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338 Ard Pl NW
F Composite 33.47
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +13.6/30.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • DSCR +4.1/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$199,999

338 Ard Pl NW · Atlanta, GA 30331
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,050 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 29 Days on market
Built 1961 Est $155k · 29% over

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This Atlanta property is currently tenant-occupied, generating immediate income from Day 1, boasts ONE of the biggest lots in the neighborhood, and offers an incredible ADU (Accessory Dwelling Unit) conversion also can be converted to 3/2 or 4/2 to skyrocket your future valuation and rental ROI! ?? Tucked away in a quiet, friendly neighborhood with NO HOA, this solid brick ranch perfectly balances a premium, turn-key interior with an unmatched structural upside. Whether you want to buy and hold for steady cash flow or force massive equity through simple layout upgrades, this deal is a pure value play. THE PROPERTY HIGHLIGHTS: & acirc; & euro; & cent; Easy 3/2, 4/2, or ADU Conv

Key facts

  • No hoa
  • Solid brick ranch
  • Built-in income

Tags

INCREDIBLE ADU CONVERSIONNO HOASOLID BRICK RANCHPRIVATE BACKYARD PATIOBUILT-IN INCOMENEW MAJOR MECHANICALS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Home design: Built in 1961
  • Construction: Living area approximately 1050
  • Exterior features: Located in the Adamsville subdivision

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $10 ($124/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $165k (17.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $165k (17.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.4% vs local median 3.1% in Atlanta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 83/100 on livability (#6 in GA, #919 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, cost of living C-.
  • Atlanta Public Schools (urban): math 28% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #80 of 174 in GA (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 483 active listings in the ZIP; 37 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 29 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $42k; list at $200k implies a 376% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $165,109 (17.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1961 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.83%
Cap rate
6.36%
Cash-on-cash
0.22%
DSCR
1.01
GRM
10.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$155,400
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
362 Ard Pl NW 0.02mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (0%) 1mo $150,000 $143 93
394 Argus Cir 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (0%) 3mo $120,000 $114 90
317 Ard Pl NW 0.05mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,050 (0%) 8mo $155,000 $148 86
299 Ard Pl NW 0.09mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,025 (-2%) 8mo $135,000 $132 80
309 Hemphill School Rd NW 0.10mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+9%) 4mo $219,900 $192 68
211 Hemphill School Rd 0.26mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,107 (+5%) 11mo $180,000 $163 65
679 Bolton Rd NW 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 5mo $123,000 $123 54
3519 Adkins Rd NW 0.57mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 8mo $170,000 $170 54
3365 Delmar Ln NW 0.59mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 8mo $73,000 $73 49
3650 Adkins Rd NW 0.63mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,025 (-2%) 12mo $265,000 $259 48
664 Bolton Rd NW 0.62mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,188 (+13%) 4mo $165,000 $139 40
737 Bolton Rd NW 0.69mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,144 (+9%) 11mo $249,900 $218 35

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-16.4%
Equity multiple
0.42×
Total profit
$-32,391
Equity at exit
$29,821
10-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.46×
Total profit
$-29,970
Equity at exit
$17,292

Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30331

Home prices YoY
-34.2%
Rents YoY
2.6%
Active inventory
483
Price-to-rent
10.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,049
Tax from tax record
$162 /mo · $1,942/yr
Insurance
$83
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$10

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,638
Max offer price $199,999
Occupancy floor 94%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $124 -5% $67 +0% $10 +5% $-46 +10% $-103
Rent -10% $-120 -5% $-55 +0% $10 +5% $76 +10% $141
Rate -1.0pp $111 -0.5pp $61 base $10 +0.5pp $-41 +1.0pp $-94

