19977 Santa Barbara Dr · Detroit, MI 48221

$83,000

3 bd · 1.0 ba · 865 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 15 Days on market

Built 1949 7,841 sqft lot $96/sqft · 21% above area Est $69k · 21% over ↓ 17% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Rent growth +3.4/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +1.3/10.0
• ARV discount +0.0/15.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

* * WOW 800+ SQ FT 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN DETROIT * * NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM * * SPACIOUS KITCHEN * * LARGE BUNGALOW BEDROOM * * 2 MORE SPACIOUS BEDROOMS ON MAIN FLOOR WITH FULL BATHROOM * * UNFINISHED BASEMENT WITH PLENTY OF ROOM FOR STORAGE * * 1 CAR GARAGE * * MINUTES FROM ROYAL OAK, FERNDALE, OAK PARK, DETROIT GOLF CLUB, HARPER WOODS * * CLOSE TO ALL SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, RESTAURANTS & FREEWAYS * * GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS * * THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS HOME IS LIMITLESS * * NO IN PERSON SHOWINGS DUE TO OCCUPANTS IN THE HOME * * SELLING AS-IS * *

Key facts

• 7,841 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1949

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Detached 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
• Home design: Single-family residence; One level; Ground-level entry with steps; Vinyl siding
• Construction: Vinyl siding construction
• Exterior features: Paved road access; Lot approximately 0.18 acres (40 x 194)

Interior

• Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
• Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central cooling
• Interior features: Partial, unfinished basement

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $83k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $544 ($7k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $83k).
• Recommended offer: $82k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 14.2% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
• Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 349 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $574 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.4% rent growth), your $23k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 12 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $81,755 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.77% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.15%
• Cash-on-cash: 28.07%
• DSCR: 2.25
• GRM: 4.7

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $68,690
• List price: $83,000
• Delta: 20.83%
• Verdict: OVERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
19928 Santa Barbara Dr	0.05mi	3/1.0	865 (0%)	1mo	$90,000	$104	97
20038 Santa Rosa Dr	0.29mi	3/1.0	927 (+7%)	3mo	$103,000	$111	72
20233 Roselawn St	0.31mi	2/1.0 (-1)	829 (-4%)	2mo	$33,000	$40	72
20250 Stoepel St	0.41mi	3/1.0	909 (+5%)	7mo	$126,000	$139	66
20000 Prairie St	0.19mi	3/1.0	974 (+13%)	6mo	$25,000	$26	65
20145 Northlawn St	0.31mi	3/1.0	967 (+12%)	5mo	$74,900	$77	62
228 Kensington Ave	0.57mi	2/1.0 (-1)	873 (+1%)	8mo	$185,000	$212	60
19439 Wyoming Ave	0.68mi	2/1.0 (-1)	870 (+1%)	6mo	$65,000	$75	58
20436 Washburn St	0.72mi	3/1.0	910 (+5%)	6mo	$71,500	$79	53
20145 Kentucky St	0.58mi	3/1.0	949 (+10%)	5mo	$97,000	$102	52
20501 Northlawn St	0.45mi	3/1.0	992 (+15%)	3mo	$90,000	$91	52
235 Flowerdale St	0.69mi	3/1.0	968 (+12%)	6mo	$172,500	$178	42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.44% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 22.8%
• Equity multiple: 1.94×
• Total profit: $21,877
• Equity at exit: $12,376

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.1%
• Equity multiple: 3.86×
• Total profit: $66,546
• Equity at exit: $7,176

Cash invested: $23,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 62 Landlord-Friendly
• State Michigan: 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 48221

• Rents YoY: 3.4%
• Active inventory: 349
• Price-to-rent: 4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,472 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$435
• Tax from tax record: −$149 /mo · $1,793/yr
• Insurance: −$35
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$309
• Net cashflow: $544

