133 Maple St · East Rockingham, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 63.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$75,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Are you looking for a great investment opportunity, well look no further! This 4 bedroom 2 bath home located in a quiet area of East Rockingham is a great addition to any portfolio. With some repairs and upgrades, this home has endless potential. Being sold as is.
Key facts
- 0.43 acre lot
- Built 1989
- Listed 61 days
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No homeowners association
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Gas water heater; Electric service
- Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Built in 1989; Existing structure
- Construction: Wood siding; Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Privacy fencing; Lot roughly 0.43 acres (approx. 125 x 150)
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas water heater
- Flooring: Wood
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Window air conditioning units
- Interior features: Primary bedroom on the main level; Wood flooring
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $75k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $772 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $75k).
- Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#579 in NC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Richmond County Schools (town): math 30% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #139 of 178 in NC (top 78%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 70% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Richmond County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Richmond County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 63% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.11% ✓
- Cap rate
- 18.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- 44.13%
- DSCR
- 2.96
- GRM
- 3.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $139,776
- Comps found
- 3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 132 E Church Street Ext | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,300 (-3%) | 20mo | $135,000 | $104 | 57 |
| 160 Patterson St | 0.44mi | 3/2.0 | 1,497 (+11%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $87 | 57 |
| 106 Pence St | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 | 1,216 (-10%) | 0mo | $133,000 | $109 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 41.1%
- Equity multiple
- 2.76×
- Total profit
- $37,031
- Equity at exit
- $11,183
- IRR
- 47.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.55×
- Total profit
- $95,576
- Equity at exit
- $6,485
Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 28379
- Home prices YoY
- -32.4%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 3.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,583 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$393
- Tax from tax record
- −$54 /mo · $643/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$332
- Net cashflow
- $772
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $815 | -5% $793 | +0% $772 | +5% $751 | +10% $730 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $647 | -5% $710 | +0% $772 | +5% $835 | +10% $897 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $810 | -0.5pp $791 | base $772 | +0.5pp $753 | +1.0pp $733 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,750
- Closing costs
- $2,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $75,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $75,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $75,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $75,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $75,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $75,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $75,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $75,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $75,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $75,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $75,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $75,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $75,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $75,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $75,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $75,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $75,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-04-17$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $643 · $54/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 63% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,993
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,201
- − Property taxes
- −$643
- − Insurance
- −$375
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,519
- − Management
- −$1,519
- − Depreciation
- −$2,182
- Taxable income
- $8,553
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,053
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,214/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Richmond County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703870
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -12.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,224
- Composite
- 26.97/100
- National rank
- #7076
- State rank
- #139 of 178 in NC
Livability — East Rockingham
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #579
- US rank
- #21339
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Rockingham, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,068
Population outlook (Richmond County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 42,892 people
- By 2030
- 41,257 · -3.8%
- By 2040
- 37,629 · -12.3%
- By 2050
- 33,655 · -21.5%
- By 2075
- 23,992 · -44.1%
- By 2100
- 14,782 · -65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 32% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 4% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Richmond
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+20.9) · D 39.2% · R 60.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.4pp toward R · 2008: 1.5pp · 2024: -20.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+20.9 2020: R+14.8 2016: R+10.1 2012: D+2.7 2008: D+1.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -97.10%
- Current HPI
- 203.0628
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Listed $75,000 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+4.3%/yrLatest (2025): $643 · +93.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…