3210 Elmwood Park Dr · New Orleans, LA
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.6%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +28.6/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.3/5.0
- Schools +1.6/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,600
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
Key facts
- Oversized patio
- 7,196 sq ft lot
- Parking
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $425 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $141k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.2% vs local median 4.4% in New Orleans — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#3 in LA, #1,383 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D.
- Orleans Parish (urban): math 11% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #69 of 98 in LA (top 70%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.7%/yr); 265 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 710 units permitted in Orleans Parish in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,012/mo this rent would consume 56% of the median local household income ($43k/yr) (locally 2240% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orleans County population projected at +61% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 67 days — a 6% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 67 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.23%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.08%
- DSCR
- 1.63
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $359,955
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3205 Potomac St | 0.18mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,010 (-4%) | 1mo | $379,000 | $189 | 74 |
| 3011 Memorial Park Dr | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 2,025 (-4%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $128 | 74 |
| 208 Amapola Cir | 0.41mi | 3/2.0 | 1,932 (-8%) | 1mo | $279,000 | $144 | 67 |
| 3052 Behrman Hwy | 0.22mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,902 (-10%) | 9mo | $131,000 | $69 | 61 |
| 203 Holmes Blvd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 0mo | $311,000 | $171 | 57 |
| 201 Holmes Blvd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 4mo | $304,900 | $168 | 55 |
| 249 Holmes Blvd | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 5mo | $305,900 | $168 | 54 |
| 317 Holmes Blvd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 8mo | $313,900 | $173 | 50 |
| 309 Holmes Blvd | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 9mo | $315,900 | $174 | 50 |
| 319 Holmes Blvd | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,819 (-14%) | 9mo | $315,900 | $174 | 50 |
| 310 Amapola Cir | 0.46mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 1,900 (-10%) | 5mo | $329,000 | $173 | 49 |
| 2931 Behrman Hwy | 0.38mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,380 (+13%) | 6mo | $399,000 | $168 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.93×
- Total profit
- $-2,962
- Equity at exit
- $22,306
- IRR
- 3.8%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $9,932
- Equity at exit
- $12,935
Cash invested: $41,888 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70114
- Rents YoY
- -0.7%
- Active inventory
- 265
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,012 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$785
- Tax from tax record
- −$251 /mo · $3,016/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$423
- Net cashflow
- $425
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,400
- Closing costs
- $4,488
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 21 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Carriage Ln New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1900 | $2,000 | $1.05 | 21d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 300 Terry Pkwy Unit C Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1532 | $1,800 | $1.17 | 24d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 517 Diplomat St Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1850 | $2,000 | $1.08 | 4d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 532 Oakwood Dr Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2100 | $2,000 | $0.95 | 4d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 502 Behrman Hwy Gretna, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 583 Delmar St Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1426 | $1,350 | $0.95 | 44d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 2320 Mardi Gras Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1600 | $2,500 | $1.56 | 2d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 1774 Pace Blvd New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1574 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 500 Behrman Hwy Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 4d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 3511 Hyman Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1975 | $2,700 | $1.37 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1825 Murl St New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2484 | $1,750 | $0.70 | 24d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 633 Farmington Pl Gretna, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3000 | $1,997 | $0.67 | 44d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1912 Concord Rd Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1535 | $2,000 | $1.30 | 24d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2111 Emerson St Terrytown, LA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 1684 Lauradale Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1571 | $2,000 | $1.27 | 24d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 1410 Kabel Dr New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2200 | $2,200 | $1.00 | 24d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 3751 Herald St New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1624 | $2,150 | $1.32 | 24d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 2001 Saint Nick Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2400 | $2,300 | $0.96 | 24d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3738 Somerset Dr New Orleans, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2247 | $3,000 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 725 Oakwood Dr Gretna, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2079 | $1,850 | $0.89 | 24d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 3151 Plymouth Pl New Orleans, LA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1470 | $1,700 | $1.16 | 24d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-03-24status Pending 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-03-24status Pending
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-02-20price $149,600 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-02-20price $149,600
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-02-02price $171,500 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-02-02price $171,500
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-01-15$189,800 Active 315-char remark
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2026-01-15$189,800 Active
Show marketing remark (315 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this four bedroom, two bath home. Oversized patio, great for BBQ's and boils. Some work/refreshing is required to make this home move in ready but could be worth the effort. Whether you decide to customize this home for yourself or rent it out, this house could be a great option.
