- − Management
- −$1,476
- − Depreciation
- −$4,044
- Taxable income
- $361
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$87
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,435/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Norfolk City Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5102670
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -44.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 56% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,358
- Composite
- 35.08/100
- National rank
- #5026
- State rank
- #118 of 131 in VA
Livability — Norfolk
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1026
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Norfolk, VA
- County
- Norfolk City · 214,042 people
- City population
- 214,042
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,628
- Household income
- $68,380
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1342.0
Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 249,032 people
- By 2030
- 252,347 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 253,644 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 251,913 · +1.2%
- By 2075
- 245,281 · -1.5%
- By 2100
- 219,548 · -11.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 55% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -33.67%
- Current HPI
- 329.2241
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.42%
- Metro
- Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
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Price history
+124.2% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Contingent — REINMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $139,000 REINMLS
- 2026-02-28 Listing Removed — REINMLS
- 2026-01-11 Price Changed $149,000 REINMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $156,500 REINMLS
- 2025-12-18 Relisted — REINMLS
- 2025-12-12 Pending — REINMLS
- 2025-12-02 Listed $160,000 REINMLS
- 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 1993-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,608 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…