3323 Lake Ave · Ashtabula, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.1/10.0
- 1% rule +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$135,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in a convenient Ashtabula location. The main level offers an inviting living area accented by attractive hardwood floors, along with a versatile bedroom and half bath that can serve as a guest room, home office, or main-floor sleeping space. Upstairs, three additional bedrooms and a full bath provide comfortable, well-defined private spaces. There is also a bonus room upstairs that could be a 5th bedroom, office, additional storage, or anything you can imagine. The property is just minutes from Ashtabula County Medical Center, local marinas including Jack’s Marina, and a variety of nearby restaurants and waterfront attractions,
Key facts
- Proximity to dining
- Flexible floor plan
- 0.23 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Annual tax noted (amount available in records)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Two-story home; Asbestos shingle roof; Vinyl siding
- Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Full basement
- Exterior features: Lot about 0.23 acres
Interior
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
- Interior features: Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#420 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Ashtabula Area City (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #588 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Superior Intermediate School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,151 of 1,584 statewide, top 73%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Lakeside Junior High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #579 of 654 statewide, top 89%, 505 students, 0% FRL); Lakeside High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #644 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 894 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $135k implies a 255% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.08% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.27%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.06%
- DSCR
- 1.31
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $166,060
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3319 Superior Ave | 0.07mi | 4/1.5 (+1) | 1,705 (-6%) | 6mo | $55,000 | $32 | 76 |
| 2530 W Center St | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 2,072 (+15%) | 18mo | $191,500 | $92 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-7,681
- Equity at exit
- $20,129
- IRR
- 4.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.31×
- Total profit
- $11,652
- Equity at exit
- $11,672
Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 44004
- Home prices YoY
- -30.5%
- Active inventory
- 169
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$708
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
- Insurance
- −$56
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$307
- Net cashflow
- $223
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $316 | -5% $269 | +0% $223 | +5% $176 | +10% $129 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $107 | -5% $165 | +0% $223 | +5% $280 | +10% $338 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $291 | -0.5pp $257 | base $223 | +0.5pp $188 | +1.0pp $152 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $33,750
- Closing costs
- $4,050
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-18remarks 693-char remark
-
2026-06-18remarks 668-char remark
-
2026-06-18$135,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,552
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,562
- − Property taxes
- −$2,025
- − Insurance
- −$675
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,404
- − Management
- −$1,404
- − Depreciation
- −$3,927
- Taxable income
- $554
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$133
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,537/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Ashtabula Area City
- NCES district ID
- 3904351
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -13.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,812
- Composite
- 24.3/100
- National rank
- #7712
- State rank
- #588 of 656 in OH
Livability — Ashtabula
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #420
- US rank
- #6883
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ashtabula, OH
- County
- Ashtabula · 97,617 people
- City population
- 31,076
- Metro
- Cleveland, OH
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,076
- Household income
- $49,507
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 14.1
Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 92,950 people
- By 2030
- 89,146 · -4.1%
- By 2040
- 80,715 · -13.2%
- By 2050
- 72,270 · -22.2%
- By 2075
- 55,780 · -40.0%
- By 2100
- 40,928 · -56.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (79%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.51%
- Current HPI
- 260.7146
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
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Price history
+255.3% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
- 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $49 · -26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…