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657 Dawson St
D+ Composite 46.8
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.9/30.0
  • DSCR +6.3/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Schools +4.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$80,000

657 Dawson St · Waterloo, IA 50703
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 692 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 2 Days on market
Built 1941 6,500 sqft lot Est $66k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming, recently remodeled 2-bedroom, 1-bathroom single-family home in a quiet Waterloo neighborhood. Features beautiful real wood floors, a bright and functional living layout, and a full unfinished basement perfect for storage or a hobby space. Centrally located with fast access to both Waterloo and Cedar Falls hubs, local colleges, and medical centers. Pet-friendly. Ready for immediate move-in or immediate addition to your rental portfolio.

Key facts

  • Local colleges
  • Real wood floors
  • 6,500 sq ft lot

Tags

REAL WOOD FLOORSFULL UNFINISHED BASEMENTQUIET WATERLOO NEIGHBORHOODFAST ACCESS TO WATERLOOFAST ACCESS TO CEDAR FALLSLOCAL COLLEGES

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space)
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof; Basement (block)
  • Exterior features: Concrete road access; Lot approximately 50 x 130 (0.15 acres); Zoned R-2

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: No fireplace; Basement with block construction

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $80k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $97 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($840 rent vs $80k).
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 4.2% in Waterloo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#74 in IA, #1,589 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Waterloo Community School District (urban): math 50% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #276 of 289 in IA (top 96%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 38% / reading 42%, grade F, #576 of 616 statewide, top 94%, 471 students, 86% FRL); George Washington Carver Academy (math 36% / reading 43%, grade F, #240 of 246 statewide, top 98%, 442 students, 91% FRL); East High School (math 39% / reading 58%, grade D, #317 of 336 statewide, top 94%, 1,022 students, 73% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 58% district-wide (25 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 98 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 287 units permitted in Black Hawk County in 2024 (67 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $553 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Black Hawk County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $22k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1941 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $80,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1941 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
7.74%
Cash-on-cash
5.18%
DSCR
1.23
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$66,432
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
745 Dawson St 0.11mi 1/1.0 (-1) 662 (-4%) 18mo $85,000 $128 68
640 Kern St 0.09mi 2/1.0 766 (+11%) 14mo $55,000 $72 66
658 Newton St 0.15mi 2/1.5 734 (+6%) 21mo $70,500 $96 64
433 Kern St 0.31mi 2/1.0 658 (-5%) 23mo $88,500 $134 58
1226 Lincoln St 0.58mi 2/1.0 720 (+4%) 10mo $68,000 $94 58
750 Newton St 0.20mi 2/1.0 773 (+12%) 17mo $140,000 $181 57
1118 Kern St 0.56mi 2/1.0 660 (-5%) 15mo $88,700 $134 54
314 Crescent Pl 0.56mi 2/1.0 772 (+12%) 2mo $37,000 $48 53
1124 Kern St 0.57mi 2/1.0 740 (+7%) 12mo $64,000 $86 52
707 Lincoln St 0.44mi 2/1.0 638 (-8%) 18mo $58,000 $91 52
324 Columbia St 0.50mi 2/1.0 752 (+9%) 13mo $40,000 $53 51
1145 Newton St 0.62mi 2/1.0 672 (-3%) 20mo $98,500 $147 49

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.67% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-4.1%
Equity multiple
0.84×
Total profit
$-3,565
Equity at exit
$11,928
10-year hold
IRR
9.5%
Equity multiple
1.86×
Total profit
$19,154
Equity at exit
$6,917

Cash invested: $22,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 50703

Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
98
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$840 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$420
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,372/yr
Insurance
$33
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$176
Net cashflow
$97

Break-even live

Break-even rent $718
Max offer price $80,000
Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $142 -5% $119 +0% $97 +5% $74 +10% $51
Rent -10% $30 -5% $64 +0% $97 +5% $130 +10% $163
Rate -1.0pp $137 -0.5pp $117 base $97 +0.5pp $76 +1.0pp $55

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$20,000
Closing costs
$2,400
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
661 Dawson St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 704 $895 $1.27 21d 1 0.01mi
657 Dawson St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 692 $810 $1.17 44d 1 0.01mi
1132 Ackermant St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 685 $825 $1.20 44d 1 0.41mi
307 Riehl St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 640 $825 $1.29 21d 1 0.43mi
1137 Columbia St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 588 $725 $1.23 21d 1 0.45mi
1124 Kern St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 740 $950 $1.28 44d 1 0.57mi
118 Harrison St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 600 $500 $0.83 44d 1 0.75mi
322 Lester St Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 672 $850 $1.26 44d 1 1.05mi
303 Franklin St Apt 2 Waterloo, IA 2.0 1.0 600 $650 $1.08 44d 1 1.06mi
21 W Jefferson St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 711 $1,410 $1.98 21d 6 1.13mi
515 Stokes Dr Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 664 $675 $1.02 44d 1 1.18mi
335 Cedar St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 540 $1,510 $2.80 21d 1 1.24mi
102 1/2 South St Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 668 $550 $0.82 21d 1 1.29mi
606 Sycamore St Unit A Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 622 $875 $1.41 44d 1 1.33mi
611 Sycamore St Unit 302 Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 550 $750 $1.36 21d 1 1.33mi
211 W Wellington St Unit 211 1/2 Wellington Waterloo, IA 1.0 1.0 600 $600 $1.00 44d 1 1.41mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    status $80,000 Pending 2 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $80,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 450-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $80,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,372 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,085
− Mortgage interest
−$4,481
− Property taxes
−$1,372
− Insurance
−$400
− Repairs & maintenance
−$807
− Management
−$807
− Depreciation
−$2,327
Taxable loss
−$109
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$26
After-tax cash flow
$1,187/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Waterloo Community School District
NCES district ID
1930480
Math proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$42,545
Composite
43.72/100
National rank
#2950
State rank
#276 of 289 in IA

Livability — Waterloo

Score
81/100
State rank
#74
US rank
#1589

Category grades

Amenities B+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Waterloo, IA
County
Black Hawk County · 112,933 people
City population
69,066
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
Population (ZIP)
17,952
Household income
$50,060
Rent vs Own
42.2% rent · 57.8% own
Severe rent burden
871.0

Population outlook (Black Hawk County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
139,716 people
By 2030
142,853 · +2.2%
By 2040
147,843 · +5.8%
By 2050
153,247 · +9.7%
By 2075
167,977 · +20.2%
By 2100
177,320 · +26.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.62)
Race & ethnicity
White 55% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Portuguese 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, Philippines, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Asian/Pacific 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Black Hawk

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 48.8% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-21.3pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 1.2pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.2 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.3 2012: D+20.0 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -117.18%
Current HPI
132.9478
Rent YoY
▲ 6.67%
Metro
Waterloo-Cedar Falls, IA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Rental Removed $810 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-06-11 Listed $80,000 NEIRBR as distributed by MLS GRID
  • 2026-03-08 Price Changed $810 APPFOLIO
  • 2026-02-06 Price Changed $825 APPFOLIO
  • 2025-12-18 Listed for Rent $850 APPFOLIO

Property tax history

+2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,372 · +8.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…