Break-even live

Break-even rent $784

Max offer price $83,000

Occupancy floor 58%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $20,750
• Closing costs: $2,490
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 33 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
20045 Greenlawn St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	925	$1,350	$1.46	43d	1	0.18mi
20038 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	927	$1,300	$1.40	17d	1	0.27mi
20110 Northlawn St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1100	$1,350	$1.23	17d	1	0.29mi
20009 Wisconsin St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.5	1051	$1,400	$1.33	17d	1	0.47mi
20185 Indiana St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.5	1096	$1,275	$1.16	43d	1	0.55mi
20458 Indiana St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1049	$1,300	$1.24	17d	1	0.59mi
20129 Stratford Rd Unit 2 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1100	$1,223	$1.11	24d	1	0.64mi
20445 Kentucky St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1046	$1,200	$1.15	24d	1	0.65mi
19031 Livernois Unit F Detroit, MI	2.0	2.0	1100	$2,135	$1.94	43d	1	0.72mi
510 Stratford Rd Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	965	$1,750	$1.81	43d	1	0.72mi
20643 Stratford Rd Unit 1 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.5	1000	$1,250	$1.25	43d	1	0.74mi
578 Kensington Ave Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	860	$1,600	$1.86	5d	1	0.76mi
20515 Ilene St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	891	$1,450	$1.63	43d	1	0.83mi
20460 Griggs St Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	910	$1,100	$1.21	17d	1	0.84mi
695 Livernois St Unit 2 Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	950	$2,350	$2.47	4d	1	0.88mi
20032 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,294	$1.29	20d	1	1.00mi
19929 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	860	$1,450	$1.69	17d	1	1.03mi
851 Gardendale St Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	933	$1,625	$1.74	24d	1	1.06mi
20122 Manor St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1028	$1,200	$1.17	43d	1	1.06mi
20429 Monte Vista St Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	872	$1,300	$1.49	17d	1	1.07mi
21374 Ithaca Ave Ferndale, MI	3.0	1.0	996	$1,775	$1.78	24d	1	1.07mi
353 W Webster St Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,525	$1.69	16d	1	1.10mi
20245 Manor Detroit, MI	3.0	1.0	1018	$1,400	$1.38	2d	1	1.11mi
901 Saint Louis St Unit 901-02 Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	800	$1,395	$1.74	24d	1	1.22mi
901 Saint Louis St Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	800	$1,395	$1.74	43d	1	1.22mi
226 Fielding St Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,500	$1.50	24d	1	1.24mi
224 Fielding St Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,800	$1.80	24d	1	1.25mi
17551 Santa Rosa Dr Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	1036	$1,095	$1.06	43d	1	1.30mi
18675 Meyers Rd Unit 18677 Detroit, MI	2.0	1.0	942	$1,100	$1.17	43d	1	1.36mi
22111 Woodward Ave Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	816	$3,355	$4.11	16d	1	1.38mi
1491 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 9 Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	900	$1,350	$1.50	43d	1	1.40mi
1260 W Nine Mile Rd Unit 13 Ferndale, MI	2.0	1.0	1000	$1,399	$1.40	14d	1	1.41mi
22811 Rosewood St Oak Park, MI	3.0	1.0	1000	$1,600	$1.60	24d	1	1.45mi

Listing history 32 events

1. 2026-06-18
   days on market $83,000 Active 15 DOM
2. 2026-06-17
   days on market $83,000 Active 14 DOM
3. 2026-06-16
   days on market $83,000 Active 13 DOM
4. 2026-06-15
   days on market $83,000 Active 12 DOM
5. 2026-06-13
   days on market $83,000 Active 10 DOM
6. 2026-06-13
   days on market $83,000 Active 9 DOM
7. 2026-06-09
   days on market $83,000 Active 6 DOM
8. 2026-06-08
   days on market $83,000 Active 5 DOM
9. 2026-06-07
   days on market $83,000 Active 4 DOM
10. 2026-06-04
    days on marketlisting id $83,000 Active 1 DOM
11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $83,000 Active 41 DOM

    Show marketing remark (582 chars)

