🏷️ Likely Rental
1800 Lakewood Ct #59 · Eugene, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 13 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Updated and move-in ready, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with two living areas is located in the desirable gated Lakewood Vista 55+ community. Light-filled with an open, comfortable floor plan throughout.The kitchen includes all appliances, making this home truly turnkey. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with a walk-in shower.Tandem carport and tool shed provide great storage.There is a recently updated clubhouse with lake views, indoor pool and spa, gym, library, game room, outdoor BBQ area, and meeting space. Space Rent is $1300 per month.
Key facts
- Gated community
- Tool shed
- Updated clubhouse
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $70k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $70k).
- Recommended offer: $66k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 24.9% vs local median 2.8% in Eugene — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#52 in OR, #1,587 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, cost of living C-, crime D-.
- Bethel SD 52 (urban): math 18% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #52 of 58 in OR (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.6%/yr); 302 active listings in the ZIP; 17 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,808 units permitted in Lane County in 2024 (972 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $483 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lane County population projected at +15% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.6% rent growth), your $20k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $56k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.79% ✓
- Cap rate
- 24.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- 66.52%
- DSCR
- 3.96
- GRM
- 3.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $140,750
- List price
- $69,900
- Delta
- -50.34%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #134 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,344 (0%) | 1mo | $78,900 | $59 | 99 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #20 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,368 (+2%) | 11mo | $34,000 | $25 | 88 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #57 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,368 (+2%) | 6mo | $36,900 | $27 | 87 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #32 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,392 (+4%) | 14mo | $20,000 | $14 | 82 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #155 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,350 (+0%) | 15mo | $46,500 | $34 | 82 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #88 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,392 (+4%) | 12mo | $30,000 | $22 | 79 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #133 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,272 (-5%) | 15mo | $67,500 | $53 | 79 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #121 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,464 (+9%) | 11mo | $87,000 | $59 | 76 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #63 | 0.00mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,248 (-7%) | 10mo | $134,000 | $107 | 75 |
| 1800 Lakewood Ct #74 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (-11%) | 15mo | $6,000 | $5 | 70 |
| 3454 Pattison St | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,188 (-12%) | 8mo | $300,000 | $253 | 58 |
| 1202 N Park Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,190 (-12%) | 5mo | $108,000 | $91 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.58% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 64.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.81×
- Total profit
- $55,032
- Equity at exit
- $10,422
- IRR
- 68.1%
- Equity multiple
- 7.44×
- Total profit
- $125,981
- Equity at exit
- $6,044
Cash invested: $19,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97402
- Rents YoY
- 1.6%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 3.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,952 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$367
- Tax from tax record
- −$61 /mo · $736/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$410
- Net cashflow
- $1,085
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,124 | -5% $1,105 | +0% $1,085 | +5% $1,065 | +10% $1,045 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $931 | -5% $1,008 | +0% $1,085 | +5% $1,162 | +10% $1,239 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,120 | -0.5pp $1,103 | base $1,085 | +0.5pp $1,067 | +1.0pp $1,048 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,475
- Closing costs
- $2,097
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 17 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1920 Taft St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 966 | $1,850 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.21mi |
| 1246 Hughes St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,300 | $1.92 | 15d | 1 | 0.33mi |
| 3700 Riviera Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 968 | $1,662 | $1.72 | 15d | 2 | 0.36mi |
| 1190 Taft St Unit 1190 Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,650 | $1.48 | 22d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 1071 Fairfield Ave Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 872 | $1,605 | $1.84 | 15d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 1161 N Park Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,295 | $2.55 | 22d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 4175 Quest Dr Eugene, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 983 | $1,710 | $1.74 | 15d | 6 | 0.66mi |
| 4075 Aerial Way Eugene, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 847 | $2,155 | $2.54 | 15d | 24 | 0.68mi |
| 3466 Royal Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1604 | $2,550 | $1.59 | 22d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3358 Richard Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1164 | $1,995 | $1.71 | 45d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 910 Westsprings Dr Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $1,699 | $1.72 | 15d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1642 Zoe Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1395 | $2,695 | $1.93 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 1846 Labona Dr Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1501 | $2,500 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 128 Chase St Eugene, OR | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1378 | $1,895 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 2106 Golden Gardens St Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1410 | $1,995 | $1.41 | 45d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 4478 Fergus Ave Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1120 | $1,695 | $1.51 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 1040 Lamplite Ln Eugene, OR | 3.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,895 | $2.08 | 45d | 1 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $69,900 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,900 Active 71 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 597-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $69,900 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $69,900 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $69,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $69,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $69,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $69,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $69,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $69,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $69,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $69,900 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-04-08$69,900 Active 556-char remark
Show marketing remark (556 chars)
Updated and move-in ready, this 2 bedroom, 2 bath home with two living areas is located in the desirable gated Lakewood Vista 55+ community. Light-filled with an open, comfortable floor plan throughout.The kitchen includes all appliances, making this home truly turnkey. The primary suite features an ensuite bath with a walk-in shower.Tandem carport and tool shed provide great storage.There is a recently updated clubhouse with lake views, indoor pool and spa, gym, library, game room, outdoor BBQ area, and meeting space. Space Rent is $1300 per month.
