5306 Marseilles St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.1/30.0
- 1% rule +7.6/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$134,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1968
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $243 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $135k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents flat; 492 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,695/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($45k/yr) (locally 2515% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 91 days — a 9% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 3.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 91 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.26% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.45%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.71%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $94,315
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5069 Anatole St | 0.38mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,498 (+3%) | 14mo | $75,000 | $50 | 58 |
| 18929 Berden St | 0.56mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,518 (+5%) | 6mo | $70,000 | $46 | 56 |
| 5796 Neff Ave | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,347 (-7%) | 16mo | $79,000 | $59 | 51 |
| 6331 Farmbrook St | 0.56mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,422 (-2%) | 16mo | $123,000 | $86 | 50 |
| 5085 Grayton St | 0.66mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,381 (-5%) | 1mo | $240,500 | $174 | 49 |
| 21824 Mccormick St | 0.64mi | 4/0.5 (-1) | 1,434 (-1%) | 15mo | $183,500 | $128 | 49 |
| 18901 Berden St | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,522 (+5%) | 14mo | $195,000 | $128 | 44 |
| 5805 Guilford St | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,244 (-14%) | 8mo | $136,500 | $110 | 42 |
| 17909 Chester St | 0.64mi | 4/1.0 (-1) | 1,337 (-8%) | 13mo | $86,500 | $65 | 41 |
| 17647 Chester St | 0.65mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,408 (-3%) | 20mo | $47,000 | $33 | 39 |
| 5979 Lodewyck St | 0.35mi | 4/2.5 (-1) | 1,661 (+14%) | 16mo | $100,000 | $60 | 36 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.73% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.73×
- Total profit
- $-10,063
- Equity at exit
- $20,114
- IRR
- -1.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,189
- Equity at exit
- $11,664
Cash invested: $37,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48224
- Rents YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 492
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,695 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$707
- Tax from tax record
- −$332 /mo · $3,989/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$356
- Net cashflow
- $243
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $319 | -5% $281 | +0% $243 | +5% $204 | +10% $166 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $109 | -5% $176 | +0% $243 | +5% $310 | +10% $377 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $311 | -0.5pp $277 | base $243 | +0.5pp $208 | +1.0pp $172 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,725
- Closing costs
- $4,047
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9171 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1508 | $1,300 | $0.86 | 44d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9142 Yorkshire Rd Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 1.5 | 1450 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 0d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 9635 Everts St Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $1,650 | $1.14 | 44d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 20461 Kingsville St Harper Woods, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,399 | $1.27 | 16d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 10030 Bishop St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1721 | $1,200 | $0.70 | 18d | 1 | 1.19mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2025-05-16status Pending 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2025-04-22historical 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2024-12-17status Pending
-
2023-06-20soldstatus $153,000
-
2023-02-22soldstatus $115,000
-
2023-01-25status Pending 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2023-01-25status Pending
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2022-10-26$134,900 Active 540-char remark
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2022-10-26$134,900 Active
Show marketing remark (540 chars)
Looking for space?? Look no further! This beauty has 5 bedrooms and 2 full baths! The 1st floor offers a beautiful living room w/ natural fp, dining room, kitchen w/ updated cabinets and countertops, 2 bedrooms and 1 full bath. The 2nd floor offers THREE BEDROOMS and 1 full bath. There is a full, unfinished but clean basement. Updates include: newer roof (5 years old), high efficiency furnace (less than 2 years old), central air, windows, privacy fence, automatic garage door opener, central air and more. Schedule your appointment now!
-
2022-10-18historical
-
2022-10-18historical
-
2022-09-17price $139,900
-
2022-09-17price $139,900
-
2022-08-23price $149,900
-
2022-08-23price $149,900
-
2022-07-15$179,900 Active
-
2022-07-15$179,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $3,989 · $332/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,989 · $332/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,335
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,556
- − Property taxes
- −$3,989
- − Insurance
- −$674
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,627
- − Management
- −$1,627
- − Depreciation
- −$3,924
- Taxable income
- $937
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$225
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,687/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,668
- Household income
- $44,856
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2515.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 88% White 8% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 1% Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -226.38%
- Current HPI
- 161.886
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 0.73%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
-15.0% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2025-05-16 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2025-04-22 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2024-12-17 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2023-06-20 Sold (Public Records) $153,000 Public Records
- 2023-02-22 Sold (Public Records) $115,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-25 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-01-25 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2022-10-26 Listed $134,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-10-26 Listed $134,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-10-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2022-09-17 Price Changed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-09-17 Price Changed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-08-23 Price Changed $149,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-08-23 Price Changed $149,900 REALCOMP
- 2022-07-15 Listed $179,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2022-07-15 Listed $179,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
+3.6%/yrLatest (2025): $3,989 · -38.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…