    * * WOW 800+ SQ FT 3 BEDROOM, 1 BATH BUNGALOW IN DETROIT * * NICE SIZE LIVING ROOM * * SPACIOUS KITCHEN * * LARGE BUNGALOW BEDROOM * * 2 MORE SPACIOUS BEDROOMS ON MAIN FLOOR WITH FULL BATHROOM * * UNFINISHED BASEMENT WITH PLENTY OF ROOM FOR STORAGE * * 1 CAR GARAGE * * MINUTES FROM ROYAL OAK, FERNDALE, OAK PARK, DETROIT GOLF CLUB, HARPER WOODS * * CLOSE TO ALL SCHOOLS, SHOPPING, RESTAURANTS & FREEWAYS * * GREAT OPPORTUNITY FOR INVESTORS * * THE POTENTIAL FOR THIS HOME IS LIMITLESS * * NO IN PERSON SHOWINGS DUE TO OCCUPANTS IN THE HOME * * SELLING AS-IS * *

12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $83,000 Active 40 DOM
13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $83,000 Active 39 DOM
14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $83,000 Active 38 DOM
15. 2026-04-23
    listed $83,000 Active 582-char remark
16. 2026-04-23
    historical
17. 2026-04-23
    listed $83,000 Active
18. 2026-04-23
    historical
19. 2025-10-31
    listed $83,000 Active
20. 2025-10-31
    listed $83,000 Active
21. 2025-10-31
    historical
22. 2025-10-31
    historical
23. 2025-10-07
    listed $89,999 Active
24. 2025-10-07
    listed $89,999 Active
25. 2025-10-07
    historical
26. 2025-10-07
    historical
27. 2025-06-04
    listed $89,999 Active
28. 2025-06-04
    listed $89,999 Active
29. 2024-12-01
    historical
30. 2024-11-30
    historical
31. 2023-10-11
    listed $99,999 Active
32. 2023-10-11
    listed $99,999 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $1,793 · $149/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $1,793 · $149/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
• 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $17,664
• − Mortgage interest: −$4,649
• − Property taxes: −$1,793
• − Insurance: −$415
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,413
• − Management: −$1,413
• − Depreciation: −$2,415
• Taxable income: $5,566
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,336
• After-tax cash flow: $5,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Detroit Public Schools Community District
• NCES district ID: 2601103
• Math proficiency: 10% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 24% ▲ 6.00%
• Median HH income: $25,815
• Composite: 13.06/100
• National rank: #9564
• State rank: #499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

• Score: 73/100
• State rank: #218
• US rank: #5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Detroit, MI
• County: Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
• City population: 572,865
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• Population (ZIP): 41,392
• Household income: $57,878
• Rent vs Own: 34.0% rent · 66.0% own
• Severe rent burden: 1646.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,675,273 people
• By 2030: 1,620,300 · -3.3%
• By 2040: 1,502,341 · -10.3%
• By 2050: 1,384,039 · -17.4%
• By 2075: 1,124,592 · -32.9%
• By 2100: 881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (85%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 85% White 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 1% Lithuanian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -433.14%
• Current HPI: 280.5434
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.44%
• Metro: Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.37%
• F500 in state: 28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Automotive Parts	3	$48B
▸Automotive	2	$372B
▸Chemicals	1	$45B
▸Automotive Retail	1	$29B
▸Healthcare / Medical Devices	1	$23B
▸Automotive Technology	1	$20B

Price history

-17.0% since first listed

22 events — show timeline

• 2026-06-03 Listed $83,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-06-03 Listed $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-06-03 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2026-04-23 Listed $83,000 REALCOMP
• 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2026-04-23 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2026-04-23 Listed $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-10-31 Listed $83,000 REALCOMP
• 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-10-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2025-10-31 Listed $83,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-10-07 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2025-10-07 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-10-07 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
• 2025-06-04 Listed $89,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2025-06-04 Listed $89,999 REALCOMP
• 2024-12-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2024-11-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
• 2023-10-11 Listed $99,999 MiRealSource-MiMLS
• 2023-10-11 Listed $99,999 REALCOMP

Property tax history

+3.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,793 · -0.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.