338 Ard Pl NW · Atlanta, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 23.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$199,999
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This Atlanta property is currently tenant-occupied, generating immediate income from Day 1, boasts ONE of the biggest lots in the neighborhood, and offers an incredible ADU (Accessory Dwelling Unit) conversion also can be converted to 3/2 or 4/2 to skyrocket your future valuation and rental ROI! ?? Tucked away in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with NO HOA, this solid brick ranch perfectly balances a premium, turn-key interior with an unmatched structural upside. Whether you want to buy and hold for steady cash flow or force massive equity through simple layout upgrades, this deal is a pure value play. THE PROPERTY HIGHLIGHTS: & acirc; & euro; & cent; Easy 3/2, 4/2, or ADU Conv
Key facts
- No hoa
- Solid brick ranch
- Built-in income
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Home design: Built in 1961
- Construction: Living area approximately 1050
- Exterior features: Located in the Adamsville subdivision
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($124/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (17.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $165k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
- Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $42k; list at $200k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.83% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.36%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.22%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 10.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $155,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 362 Ard Pl NW | 0.02mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (0%) | 1mo | $150,000 | $143 | 93 |
| 394 Argus Cir | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (0%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $114 | 90 |
| 317 Ard Pl NW | 0.05mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,050 (0%) | 8mo | $155,000 | $148 | 86 |
| 299 Ard Pl NW | 0.09mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-2%) | 8mo | $135,000 | $132 | 80 |
| 309 Hemphill School Rd NW | 0.10mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+9%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $192 | 68 |
| 211 Hemphill School Rd | 0.26mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,107 (+5%) | 11mo | $180,000 | $163 | 65 |
| 679 Bolton Rd NW | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 5mo | $123,000 | $123 | 54 |
| 3519 Adkins Rd NW | 0.57mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $170,000 | $170 | 54 |
| 3365 Delmar Ln NW | 0.59mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $73,000 | $73 | 49 |
| 3650 Adkins Rd NW | 0.63mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,025 (-2%) | 12mo | $265,000 | $259 | 48 |
| 664 Bolton Rd NW | 0.62mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,188 (+13%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $139 | 40 |
| 737 Bolton Rd NW | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,144 (+9%) | 11mo | $249,900 | $218 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-32,391
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- -8.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-29,970
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30331
- Home prices YoY
- -34.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 483
- Price-to-rent
- 10.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,651 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$347
- Net cashflow
- $10
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $124 | -5% $67 | +0% $10 | +5% $-46 | +10% $-103 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-120 | -5% $-55 | +0% $10 | +5% $76 | +10% $141 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $111 | -0.5pp $61 | base $10 | +0.5pp $-41 | +1.0pp $-94 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 37 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3466 Fairlane Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,495 | $1.57 | 25d | 1 | 0.18mi |
| 3669 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 6d | 2 | 0.27mi |
| 3456 Thompson Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 975 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 451 Fairlock Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1141 | $1,450 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 470 Bolton Rd NW Unit D1 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1100 | $1,395 | $1.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 3537 Fairburn Pl NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1484 | $2,000 | $1.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 3354 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,700 | $1.45 | 25d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 3774 Clovis Ct NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,445 | $1.45 | 22d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 3566 Bolfair Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $1,595 | $1.34 | 14d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 3610 Bolfair Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1178 | $1,900 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 586 Oakside Dr SW Unit B Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,065 | $0.99 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 586 Oakside Dr SW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1075 | $1,325 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 3188 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1124 | $2,400 | $2.14 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 842 Bonneville Ter NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,855 | $1.69 | 25d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 942 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,623 | $1.80 | 22d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 875 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,375 | $1.62 | 17d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 3440 Boulder Park Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,050 | $1.31 | 11d | 3 | 1.09mi |
| 110 Candlelight Ln SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1300 | $634 | $0.49 | 17d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 3915 Basil Way SW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1287 | $2,600 | $2.02 | 25d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 294 Brownlee Rd SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,050 | $1.11 | 17d | 2 | 1.20mi |
