324 Fort Collins Ct · Ocoee, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +14.2/15.0
- Cash flow +13.8/30.0
- DSCR +4.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.3/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- 1% rule +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$268,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own a home in an awesome area on an awesome cul-de-sac street, with awesome neighbors. Some touch-up needed to restore the true potential and beauty of this home. Make this home shine with a few simple fixes. The price adjustment reflects consideration for the simple fixes. To be sold as-is, buyer/buyers agent to confirm measurements and other data deemed important to the buyer. No blind or low offers will be reviewed(Sellers request) Thanks for showing!
Key facts
- 8,402 sq ft lot
- Built 1981
- Listed 32 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Zoned R-1
- Financial info: No lease restrictions; Owner-occupied (homestead)
- HOA & community: No HOA association indicated
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway; Off-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Faces southeast; Residential property
- Construction: Block construction; Shingle roof; Block foundation; Built on a 0.19-acre lot
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Cul-de-sac lot; Paved lot and road
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Ceramic tile
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air
- Interior features: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Range; Refrigerator; Carpet flooring; Ceramic tile flooring; Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup; 7 total rooms; Other interior features
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $268k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $23 ($281/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $207k (22.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $207k (22.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.6% in Ocoee — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 66/100 on livability (#602 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, crime A-, employment A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Orange (suburban): math 46% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #43 of 73 in FL (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 351 active listings in the ZIP; 10 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 8,053 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,133 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +52% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 32 days — a 3% lower offer ($260k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $66k; list at $268k implies a 306% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 32 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 23% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.77% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.40%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.38%
- DSCR
- 1.02
- GRM
- 10.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $314,825
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 Wurst Rd | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (-6%) | 2mo | $310,000 | $269 | 76 |
| 1219 Blue Spring Ct | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,223 (-0%) | 13mo | $273,000 | $223 | 70 |
| 323 Meadow Sweet Ct | 0.02mi | 3/2.0 | 1,120 (-9%) | 16mo | $302,900 | $270 | 68 |
| 127 Laurel Ridge Ave | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,284 (+5%) | 1mo | $350,000 | $273 | 64 |
| 106 10th Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,262 (+3%) | 21mo | $357,000 | $283 | 62 |
| 733 Licaria Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 | 1,188 (-3%) | 14mo | $305,000 | $257 | 54 |
| 1604 Starfire Ln | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,102 (-10%) | 18mo | $316,000 | $287 | 44 |
| 1305 Sand Pine Ave | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 | 1,391 (+14%) | 18mo | $345,000 | $248 | 43 |
| 1906 Jessica Lea Ln | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,066 (-13%) | 10mo | $266,000 | $250 | 39 |
| 911 Ursula St | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 | 1,075 (-12%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $247 | 38 |
| 600 Nicole Blvd | 0.53mi | 3/2.0 | 1,066 (-13%) | 16mo | $268,000 | $251 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -17.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.39×
- Total profit
- $-46,056
- Equity at exit
- $39,960
- IRR
- -13.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-54,458
- Equity at exit
- $23,172
Cash invested: $75,040 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34761
- Home prices YoY
- -28.3%
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 351
- Price-to-rent
- 10.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,071 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,405
- Tax from tax record
- −$96 /mo · $1,149/yr
- Insurance
- −$112
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$435
- Net cashflow
- $23
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $175 | -5% $99 | +0% $23 | +5% $-52 | +10% $-128 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-140 | -5% $-58 | +0% $23 | +5% $105 | +10% $187 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $158 | -0.5pp $92 | base $23 | +0.5pp $-46 | +1.0pp $-117 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $67,000
- Closing costs
- $8,040
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 10 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 224 10th Ave Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.17mi |
| 114 Parker Cove Ct Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,115 | $1.48 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 10536 3rd Ave Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1425 | $2,040 | $1.43 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1204 Sandy Beach Rd Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1380 | $2,175 | $1.58 | 8d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2007 Shari Lynn Ter Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1378 | $2,175 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1013 Arizona Ct Ocoee, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1108 | $1,850 | $1.67 | 5d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 611 N Lakewood Ave Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 944 | $800 | $0.85 | 24d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 1236 Arbour Point Way Ocoee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1233 | $2,000 | $1.62 | 24d | 10 | 1.14mi |
| 2285 Crown Village Rd Ocoee, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1334 | $3,556 | $2.67 | 3d | 65 | 1.37mi |
| 1903 Brancaster Cir Ocoee, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1275 | $1,900 | $1.49 | 13d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $268,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $268,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $268,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $268,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $268,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $268,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $268,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $268,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $268,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $268,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-03remarks 483-char remark
-
2026-06-03pricedays on market $268,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $279,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $279,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $279,900 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-05-17$279,900 Active
-
1999-09-13soldstatus $66,000
-
1981-08-01soldstatus $32,300
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,149 · $96/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,224 · $185/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,075/yr (+$90/mo · 93.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,855
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,012
- − Property taxes
- −$1,149
- − Insurance
- −$1,340
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,988
- − Management
- −$1,988
- − Depreciation
- −$7,796
- Taxable loss
- −$4,419
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,061
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,342/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orange
- NCES district ID
- 1201440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,350
- Composite
- 41.47/100
- National rank
- #3461
- State rank
- #43 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocoee
- Score
- 66/100
- State rank
- #602
- US rank
- #11554
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Ocoee, FL
- County
- Orange County · 1,471,359 people
- City population
- 47,327
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 47,327
- Household income
- $96,415
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1197.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,618,226 people
- By 2030
- 1,787,404 · +10.5%
- By 2040
- 2,125,621 · +31.4%
- By 2050
- 2,454,016 · +51.6%
- By 2075
- 3,173,711 · +96.1%
- By 2100
- 3,607,781 · +122.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 39% Hispanic / Latino 29% Black 19% Two or more races 13% Asian 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 8% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 2% Romanian 2% German 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 72% English-only · Spanish 19% Other Indo-European 2% French/Haitian/Cajun 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- D (+13.6) · D 56.1% · R 42.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.0pp toward R · 2008: 18.6pp · 2024: 13.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+13.6 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+24.6 2012: D+18.2 2008: D+18.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -114.83%
- Current HPI
- 290.5598
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.04%
- Metro
- Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+766.6% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-17 Listed $279,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-09-13 Sold (Public Records) $66,000 Public Records
- 1981-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $32,300 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,149 · +16.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…