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316 Warley St
B- Composite 65.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.5/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$139,900

316 Warley St · Florence, SC 29501
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,984 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 26 Days on market
Built 1975 0.29 ac lot Est $262k · 47% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Rehab Ready Duplex 2BR 1.5 B each side, fenced separate back yards, attached storage. Deep cleaning done and old flooring removed. History of long term tenants easy to rent. Off street parking.

Key facts

  • Off street parking
  • Attached storage
  • 0.29 acre lot

Tags

FENCED SEPARATE BACK YARDSATTACHED STORAGEOFF STREET PARKING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Multi-family property
  • Construction: Approximate living area 1,984 sq ft
  • Exterior features: Lot size approximately 12,825 sq ft

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $259 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.5% vs local median 3.5% in Florence — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#196 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: employment C-, crime F, amenities F.
  • Florence 01 (urban): math 29% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #34 of 80 in SC (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.7%/yr); 328 active listings in the ZIP; 657 units permitted in Florence County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $967 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.7% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $105k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $137,801 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.16%
Cap rate
8.52%
Cash-on-cash
7.94%
DSCR
1.35
GRM
7.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$261,888
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
314 W Cedar St 0.32mi 4/2.0 2,128 (+7%) 5mo $159,789 $75 68
1016 Madison Ave 0.58mi 4/2.0 1,999 (+1%) 4mo $257,000 $129 68
701 S Coit St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,928 (-3%) 11mo $255,000 $132 58
910 Madison Ave 0.46mi 4/2.5 2,126 (+7%) 8mo $299,900 $141 58
713 W Palmetto St 0.32mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,845 (-7%) 14mo $255,000 $138 57
409 S Franklin Dr 0.63mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,895 (-4%) 3mo $240,000 $127 55
618 Cherokee Rd 0.63mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (+1%) 13mo $311,000 $156 52
708 Lawton Dr 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,918 (-3%) 11mo $205,000 $107 50
607 Warley St 0.31mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,710 (-14%) 15mo $224,900 $132 45
221 S Calhoun St 0.72mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,825 (-8%) 8mo $252,500 $138 42
1000 King Ave 0.60mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,726 (-13%) 16mo $226,500 $131 32
1011 Cherokee Rd 0.74mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,754 (-12%) 15mo $240,000 $137 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.7% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-2.2%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,283
Equity at exit
$20,860
10-year hold
IRR
9.4%
Equity multiple
1.78×
Total profit
$30,622
Equity at exit
$12,096

Cash invested: $39,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29501

Rents YoY
4.7%
Active inventory
328
Price-to-rent
7.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,622 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$230 /mo · $2,765/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$341
Net cashflow
$259

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,294
Max offer price $139,900
Occupancy floor 79%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$34,975
Closing costs
$4,197
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-10
    soldstatus $105,000
  2. 2026-03-05
    historical Under Contract
  3. 2026-02-07
    listed $139,900 Active
  4. 2005-11-03
    soldstatus $103,500
  5. 1994-11-30
    soldstatus $60,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$2,765 · $230/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,765 · $230/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,466
− Mortgage interest
−$7,837
− Property taxes
−$2,765
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,557
− Management
−$1,557
− Depreciation
−$4,070
Taxable income
$981
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$235
After-tax cash flow
$2,875/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Florence 01
NCES district ID
4502130
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$45,782
Composite
32.36/100
National rank
#5737
State rank
#34 of 80 in SC

Livability — Florence

Score
62/100
State rank
#196
US rank
#17076

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Florence, SC
County
Florence County · 93,345 people
City population
93,345
Metro
Florence, SC
Population (ZIP)
48,673
Household income
$71,671
Rent vs Own
36.5% rent · 63.5% own
Severe rent burden
1792.0

Population outlook (Florence County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
141,714 people
By 2030
142,121 · +0.3%
By 2040
141,344 · -0.3%
By 2050
139,478 · -1.6%
By 2075
132,275 · -6.7%
By 2100
118,374 · -16.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
Race & ethnicity
White 56% Black 35% Asian 3% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Florence

2024 margin
Lean R (+8.0) · D 45.3% · R 53.3% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-4.8pp toward R · 2008: -3.2pp · 2024: -8.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+8.0 2020: R+2.3 2016: R+5.0 2012: R+0.5 2008: R+3.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -181.85%
Current HPI
171.4154
Rent YoY
▲ 4.70%
Metro
Florence, SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+75.0% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-10 Sold (Public Records) $105,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-05 Contingent ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2026-02-07 Listed $139,900 ForSaleByOwner.com
  • 2005-11-03 Sold (Public Records) $103,500 Public Records
  • 1994-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,765 · +6.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…