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202 11th St
D Composite 43.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.4/10.0
  • DSCR +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$125,000

202 11th St · Levelland, TX 79336
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,766 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 5 Days on market
Built 1960 10,629 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and full of potential, this 3-bedroom, 2-bath home with a 2-car garage sits on a spacious corner lot in an established neighborhood. Offering the character and craftsmanship often found in older homes, this property features comfortable living spaces, a functional layout, and plenty of room to make it your own. The large corner lot provides extra outdoor space for gardening, entertaining, or simply enjoying the mature surroundings. Conveniently located in town, you'll appreciate easy access to schools, parks, shopping, and dining while enjoying the feel of a well-established neighborhood. Whether you're looking for your first home, an investment property, or a place to add your per

Key facts

  • Outdoor space
  • Corner lot
  • Easy access to parks

Tags

CORNER LOTOUTDOOR SPACEESTABLISHED NEIGHBORHOODEASY ACCESS TO SCHOOLSEASY ACCESS TO PARKSEASY ACCESS TO SHOPPING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; Driveway; 2 garage spaces
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Stone construction; Composition roof; Slab foundation; Built area approximately 1,696
  • Exterior features: Private yard; Paved city street frontage; Publicly maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric oven
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Built-in features; Ceiling fans

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $26 ($314/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#274 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute F, employment F.
  • Levelland ISD (town): math 33% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #566 of 826 in TX (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Levelland Middle (math 32% / reading 31%, grade F, #997 of 1,662 statewide, top 61%, 622 students, 79% FRL); Levelland H S (math 67% / reading 55%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 745 students, 67% FRL).
  • Zoned-school proficiency averages 46% at this address vs 32% district-wide (+14 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Levelland ISD average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
  • Market conditions: 119 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 7 units permitted in Hockley County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hockley County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.04%
Cap rate
6.54%
Cash-on-cash
0.90%
DSCR
1.04
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.8%
Equity multiple
0.47×
Total profit
$-18,486
Equity at exit
$18,638
10-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.61×
Total profit
$-13,531
Equity at exit
$10,808

Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 79336

Active inventory
119
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,300 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$656
Tax from tax record
$293 /mo · $3,519/yr
Insurance
$52
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$273
Net cashflow
$26

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,267
Max offer price $125,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $97 -5% $62 +0% $26 +5% $-9 +10% $-45
Rent -10% $-77 -5% $-25 +0% $26 +5% $77 +10% $129
Rate -1.0pp $89 -0.5pp $58 base $26 +0.5pp $-6 +1.0pp $-39

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,250
Closing costs
$3,750
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
114 Holly St Levelland, TX 4.0 1.0 1380 $1,300 $0.94 45d 1 0.17mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $125,000 Active 5 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 4 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $125,000 Active 3 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-17
    listed $125,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,519 · $293/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,519 · $293/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,600
− Mortgage interest
−$7,002
− Property taxes
−$3,519
− Insurance
−$625
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,248
− Management
−$1,248
− Depreciation
−$3,636
Taxable loss
−$1,678
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$403
After-tax cash flow
$717/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levelland ISD
NCES district ID
4827240
Math proficiency
33% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$47,924
Composite
28.09/100
National rank
#6833
State rank
#566 of 826 in TX

Livability — Levelland

Score
72/100
State rank
#274
US rank
#6392

Category grades

Amenities C Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Levelland, TX
Population (ZIP)
15,265

Population outlook (Hockley County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
25,295 people
By 2030
26,230 · +3.7%
By 2040
28,268 · +11.8%
By 2050
30,536 · +20.7%
By 2075
36,867 · +45.7%
By 2100
40,662 · +60.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority Hispanic (53%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 53% White 42% Two or more races 24% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 48%
Common ancestry
Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada
Languages at home
72% English-only · Spanish 27%

Political lean MEDSL · Hockley

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.3) · D 16.6% · R 82.8%
2008→2024 swing
-14.0pp toward R · 2008: -52.3pp · 2024: -66.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.3 2020: R+62.4 2016: R+62.3 2012: R+57.0 2008: R+52.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -169.34%
Current HPI
154.0713
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-17 Listed $125,000 LARMLS
  • 2000-10-03 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 1992-06-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+5.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,519 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…