316 Warley St · Florence, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 80.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +6.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.2/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$139,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Rehab Ready Duplex 2BR 1.5 B each side, fenced separate back yards, attached storage. Deep cleaning done and old flooring removed. History of long term tenants easy to rent. Off street parking.
Key facts
- Off street parking
- Attached storage
- 0.29 acre lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Multi-family property
- Construction: Approximate living area 1,984 sq ft
- Exterior features: Lot size approximately 12,825 sq ft
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#196 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
- Florence 01 (urban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #34 of 80 in SC (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $105k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.16% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.52%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.94%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 7.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $261,888
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 314 W Cedar St | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 2,128 (+7%) | 5mo | $159,789 | $75 | 68 |
| 1016 Madison Ave | 0.58mi | 4/2.0 | 1,999 (+1%) | 4mo | $257,000 | $129 | 68 |
| 701 S Coit St | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,928 (-3%) | 11mo | $255,000 | $132 | 58 |
| 910 Madison Ave | 0.46mi | 4/2.5 | 2,126 (+7%) | 8mo | $299,900 | $141 | 58 |
| 713 W Palmetto St | 0.32mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,845 (-7%) | 14mo | $255,000 | $138 | 57 |
| 409 S Franklin Dr | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,895 (-4%) | 3mo | $240,000 | $127 | 55 |
| 618 Cherokee Rd | 0.63mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (+1%) | 13mo | $311,000 | $156 | 52 |
| 708 Lawton Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,918 (-3%) | 11mo | $205,000 | $107 | 50 |
| 607 Warley St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,710 (-14%) | 15mo | $224,900 | $132 | 45 |
| 221 S Calhoun St | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,825 (-8%) | 8mo | $252,500 | $138 | 42 |
| 1000 King Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,726 (-13%) | 16mo | $226,500 | $131 | 32 |
| 1011 Cherokee Rd | 0.74mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,754 (-12%) | 15mo | $240,000 | $137 | 29 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.7% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,283
- Equity at exit
- $20,860
- IRR
- 9.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $30,622
- Equity at exit
- $12,096
Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29501
- Rents YoY
- 4.7%
- Active inventory
- 328
- Price-to-rent
- 7.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$230 /mo · $2,765/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$341
- Net cashflow
- $259
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $34,975
- Closing costs
- $4,197
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-04-10soldstatus $105,000
-
2026-03-05historical Under Contract
-
2026-02-07$139,900 Active
-
2005-11-03soldstatus $103,500
-
1994-11-30soldstatus $60,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,765 · $230/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,765 · $230/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,466
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,837
- − Property taxes
- −$2,765
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,557
- − Management
- −$1,557
- − Depreciation
- −$4,070
- Taxable income
- $981
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$235
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,875/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Florence 01
- NCES district ID
- 4502130
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,782
- Composite
- 32.36/100
- National rank
- #5737
- State rank
- #34 of 80 in SC
Livability — Florence
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #196
- US rank
- #17076
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Florence, SC
- County
- Florence County · 93,345 people
- City population
- 93,345
- Metro
- Florence, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 48,673
- Household income
- $71,671
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1792.0
Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 141,714 people
- By 2030
- 142,121 · +0.3%
- By 2040
- 141,344 · -0.3%
- By 2050
- 139,478 · -1.6%
- By 2075
- 132,275 · -6.7%
- By 2100
- 118,374 · -16.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 56% Black 35% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Florence
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -181.85%
- Current HPI
- 171.4154
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.70%
- Metro
- Florence, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+75.0% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
- 2026-03-05 Contingent — ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2026-02-07 Listed $139,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
- 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records
- 1994-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,765 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…