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$50,000
Closing costs
$6,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 37 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
3466 Fairlane Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 950 $1,495 $1.57 25d 1 0.18mi
3669 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 800 $1,300 $1.62 6d 2 0.27mi
3456 Thompson Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 975 $1,750 $1.79 25d 1 0.28mi
451 Fairlock Ln NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1141 $1,450 $1.27 25d 1 0.32mi
470 Bolton Rd NW Unit D1 Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 1100 $1,395 $1.27 25d 1 0.41mi
3537 Fairburn Pl NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1484 $2,000 $1.35 25d 1 0.49mi
3354 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1170 $1,700 $1.45 25d 1 0.67mi
3774 Clovis Ct NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,445 $1.45 22d 1 0.76mi
3566 Bolfair Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1192 $1,595 $1.34 14d 1 0.84mi
3610 Bolfair Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.5 1178 $1,900 $1.61 25d 1 0.85mi
586 Oakside Dr SW Unit B Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1075 $1,065 $0.99 15d 1 0.86mi
586 Oakside Dr SW Unit A Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,325 $1.23 15d 1 0.86mi
3188 Delmar Ln NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1124 $2,400 $2.14 25d 1 0.91mi
842 Bonneville Ter NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1100 $1,855 $1.69 25d 1 0.96mi
942 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 900 $1,623 $1.80 22d 1 1.00mi
875 Fairburn Rd NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 17d 1 1.02mi
3440 Boulder Park Dr SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 11d 3 1.09mi
110 Candlelight Ln SW Atlanta, GA 1.0 1.0 1300 $634 $0.49 17d 1 1.11mi
3915 Basil Way SW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1287 $2,600 $2.02 25d 1 1.20mi
294 Brownlee Rd SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.5 950 $1,050 $1.11 17d 2 1.20mi
40 Candlelight Ln SW Unit A Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.0 1098 $1,500 $1.37 25d 1 1.25mi
40 Candlelight Ln SW Apt B Atlanta, GA 3.0 3.0 1274 $1,800 $1.41 25d 1 1.26mi
832 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,250 $1.50 25d 1 1.27mi
3230 Cushman Cir SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 1143 $1,200 $1.05 8d 1 1.27mi
841 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1344 $1,895 $1.41 17d 1 1.28mi
3136 Martin Luther King Jr Dr SW Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 800 $1,250 $1.56 20d 5 1.30mi
2875 Hedgewood Dr NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,700 $1.55 17d 1 1.30mi
1040 Summerfield Way Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1378 $2,150 $1.56 25d 1 1.32mi
1021 Harwell Rd NW Atlanta, GA 1.0–2.0 1.0–1.5 1002 $1,534 $1.53 8d 15 1.32mi
1015 Hayden St Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.5 1339 $2,550 $1.90 5d 1 1.33mi
887 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1344 $2,250 $1.67 25d 1 1.33mi
897 Ambient Way SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1500 $2,155 $1.44 25d 1 1.34mi
722 Crestwell Cir #722 Atlanta, GA 2.0 3.0 1440 $2,279 $1.58 21d 1 1.37mi
708 Crestwell Cir SW Atlanta, GA 2.0 2.5 1236 $1,645 $1.33 25d 1 1.38mi
1070 Bolton Rd NW Atlanta, GA 1.0–3.0 1.0–3.0 1094 $1,694 $1.55 2d 12 1.42mi
1071 Bolton Rd NW Atlanta, GA 3.0 2.0–2.5 1358 $2,388 $1.76 6d 2 1.46mi
2762 Oldknow Dr NW Atlanta, GA 2.0 1.0 880 $1,600 $1.82 25d 1 1.50mi

Listing history 36 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $199,999 Active 29 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $199,999 Active 28 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $199,999 Active 27 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $199,999 Active 26 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,999 Active 24 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $199,999 Active 23 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $199,999 Active 20 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $199,999 Active 19 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $199,999 Active 18 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $199,999 Active 15 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $199,999 Active 14 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $199,999 Active 13 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $199,999 Active 12 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $199,999 Active 11 DOM
  15. 2026-05-20
    listed $199,999 Active
  16. 2026-01-25
    historical $1,695
  17. 2025-11-26
    listed $1,695
  18. 2025-11-25
    historical $1,700
  19. 2025-11-25
    historical
  20. 2025-11-22
    price $200,000
  21. 2025-11-20
    price $1,700
  22. 2025-11-19
    price $195,000
  23. 2025-11-06
    listed
  24. 2025-09-28
    listed $205,000 New
  25. 2025-09-25
    historical
  26. 2025-09-25
    historical
  27. 2025-09-10
    price $205,000
  28. 2025-09-10
    price $205,000
  29. 2025-09-01
    listed $210,000 New
  30. 2025-09-01
    listed $210,000 Active
  31. 2025-08-28
    historical
  32. 2025-08-25
    price $206,000
  33. 2025-08-25
    listed $209,000 New
  34. 2025-08-22
    historical
  35. 2025-08-21
    listed $206,000 New
  36. 2018-07-20
    soldstatus $42,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,942 · $162/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,942 · $162/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 23% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,813
− Mortgage interest
−$11,203
− Property taxes
−$1,942
− Insurance
−$1,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− Depreciation
−$5,818
Taxable loss
−$3,321
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$797
After-tax cash flow
$921/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Atlanta Public Schools
NCES district ID
1300120
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -6.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$48,306
Composite
27.27/100
National rank
#7006
State rank
#80 of 174 in GA

Livability — Atlanta

Score
83/100
State rank
#6
US rank
#919

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living C- Crime A Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Atlanta, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
City population
629,525
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
62,567
Household income
$62,623
Rent vs Own
46.8% rent · 53.2% own
Severe rent burden
3748.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.38%
Current HPI
204.5402
Rent YoY
▲ 2.63%
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+376.2% since first listed
22 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-20 Listed $199,999 FSBO.com
  • 2026-01-25 Rental Removed $1,695 RENTSPREE
  • 2025-11-26 Listed for Rent $1,695 RENTSPREE
  • 2025-11-25 Rental Removed $1,700 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-25 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-11-22 Price Changed $200,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-20 Price Changed $1,700 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-19 Price Changed $195,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-11-06 Listed for Rent GAMLS
  • 2025-09-28 Listed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listing Removed FMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $205,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-09-10 Price Changed $205,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $210,000 FMLS
  • 2025-09-01 Listed $210,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Price Changed $206,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-25 Listed $209,000 GAMLS
  • 2025-08-22 Listing Removed GAMLS
  • 2025-08-21 Listed $206,000 GAMLS
  • 2018-07-20 Sold (Public Records) $42,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+29.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,942 · -17.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…