12590 Wilshire Dr · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.1/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Downtown Detroit. This spacious property features a functional layout, generous bedrooms, and updated finishes throughout. Perfect for a growing family or owner-occupant looking for city convenience with comfortable living. Close to major freeways, dining, entertainment, and all that Detroit has to offer.
Key facts
- Updated finishes
- Close to dining
- Functional layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $127k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 190 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,671/mo this rent would consume 59% of the median local household income ($34k/yr) (locally 1202% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 96 days — a 9% lower offer ($127k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 24y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $4k; list at $140k implies a 3398% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1926 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 96 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1926 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.06%
- Cash-on-cash
- 13.44%
- DSCR
- 1.60
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $100,548
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8791 E Outer Dr | 0.18mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,840 (-10%) | 3mo | $60,000 | $33 | 65 |
| 13324 Camden St | 0.60mi | 4/2.0 | 1,992 (-3%) | 3mo | $40,000 | $20 | 65 |
| 12086 Glenfield St | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 | 2,232 (+9%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $49 | 59 |
| 11864 Maiden St | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 1,969 (-4%) | 6mo | $185,000 | $94 | 59 |
| 12646 Longview St | 0.15mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,750 (-15%) | 7mo | $73,750 | $42 | 55 |
| 12057 Sanford St | 0.72mi | 4/2.5 | 2,184 (+6%) | 2mo | $100,000 | $46 | 52 |
| 12280 Wade St | 0.44mi | 4/2.0 | 1,750 (-15%) | 8mo | $141,000 | $81 | 48 |
| 9364 E Outer Dr | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,808 (-12%) | 4mo | $150,000 | $83 | 47 |
| 13361 Maiden St | 0.54mi | 4/3.0 | 1,786 (-13%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $92 | 46 |
| 12059 Kilbourne St | 0.46mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 1,810 (-12%) | 15mo | $65,000 | $36 | 41 |
| 9303 E Outer Dr | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,813 (-12%) | 13mo | $55,000 | $30 | 36 |
| 14268 Corbett Ave | 0.66mi | 4/2.0 | 1,750 (-15%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $57 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.13×
- Total profit
- $5,247
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $40,442
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48213
- Active inventory
- 190
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,671 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,076/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$351
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $518 | -5% $478 | +0% $439 | +5% $399 | +10% $360 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $307 | -5% $373 | +0% $439 | +5% $505 | +10% $571 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $509 | -0.5pp $474 | base $439 | +0.5pp $402 | +1.0pp $366 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11806 Wilshire Dr Detroit, MI | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2000 | $1,600 | $0.80 | 25d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 8205 E Outer Dr Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1874 | $1,400 | $0.75 | 18d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 13395 Maiden St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1750 | $1,600 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 11171 Charlemagne Ave Unit A Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1598 | $1,200 | $0.75 | 44d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 9755 Wayburn St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1498 | $1,400 | $0.93 | 4d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 10724 Whitehill St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1425 | $1,550 | $1.09 | 18d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 18080 Westphalia St Detroit, MI | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2131 | $2,500 | $1.17 | 45d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Downtown Detroit. This spacious property features a functional layout, generous bedrooms, and updated finishes throughout. Perfect for a growing family or owner-occupant looking for city convenience with comfortable living. Close to major freeways, dining, entertainment, and all that Detroit has to offer.
-
2026-04-27status Pending
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Downtown Detroit. This spacious property features a functional layout, generous bedrooms, and updated finishes throughout. Perfect for a growing family or owner-occupant looking for city convenience with comfortable living. Close to major freeways, dining, entertainment, and all that Detroit has to offer.
-
2026-01-21$139,900 Active 369-char remark
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Downtown Detroit. This spacious property features a functional layout, generous bedrooms, and updated finishes throughout. Perfect for a growing family or owner-occupant looking for city convenience with comfortable living. Close to major freeways, dining, entertainment, and all that Detroit has to offer.
-
2026-01-21$139,900 Active
Show marketing remark (369 chars)
Move-in ready 4-bedroom, 2-bath home located just minutes from Downtown Detroit. This spacious property features a functional layout, generous bedrooms, and updated finishes throughout. Perfect for a growing family or owner-occupant looking for city convenience with comfortable living. Close to major freeways, dining, entertainment, and all that Detroit has to offer.
-
2009-05-22soldstatus $4,000 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 1/2 BATH PROPERTY SOLD 'AS IS' BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY MUNICIPALREQUIREMENTS AND BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION INCLUDING SQ FT, TAXES, MEASUREMENTS.
-
2009-05-22soldstatus $4,000
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 1/2 BATH PROPERTY SOLD 'AS IS' BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY MUNICIPALREQUIREMENTS AND BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION INCLUDING SQ FT, TAXES, MEASUREMENTS.
-
2009-04-27historical 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 1/2 BATH PROPERTY SOLD 'AS IS' BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY MUNICIPALREQUIREMENTS AND BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION INCLUDING SQ FT, TAXES, MEASUREMENTS.
-
2009-04-20$4,400 170-char remark
Show marketing remark (170 chars)
THIS 4 BEDROOM, 1 1/2 BATH PROPERTY SOLD 'AS IS' BUYER RESPONSIBLE FOR ANY MUNICIPALREQUIREMENTS AND BUYER TO VERIFY ALL INFORMATION INCLUDING SQ FT, TAXES, MEASUREMENTS.
-
2009-04-17$4,400
-
2008-08-28historical
-
2008-08-15$7,000
-
2008-04-18historical
-
2007-09-19$53,455
-
2004-01-06soldstatus $94,736
-
2002-10-29soldstatus $32,000
-
2002-08-30$26,900
-
2001-10-15soldstatus $69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,076 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,615 · $135/mo
- Expected delta
- +$539/yr (+$45/mo · 50.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,057
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$1,076
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,605
- − Management
- −$1,605
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $3,165
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$760
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 20,075
- Household income
- $34,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1202.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 92% White 4% Hispanic / Latino 2% Two or more races 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Arabic 1% Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.86%
- Current HPI
- 217.2037
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
||
| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+100.1% since first listed17 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-04-27 Pending — REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2026-01-21 Listed $139,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-05-22 Sold (MLS) $4,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-05-22 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-27 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-20 Listed $4,400 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-17 Listed $4,400 REALCOMP
- 2008-08-28 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-08-15 Listed $7,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2008-04-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2007-09-19 Listed $53,455 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $94,736 Public Records
- 2002-10-29 Sold (MLS) $32,000 REALCOMP
- 2002-08-30 Listed $26,900 REALCOMP
- 2001-10-15 Sold (Public Records) $69,900 Public Records
Property tax history
-4.2%/yrLatest (2025): $1,076 · -49.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…