-
2020-01-22soldstatus $55,900 Sold 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
55+Park in a gated community. Really cute home in desirable Lakewood Park located on a corner lot. New Laminate Floors in Living Room, and Dining room. New double pane windows. Built-In China Hutch in Dining Room. Kitchen Includes Appliances & Eating Bar. Master Bedroom features Walk-In Closet. Both bathrooms updated. Newer heat pump and a/c.
-
2020-01-22soldstatus $55,900
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
55+Park in a gated community. Really cute home in desirable Lakewood Park located on a corner lot. New Laminate Floors in Living Room, and Dining room. New double pane windows. Built-In China Hutch in Dining Room. Kitchen Includes Appliances & Eating Bar. Master Bedroom features Walk-In Closet. Both bathrooms updated. Newer heat pump and a/c.
-
2019-12-03status Pending 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
55+Park in a gated community. Really cute home in desirable Lakewood Park located on a corner lot. New Laminate Floors in Living Room, and Dining room. New double pane windows. Built-In China Hutch in Dining Room. Kitchen Includes Appliances & Eating Bar. Master Bedroom features Walk-In Closet. Both bathrooms updated. Newer heat pump and a/c.
-
2019-11-14$55,900 Active 348-char remark
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
55+Park in a gated community. Really cute home in desirable Lakewood Park located on a corner lot. New Laminate Floors in Living Room, and Dining room. New double pane windows. Built-In China Hutch in Dining Room. Kitchen Includes Appliances & Eating Bar. Master Bedroom features Walk-In Closet. Both bathrooms updated. Newer heat pump and a/c.
-
2019-11-14$55,900
Show marketing remark (348 chars)
55+Park in a gated community. Really cute home in desirable Lakewood Park located on a corner lot. New Laminate Floors in Living Room, and Dining room. New double pane windows. Built-In China Hutch in Dining Room. Kitchen Includes Appliances & Eating Bar. Master Bedroom features Walk-In Closet. Both bathrooms updated. Newer heat pump and a/c.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $736 · $61/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 13 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,421
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,915
- − Property taxes
- −$736
- − Insurance
- −$350
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,874
- − Management
- −$1,874
- − Depreciation
- −$2,033
- Taxable income
- $12,639
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,985/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bethel SD 52
- NCES district ID
- 4102040
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -14.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,860
- Composite
- 22.62/100
- National rank
- #8066
- State rank
- #52 of 58 in OR
Livability — Eugene
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #52
- US rank
- #1587
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Eugene, OR
- County
- Lane County · 310,476 people
- City population
- 215,212
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 53,823
- Household income
- $57,658
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3142.0
Population outlook (Lane County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 391,933 people
- By 2030
- 405,860 · +3.6%
- By 2040
- 429,386 · +9.6%
- By 2050
- 452,016 · +15.3%
- By 2075
- 508,825 · +29.8%
- By 2100
- 531,208 · +35.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 11% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 12%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 3% Portuguese 3%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lane
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+23.1) · D 60.0% · R 36.9% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -4.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.4pp · 2024: 23.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+23.1 2020: D+24.3 2016: D+18.9 2012: D+23.4 2008: D+27.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -437.20%
- Current HPI
- 298.1167
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.58%
- Metro
- Eugene-Springfield, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+25.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-08 Listed $69,900 RMLS
- 2020-01-22 Sold (MLS) $55,900 WVMLS
- 2020-01-22 Sold (MLS) $55,900 RMLS
- 2019-12-03 Pending — RMLS
- 2019-11-14 Listed $55,900 WVMLS
- 2019-11-14 Listed $55,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+1.3%/yrLatest (2025): $736 · +2.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…