-
2005-08-04soldstatus $190,000 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
NEW HUMMEL FLOOR PLAN IN POPULAR AREA. LOTS OF CONSTRUCTION UNDER WAY. GREAT ROOM. VERY OPEN KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR. COLUMNED FORMAL DINING ROOM. PRIVATE MASTER SUITE WITH SEPARATE GARDEN TUB AND SHOWER. 4TH BEDROOM OR STUDY. SPECIAL CEILING TREATMENTS. ON PILINGS. ONE YEAR BUILDER'S WARRANTY AS PER LA LAW. PRE COMPLETION BUYER MAY MAKE SOME SELECTIONS.
-
2005-03-14$187,500 359-char remark
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
NEW HUMMEL FLOOR PLAN IN POPULAR AREA. LOTS OF CONSTRUCTION UNDER WAY. GREAT ROOM. VERY OPEN KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR. COLUMNED FORMAL DINING ROOM. PRIVATE MASTER SUITE WITH SEPARATE GARDEN TUB AND SHOWER. 4TH BEDROOM OR STUDY. SPECIAL CEILING TREATMENTS. ON PILINGS. ONE YEAR BUILDER'S WARRANTY AS PER LA LAW. PRE COMPLETION BUYER MAY MAKE SOME SELECTIONS.
-
2005-03-14$187,500
Show marketing remark (359 chars)
NEW HUMMEL FLOOR PLAN IN POPULAR AREA. LOTS OF CONSTRUCTION UNDER WAY. GREAT ROOM. VERY OPEN KITCHEN WITH BREAKFAST BAR. COLUMNED FORMAL DINING ROOM. PRIVATE MASTER SUITE WITH SEPARATE GARDEN TUB AND SHOWER. 4TH BEDROOM OR STUDY. SPECIAL CEILING TREATMENTS. ON PILINGS. ONE YEAR BUILDER'S WARRANTY AS PER LA LAW. PRE COMPLETION BUYER MAY MAKE SOME SELECTIONS.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,016 · $251/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,016 · $251/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 60% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,146
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,380
- − Property taxes
- −$3,016
- − Insurance
- −$1,546
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,932
- − Management
- −$1,932
- − Depreciation
- −$4,352
- Taxable income
- $2,989
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$717
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,382/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Orleans Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201170
- Math proficiency
- 11% ▼ -52.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 27% ▼ -46.00%
- Median HH income
- $37,011
- Composite
- 15.78/100
- National rank
- #9271
- State rank
- #69 of 98 in LA
Livability — New Orleans
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #1383
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- New Orleans, LA
- County
- Orleans Parish · 338,817 people
- City population
- 338,817
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,659
- Household income
- $43,493
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2240.0
Population outlook (Orleans County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 513,025 people
- By 2030
- 575,781 · +12.2%
- By 2040
- 700,174 · +36.5%
- By 2050
- 826,541 · +61.1%
- By 2075
- 1,123,374 · +119.0%
- By 2100
- 1,355,609 · +164.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (72%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 72% White 16% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 5%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 5% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% French/Haitian/Cajun 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orleans
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+67.0) · D 82.2% · R 15.2% · Other 2.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +6.7pp toward D · 2008: 60.3pp · 2024: 67.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+67.0 2020: D+68.2 2016: D+66.2 2012: D+62.5 2008: D+60.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.56%
- Current HPI
- 149.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
-20.2% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-24 Pending — AcadianaMLS
- 2026-03-24 Pending — GSREIN
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $149,600 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-20 Price Changed $149,600 GSREIN
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $171,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2026-02-02 Price Changed $171,500 GSREIN
- 2026-01-15 Listed $189,800 GSREIN
- 2026-01-15 Listed $189,800 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-08-04 Sold (MLS) $190,000 GSREIN
- 2005-03-14 Listed $187,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2005-03-14 Listed $187,500 GSREIN
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2026): $3,016 · +34.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…