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4558 Shoshone Ct
C Composite 55.51
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.5/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,000

4558 Shoshone Ct · Norfolk, VA 23513
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,174 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 100 Days on market
Built 1946 0.81 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investor opportunity on a large lot, tucked into a quiet cul-de-sac in the heart of Norfolk. The value is in the upside. This property is ripe for a full rehab and potential second-story expansion, pushing the footprint toward 2,000+ sq ft. 3/4 crawl space. If you're in the market for a high-ROI flip or long-term rental strategy, this could be for you! Sold strictly AS-IS by a highly motivated seller; property is unlikely to qualify for traditional financing favoring cash buyers and experienced investors who understand how to create value. The set-back natural setting expansion potential and flexible exit options make this a true gem. Note: a portion of the lot lies within the Chesapeake Ba

Key facts

  • Crawl space
  • Quiet cul-de-sac
  • Large lot

Tags

LARGE LOTQUIET CUL-DE-SACFULL REHABSECOND-STORY EXPANSIONCRAWL SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Neighborhood: SHERWOOD FOREST
  • HOA & community: No HOA fees indicated

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 1-car garage; Detached 2-car garage; Oversized garage (total garage area approximately 576 sq ft)
  • Utilities: City/County water; City/County sewer; Electric water heater; Electric power
  • Home design: Detached ranch-style home; Single-story
  • Construction: Crawl foundation
  • Exterior features: Aluminum siding; Storage shed; Approximately 0.805-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Electric range; Microwave
  • Bedrooms: First-floor bedroom with an adjacent full bathroom
  • Flooring: Wood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Wood flooring; Bedroom and full bathroom on the first floor; 7 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $139k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $210 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $139k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.0% in Norfolk — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#43 in VA, #1,026 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, crime F.
  • Norfolk City Public School District (urban): math 27% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #118 of 131 in VA (top 90%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Sherwood Forest Elementary (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #900 of 1,108 statewide, top 83%, 480 students, 98% FRL); Booker T Washington High (math 26% / reading 70%, grade D, #303 of 319 statewide, top 95%, 947 students, 94% FRL) — zoned schools average 96% FRL vs 59% district-wide (37 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 132 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 438 units permitted in Norfolk city in 2024 (273 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $961 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 100 days — a 9% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,490 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 100 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.11%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.48%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
7.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$288,804
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4553 Shoshone Ct 0.05mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,321 (+12%) 3mo $325,000 $246 65
3483 W Bonner Dr 0.22mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,300 (+11%) 3mo $310,000 $238 64
3607 Hyde Cir 0.48mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,136 (-3%) 1mo $305,000 $268 62
4741 Krick St 0.35mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,050 (-11%) 0mo $185,000 $176 59
3708 Tait Ter 0.70mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,158 (-1%) 0mo $285,000 $246 56
2420 Juniper St 0.56mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,069 (-9%) 1mo $149,999 $140 53
2719 Overbrook Ave 0.58mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,100 (-6%) 2mo $290,000 $264 52
2413 Hemlock St 0.67mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,092 (-7%) 1mo $295,000 $270 49
3717 Buckingham St 0.34mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,345 (+15%) 3mo $332,000 $247 46
3760 Larkin St 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,068 (-9%) 2mo $305,000 $286 46
2301 Birch St 0.74mi 2/2.0 1,300 (+11%) 3mo $274,900 $211 41
4880 Texas Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,338 (+14%) 1mo $325,000 $243 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.8%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-8,441
Equity at exit
$20,725
10-year hold
IRR
4.4%
Equity multiple
1.33×
Total profit
$12,782
Equity at exit
$12,018

Cash invested: $38,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 23513

Home prices YoY
-9.3%
Rents YoY
3.4%
Active inventory
132
Price-to-rent
7.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,537 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$729
Tax from tax record
$217 /mo · $2,608/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$323
Net cashflow
$210

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,271
Max offer price $139,000
Occupancy floor 81%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $289 -5% $249 +0% $210 +5% $171 +10% $131
Rent -10% $89 -5% $149 +0% $210 +5% $271 +10% $332
Rate -1.0pp $280 -0.5pp $245 base $210 +0.5pp $174 +1.0pp $137

