14976 Angela Dr · Gulfport, MS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,241 – $2,305
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.6/10.0
- 1% rule +7.2/10.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- Schools +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Spacious brick home offering approximately 1850 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, plus an attached 2-car garage. The property features a strong layout with generous living space throughout, providing a solid foundation for future improvements. This is a great opportunity for an investment-minded buyer looking to renovate and add value. With its size and potential, the home is well-suited for a full update or rehab project. Property is expected to qualify for cash or construction financing only and will not go government loan programs. Buyer to verify all information
Key facts
- 0.55 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1965
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Cap rate 9.8% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Harrison County School District (rural): math 52% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #14 of 130 in MS (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.22% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.84%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.66%
- DSCR
- 1.56
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $292,358
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14976 Angela Dr | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 | 1,850 (-13%) | 0mo | $150,000 | $81 | 74 |
| 14900 Angela Dr | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 | 2,051 (-4%) | 6mo | $160,000 | $78 | 73 |
| 123 Darran St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,813 (-15%) | 10mo | $215,000 | $119 | 51 |
| 11010 Three Rivers Rd | 0.35mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,835 (-14%) | 2mo | $189,000 | $103 | 50 |
| 14325 Southern Maple Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,885 (-12%) | 13mo | $258,565 | $137 | 40 |
| 14337 Southern Maple Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-13%) | 15mo | $259,675 | $141 | 39 |
| 14338 Southern Oak Ave | 0.47mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-13%) | 16mo | $255,395 | $138 | 39 |
| 14321 Southern Maple Ave | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,848 (-13%) | 18mo | $255,260 | $138 | 39 |
| 14336 Southern Maple Ave | 0.47mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,885 (-12%) | 14mo | $257,460 | $137 | 38 |
| 13284 Southern Pecan St | 0.41mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,892 (-11%) | 19mo | $257,545 | $136 | 37 |
| 14334 Southern Oak Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,885 (-12%) | 16mo | $260,090 | $138 | 37 |
| 14376 Southern Elm Ave | 0.52mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,885 (-12%) | 23mo | $257,540 | $137 | 28 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.28×
- Total profit
- $11,573
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- 19.3%
- Equity multiple
- 2.92×
- Total profit
- $80,525
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Mississippi
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 39503
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 7.0%
- Active inventory
- 763
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,832 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,855/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$385
- Net cashflow
- $443
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11413 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11405 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11487 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 44d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11425 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 11502 Camden Court Cir Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1495 | $1,775 | $1.19 | 21d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 10466 Steeplechase Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1677 | $1,800 | $1.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 15373 Saint Charles St Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1075 | $1,350 | $1.26 | 44d | 2 | 1.33mi |
| 16222 Saddle Dr Gulfport, MS | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1680 | $1,600 | $0.95 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-04-28status Pending 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Spacious brick home offering approximately 1850 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, plus an attached 2-car garage. The property features a strong layout with generous living space throughout, providing a solid foundation for future improvements. This is a great opportunity for an investment-minded buyer looking to renovate and add value. With its size and potential, the home is well-suited for a full update or rehab project. Property is expected to qualify for cash or construction financing only and will not go government loan programs. Buyer to verify all information
-
2026-04-28status Pending
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Spacious brick home offering approximately 1850 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, plus an attached 2-car garage. The property features a strong layout with generous living space throughout, providing a solid foundation for future improvements. This is a great opportunity for an investment-minded buyer looking to renovate and add value. With its size and potential, the home is well-suited for a full update or rehab project. Property is expected to qualify for cash or construction financing only and will not go government loan programs. Buyer to verify all information
-
2026-04-17$150,000 Active 584-char remark
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Spacious brick home offering approximately 1850 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, plus an attached 2-car garage. The property features a strong layout with generous living space throughout, providing a solid foundation for future improvements. This is a great opportunity for an investment-minded buyer looking to renovate and add value. With its size and potential, the home is well-suited for a full update or rehab project. Property is expected to qualify for cash or construction financing only and will not go government loan programs. Buyer to verify all information
-
2026-04-17$150,000 Active
Show marketing remark (584 chars)
Spacious brick home offering approximately 1850 square feet with 3 bedrooms and 2 full baths, plus an attached 2-car garage. The property features a strong layout with generous living space throughout, providing a solid foundation for future improvements. This is a great opportunity for an investment-minded buyer looking to renovate and add value. With its size and potential, the home is well-suited for a full update or rehab project. Property is expected to qualify for cash or construction financing only and will not go government loan programs. Buyer to verify all information
-
2025-08-26soldstatus
-
2025-08-26soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,855 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,855 · $155/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,978
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$1,855
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,758
- − Management
- −$1,758
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable income
- $3,090
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$742
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,576/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Harrison County School District
- NCES district ID
- 2801770
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,504
- Composite
- 41.66/100
- National rank
- #3419
- State rank
- #14 of 130 in MS
Livability — Gulfport
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #15
- US rank
- #5010
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Gulfport, MS
- County
- Harrison County · 178,171 people
- City population
- 96,188
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- Population (ZIP)
- 55,059
- Household income
- $62,641
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1686.0
Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 228,444 people
- By 2030
- 241,942 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 267,531 · +17.1%
- By 2050
- 291,062 · +27.4%
- By 2075
- 346,711 · +51.8%
- By 2100
- 378,165 · +65.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Harrison
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -51.39%
- Current HPI
- 187.285
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.99%
- Metro
- Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
+0.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Pending — HAAR
- 2026-04-28 Pending — MLSU
- 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 MLSU
- 2026-04-17 Listed $150,000 HAAR
- 2025-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2025-08-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+17.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,855 · +4.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…