1913 Ark St · Marshall, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 57.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.0/30.0
- DSCR +6.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.7/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- ARV discount +0.6/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$93,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming, low-maintenance, and full of potential! This cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of natural light. Outside, you’ll love the large backyard — perfect for pets, gardening, or gatherings — plus a metal storage building/workshop for tools, hobbies, or extra space. Whether you’re looking for a starter home, downsizing, or adding to your rental portfolio, this property is a smart investment with great possibilities. Affordable, practical, and ready to go — don’t miss it!
Key facts
- Large backyard
- Workshop
- 9,017 sq ft lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $94k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (3.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $85k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 4.5% in Marshall — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#451 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Marshall ISD (town): math 29% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #658 of 826 in TX (top 80%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Marshall J H (math 30% / reading 27%, grade F, #1,122 of 1,662 statewide, top 69%, 1,105 students, 76% FRL).
- Market conditions: 175 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 85 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (15 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $646 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 105 days — a 9% lower offer ($85k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 57% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 105 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.97% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.03%
- DSCR
- 1.27
- GRM
- 8.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $81,071
- List price
- $93,500
- Delta
- 15.33%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 107 Fairfield St | 0.64mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (+6%) | 20mo | $84,000 | $90 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.74×
- Total profit
- $-6,801
- Equity at exit
- $13,941
- IRR
- 2.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,761
- Equity at exit
- $8,084
Cash invested: $26,180 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75672
- Active inventory
- 175
- Price-to-rent
- 8.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $905 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$490
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $649/yr
- Insurance
- −$39
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$190
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $184 | -5% $158 | +0% $131 | +5% $105 | +10% $79 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $60 | -5% $96 | +0% $131 | +5% $167 | +10% $203 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $179 | -0.5pp $155 | base $131 | +0.5pp $107 | +1.0pp $83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,375
- Closing costs
- $2,805
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2800 Victory Dr Unit 102 Marshall, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 983 | $1,000 | $1.02 | 15d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 713 Navajo Trl Marshall, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $950 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 715 Navajo Trl Marshall, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1030 | $950 | $0.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 1004 Navajo Trl Marshall, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 974 | $775 | $0.80 | 22d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 819 Navajo Trl Marshall, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 986 | $825 | $0.84 | 22d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-05-11status Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Charming, low-maintenance, and full of potential! This cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of natural light. Outside, you’ll love the large backyard — perfect for pets, gardening, or gatherings — plus a metal storage building/workshop for tools, hobbies, or extra space. Whether you’re looking for a starter home, downsizing, or adding to your rental portfolio, this property is a smart investment with great possibilities. Affordable, practical, and ready to go — don’t miss it!
-
2026-03-28price $93,500 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Charming, low-maintenance, and full of potential! This cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of natural light. Outside, you’ll love the large backyard — perfect for pets, gardening, or gatherings — plus a metal storage building/workshop for tools, hobbies, or extra space. Whether you’re looking for a starter home, downsizing, or adding to your rental portfolio, this property is a smart investment with great possibilities. Affordable, practical, and ready to go — don’t miss it!
-
2026-01-30$95,000 Active 569-char remark
Show marketing remark (569 chars)
Charming, low-maintenance, and full of potential! This cozy 2 bedroom, 1 bath home offers comfortable living with a functional layout and plenty of natural light. Outside, you’ll love the large backyard — perfect for pets, gardening, or gatherings — plus a metal storage building/workshop for tools, hobbies, or extra space. Whether you’re looking for a starter home, downsizing, or adding to your rental portfolio, this property is a smart investment with great possibilities. Affordable, practical, and ready to go — don’t miss it!
-
2004-12-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $649 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,711 · $143/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,063/yr (+$89/mo · 163.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 57% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,858
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,237
- − Property taxes
- −$649
- − Insurance
- −$468
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$869
- − Management
- −$869
- − Depreciation
- −$2,720
- Taxable income
- $47
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$11
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,567/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marshall ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4829160
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,095
- Composite
- 24.43/100
- National rank
- #7680
- State rank
- #658 of 826 in TX
Livability — Marshall
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #451
- US rank
- #9156
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Marshall, TX
- City population
- 18,670
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,636
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,691 people
- By 2030
- 69,317 · +0.9%
- By 2040
- 69,973 · +1.9%
- By 2050
- 70,090 · +2.0%
- By 2075
- 70,607 · +2.8%
- By 2100
- 67,546 · -1.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 9%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 11%
- Common ancestry
- Iranian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.6) · D 24.4% · R 75.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.2pp toward R · 2008: -31.4pp · 2024: -50.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.6 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+43.9 2012: R+34.6 2008: R+31.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -161.59%
- Current HPI
- 140.8166
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-1.6% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Relisted — LAAR
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $93,500 LAAR
- 2026-01-30 Listed $95,000 LAAR
- 2004-12-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $649 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…