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,750
Closing costs
$4,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3477 E Bonner Dr Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1304 $2,000 $1.53 24d 1 0.21mi
4745 Lind St Unit B Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 752 $1,350 $1.80 2d 1 0.26mi
4745 Lind St Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 44d 1 0.26mi
3044 Sewells Point Rd Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 830 $1,134 $1.37 2d 1 0.32mi
4566 Hampshire Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,350 $1.55 44d 1 0.52mi
3305 Herbert St Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1215 $1,750 $1.44 13d 1 0.53mi
4802 Norvella Ave Unit 1 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 8d 1 0.55mi
2640 Azalea Garden Rd Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.5 1100 $2,150 $1.95 4d 1 0.57mi
2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 212 Norfolk, VA 1.0 1.0 800 $1,025 $1.28 44d 1 0.60mi
2412 Azalea Garden Rd Unit 105 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,325 $1.39 24d 1 0.60mi
2412 Azalea Garden Rd Apt 210 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 950 $1,325 $1.39 44d 1 0.60mi
4505 Cape Henry Ave Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 720 $1,000 $1.39 44d 1 0.72mi
3400 Lafayette Blvd #2 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,350 $1.69 3d 1 0.72mi
1562 Norcova Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1288 $2,000 $1.55 17d 1 0.76mi
3820 Essex Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,200 $2.20 21d 1 0.76mi
3820 Essex Cir Unit B 1 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,700 $1.89 21d 1 0.76mi
3820 Essex Cir #1 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1000 $2,250 $2.25 17d 1 0.76mi
4670 Kincaid Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,250 $1.56 3d 1 0.77mi
3819 Pamlico Cir Norfolk, VA 3.0 1.0 1250 $2,000 $1.60 13d 1 0.77mi
1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 24d 1 0.78mi
1531 Spruce St Unit B Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 44d 1 0.78mi
3801 Chatham Cir Unit 2 Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 8d 1 0.82mi
1232 Norview Ave Unit NOR1232R-EA Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1106 $1,600 $1.45 44d 1 0.83mi
4852 E Princess Anne Rd Norfolk, VA 1.0 1.0 700 $1,099 $1.57 17d 1 0.88mi
1445 Norcova Ave Apt E Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,125 $1.50 44d 1 0.93mi
6225 Alexander St Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,299 $1.73 44d 1 0.93mi
6225 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,499 $2.00 20d 1 0.94mi
2421 Arkansas Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 870 $1,225 $1.41 15d 1 0.95mi
3507 Cape Henry Ave Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 755 $1,200 $1.59 21d 1 0.96mi
6241 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 704 $895 $1.27 13d 1 0.96mi
2721 Grandy Ave Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 900 $1,150 $1.28 24d 1 0.96mi
6228 Chesapeake Blvd Unit G Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 885 $925 $1.05 44d 1 0.96mi
6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 817 $1,195 $1.46 17d 1 0.98mi
6249 Alexander St Unit F Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 817 $1,195 $1.46 4d 1 0.98mi
6249 Alexander St Unit C Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 817 $1,195 $1.46 24d 1 0.98mi
6234 Chesapeake Blvd Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 986 $925 $0.94 17d 1 0.98mi
3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 3d 1 0.99mi
3872 Wake Cir Unit A Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.0 750 $1,395 $1.86 44d 1 0.99mi
1525 Nevada Ave Unit B Norfolk, VA 2.0 1.5 1134 $1,445 $1.27 44d 1 1.00mi
3521 Brest Ave Norfolk, VA 3.0 2.0 1234 $2,300 $1.86 44d 1 1.05mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-13
    statusdays on market $139,000 Under Contract 100 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 98 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 97 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 96 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 91 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 90 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $139,000 Active Under Contract 89 DOM
  9. 2026-04-28
    historical Active Under Contract
  10. 2026-03-03
    listed $139,000 Active
  11. 2026-02-28
    historical
  12. 2026-01-11
    price $149,000
  13. 2026-01-02
    price $156,500
  14. 2025-12-18
    status Active
  15. 2025-12-12
    status Under Contract
  16. 2025-12-02
    listed $160,000 Active
  17. 2005-07-06
    soldstatus $130,000
  18. 1993-06-01
    soldstatus $62,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,608 · $217/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,608 · $217/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 13% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,444
− Mortgage interest
−$7,786
− Property taxes
−$2,608
− Insurance
−$695
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,476
− Management
−$1,476
− Depreciation
−$4,044
Taxable income
$361
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$87
After-tax cash flow
$2,435/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Norfolk City Public School District
NCES district ID
5102670
Math proficiency
27% ▼ -44.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$44,358
Composite
35.08/100
National rank
#5026
State rank
#118 of 131 in VA

Livability — Norfolk

Score
83/100
State rank
#43
US rank
#1026

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living B+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Norfolk, VA
County
Norfolk City · 214,042 people
City population
214,042
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
Population (ZIP)
28,628
Household income
$68,380
Rent vs Own
43.9% rent · 56.1% own
Severe rent burden
1342.0

Population outlook (Norfolk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
249,032 people
By 2030
252,347 · +1.3%
By 2040
253,644 · +1.9%
By 2050
251,913 · +1.2%
By 2075
245,281 · -1.5%
By 2100
219,548 · -11.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
Black 55% White 23% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 7% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 0%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Norfolk

2024 margin
Solid D (+41.5) · D 70.0% · R 28.5% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.4pp toward R · 2008: 43.0pp · 2024: 41.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+41.5 2020: D+45.6 2016: D+42.0 2012: D+44.0 2008: D+43.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -33.67%
Current HPI
329.2241
Rent YoY
▲ 3.42%
Metro
Virginia Beach-Norfolk-Newport News, VA-NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+124.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-28 Contingent REINMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Listed $139,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-02-28 Listing Removed REINMLS
  • 2026-01-11 Price Changed $149,000 REINMLS
  • 2026-01-02 Price Changed $156,500 REINMLS
  • 2025-12-18 Relisted REINMLS
  • 2025-12-12 Pending REINMLS
  • 2025-12-02 Listed $160,000 REINMLS
  • 2005-07-06 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
  • 1993-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $62,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,608 · +1.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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