| 40 Candlelight Ln SW Unit A Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1098 | $1,500 | $1.37 | 25d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 40 Candlelight Ln SW Apt B Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1274 | $1,800 | $1.41 | 25d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 832 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,250 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 3230 Cushman Cir SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1143 | $1,200 | $1.05 | 8d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 841 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $1,895 | $1.41 | 17d | 1 | 1.28mi |
| 3136 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 800 | $1,250 | $1.56 | 20d | 5 | 1.30mi |
| 2875 Hedgewood Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,700 | $1.55 | 17d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 1040 Summerfield Way Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1378 | $2,150 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 1021 Harwell Rd NW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 1002 | $1,534 | $1.53 | 8d | 15 | 1.32mi |
| 1015 Hayden St Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1339 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 5d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 887 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1344 | $2,250 | $1.67 | 25d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 897 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1500 | $2,155 | $1.44 | 25d | 1 | 1.34mi |
| 722 Crestwell Cir #722 Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 3.0 | 1440 | $2,279 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 708 Crestwell Cir SW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1236 | $1,645 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 1.38mi |
| 1070 Bolton Rd NW Atlanta, GA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 1094 | $1,694 | $1.55 | 2d | 12 | 1.42mi |
| 1071 Bolton Rd NW Atlanta, GA | 3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1358 | $2,388 | $1.76 | 6d | 2 | 1.46mi |
| 2762 Oldknow Dr NW Atlanta, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $1,600 | $1.82 | 25d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 36 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $199,999 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $199,999 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $199,999 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $199,999 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $199,999 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $199,999 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $199,999 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $199,999 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $199,999 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $199,999 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $199,999 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $199,999 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $199,999 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-05-20$199,999 Active
-
2026-01-25historical $1,695
-
2025-11-26$1,695
-
2025-11-25historical $1,700
-
2025-11-25historical
-
2025-11-22price $200,000
-
2025-11-20price $1,700
-
2025-11-19price $195,000
-
2025-11-06
-
2025-09-28$205,000 New
-
2025-09-25historical
-
2025-09-25historical
-
2025-09-10price $205,000
-
2025-09-10price $205,000
-
2025-09-01$210,000 New
-
2025-09-01$210,000 Active
-
2025-08-28historical
-
2025-08-25price $206,000
-
2025-08-25$209,000 New
-
2025-08-22historical
-
2025-08-21$206,000 New
-
2018-07-20soldstatus $42,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,942 · $162/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,942 · $162/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,813
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$1,942
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,585
- − Management
- −$1,585
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable loss
- −$3,321
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$797
- After-tax cash flow
- $921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Atlanta Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 1300120
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 35% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,306
- Composite
- 27.27/100
- National rank
- #7006
- State rank
- #80 of 174 in GA
Livability — Atlanta
- Score
- 83/100
- State rank
- #6
- US rank
- #919
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Atlanta, GA
- County
- Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
- City population
- 629,525
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 62,567
- Household income
- $62,623
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 3748.0
Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,203,707 people
- By 2030
- 1,299,706 · +8.0%
- By 2040
- 1,488,256 · +23.6%
- By 2050
- 1,664,580 · +38.3%
- By 2075
- 2,036,072 · +69.2%
- By 2100
- 2,222,402 · +84.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fulton
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.38%
- Current HPI
- 204.5402
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
||
| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
||
Price history
+376.2% since first listed22 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Listed $199,999 FSBO.com
- 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $1,695 RENTSPREE
- 2025-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,695 RENTSPREE
- 2025-11-25 Rental Removed $1,700 GAMLS
- 2025-11-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-11-22 Price Changed $200,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-20 Price Changed $1,700 GAMLS
- 2025-11-19 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
- 2025-11-06 Listed for Rent — GAMLS
- 2025-09-28 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-09-25 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $205,000 GAMLS
- 2025-09-10 Price Changed $205,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $210,000 FMLS
- 2025-09-01 Listed $210,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-28 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-08-25 Price Changed $206,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-25 Listed $209,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-22 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-08-21 Listed $206,000 GAMLS
- 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+29.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,942 · -17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…