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3323 Lake Ave
C+ Composite 61.26
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +22.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$135,000

3323 Lake Ave · Ashtabula, OH 44004
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,805 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1897 10,018 sqft lot Est $166k · 19% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to this well-maintained 4-bedroom, 1.5-bath home in a convenient Ashtabula location. The main level offers an inviting living area accented by attractive hardwood floors, along with a versatile bedroom and half bath that can serve as a guest room, home office, or main-floor sleeping space. Upstairs, three additional bedrooms and a full bath provide comfortable, well-defined private spaces. There is also a bonus room upstairs that could be a 5th bedroom, office, additional storage, or anything you can imagine. The property is just minutes from Ashtabula County Medical Center, local marinas including Jack’s Marina, and a variety of nearby restaurants and waterfront attractions,

Key facts

  • Proximity to dining
  • Flexible floor plan
  • 0.23 acre lot

Tags

FLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANMAIN FLOOR SLEEPING SPACEPROXIMITY TO HEALTHCAREPROXIMITY TO RECREATIONPROXIMITY TO DINING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax noted (amount available in records)

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story home; Asbestos shingle roof; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Built (year per public records); Vinyl siding construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Full basement
  • Exterior features: Lot about 0.23 acres

Interior

  • Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Ceiling fans for cooling
  • Interior features: Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $135k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $223 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $135k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#420 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, health & safety A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Ashtabula Area City (town): math 24% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #588 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 63% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Superior Intermediate School (math 30% / reading 31%, grade F, #1,151 of 1,584 statewide, top 73%, 436 students, 0% FRL); Lakeside Junior High School (math 24% / reading 34%, grade F, #579 of 654 statewide, top 89%, 505 students, 0% FRL); Lakeside High School (math 12% / reading 37%, grade F, #644 of 781 statewide, top 85%, 894 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 63% district-wide (63 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 169 active listings in the ZIP; 155 units permitted in Ashtabula County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($50k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $933 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ashtabula County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $135k implies a 255% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1897 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $135,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1897 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  4. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  5. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.08%
Cap rate
8.27%
Cash-on-cash
7.06%
DSCR
1.31
GRM
7.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$166,060
Comps found
2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3319 Superior Ave 0.07mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,705 (-6%) 6mo $55,000 $32 76
2530 W Center St 0.56mi 3/2.0 2,072 (+15%) 18mo $191,500 $92 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-5.5%
Equity multiple
0.80×
Total profit
$-7,681
Equity at exit
$20,129
10-year hold
IRR
4.2%
Equity multiple
1.31×
Total profit
$11,652
Equity at exit
$11,672

Cash invested: $37,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 44004

Home prices YoY
-30.5%
Active inventory
169
Price-to-rent
7.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$708
Tax est. 1.5%
$169 /mo · $2,025/yr
Insurance
$56
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$223

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,181
Max offer price $135,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $316 -5% $269 +0% $223 +5% $176 +10% $129
Rent -10% $107 -5% $165 +0% $223 +5% $280 +10% $338
Rate -1.0pp $291 -0.5pp $257 base $223 +0.5pp $188 +1.0pp $152

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$33,750
Closing costs
$4,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $135,000 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    remarks 693-char remark
  4. 2026-06-18
    remarks 668-char remark
  5. 2026-06-18
    listed $135,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥93°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,552
− Mortgage interest
−$7,562
− Property taxes
−$2,025
− Insurance
−$675
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,404
− Management
−$1,404
− Depreciation
−$3,927
Taxable income
$554
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$133
After-tax cash flow
$2,537/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Ashtabula Area City
NCES district ID
3904351
Math proficiency
24% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -13.00%
Median HH income
$34,812
Composite
24.3/100
National rank
#7712
State rank
#588 of 656 in OH

Livability — Ashtabula

Score
71/100
State rank
#420
US rank
#6883

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A- Employment F Housing A Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Ashtabula, OH
County
Ashtabula · 97,617 people
City population
31,076
Metro
Cleveland, OH
Population (ZIP)
31,076
Household income
$49,507
Rent vs Own
32.7% rent · 67.3% own
Severe rent burden
14.1

Population outlook (Ashtabula County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
92,950 people
By 2030
89,146 · -4.1%
By 2040
80,715 · -13.2%
By 2050
72,270 · -22.2%
By 2075
55,780 · -40.0%
By 2100
40,928 · -56.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (79%)
Race & ethnicity
White 79% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% Black 6%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Iranian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Ashtabula

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.4% · R 63.8%
2008→2024 swing
-41.9pp toward R · 2008: 13.5pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+23.5 2016: R+19.0 2012: D+12.1 2008: D+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -114.51%
Current HPI
260.7146
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+255.3% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $135,000 MLSNOW
  • 1993-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $49 · -26.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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