116 Herwig Bluff Rd · Slidell, LA
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.54%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
*** NORTHSHORE HIGH SCHOOL DISTRICT *** You will be proud to play host in this well maintained contemporary style home in great location of Cross Gates Subdivision. This home has plenty to offer including a HUGE den with soaring ceiling & wall of windows that looks out to the backyard oasis complete with large covered patio & inground pool. Kitchen has convenient pass thru breakfast bar, granite counters & stainless appliances. The formal dining features a radiant wood burning fireplace. Gorgeous vinyl wood floors through out...NO CARPET. Spacious primary suite has separate closets & full bath with granite vanity sink. Large inside laundry with sink. Plus, newer A/C, over size 2 car garage, plenty of storage space. Schedule your appointment today!
Key facts
- Backyard oasis
- Huge den
- Large covered patio
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $253k (11.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $253k (11.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#57 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- St. Tammany Parish (suburban): math 43% / reading 55% proficiency, ranked #11 of 98 in LA (top 11%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 589 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,064 units permitted in St. Tammany Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($89k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Tammany County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 26 sale attempts since 20y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.41%
- DSCR
- 1.06
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $357,833
- List price
- $285,000
- Delta
- -20.35%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 511 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.15mi | 4/2.0 | 2,281 (+8%) | 4mo | $325,000 | $142 | 77 |
| 59398 Spring Dr | 0.32mi | 4/2.0 | 2,076 (-2%) | 7mo | $249,900 | $120 | 76 |
| 307 N Buckingham Dr | 0.37mi | 4/2.0 | 2,260 (+7%) | 1mo | $265,000 | $117 | 71 |
| 59380 Summer Rd | 0.39mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,939 (-8%) | 3mo | $207,600 | $107 | 61 |
| 651 Whitney Dr | 0.59mi | 4/2.0 | 2,194 (+4%) | 7mo | $314,500 | $143 | 60 |
| 543 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.45mi | 4/2.0 | 2,328 (+10%) | 3mo | $300,000 | $129 | 59 |
| 103 Wales Ct | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 | 2,202 (+4%) | 7mo | $330,000 | $150 | 59 |
| 632 Whitney Dr | 0.65mi | 4/2.5 | 2,183 (+3%) | 5mo | $384,000 | $176 | 58 |
| 206 Goldenwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 | 2,050 (-3%) | 7mo | $200,990 | $98 | 54 |
| 373 Autumn Lakes Rd | 0.45mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,353 (+11%) | 0mo | $348,000 | $148 | 53 |
| 245 Cross Gates Blvd | 0.64mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,284 (+8%) | 1mo | $345,000 | $151 | 49 |
| 153 Silverwood Dr | 0.74mi | 4/2.5 | 2,411 (+14%) | 6mo | $333,000 | $138 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.72% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-43,432
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- -9.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.46×
- Total profit
- $-43,012
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 70461
- Home prices YoY
- -33.0%
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 589
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$294 /mo · $3,530/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$532
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $255 | -5% $174 | +0% $94 | +5% $13 | +10% $-68 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-106 | -5% $-6 | +0% $94 | +5% $194 | +10% $294 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $237 | -0.5pp $166 | base $94 | +0.5pp $20 | +1.0pp $-55 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 507 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2045 | $2,150 | $1.05 | 24d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $3,000 | $1.33 | 12d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 361 Autumn Lakes Rd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2250 | $3,500 | $1.56 | 44d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 555 Cross Gates Blvd Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2300 | $2,425 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.56mi |
| 1305 Spring Ridge Cir Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2950 | $3,350 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 812 N Lake Verret Ct Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,500 | $1.34 | 24d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 814 Lake Borgne Ct Slidell, LA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1560 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 22d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 403 Sandpiper Ct Slidell, LA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2060 | $2,650 | $1.29 | 4d | 1 | 1.45mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $285,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-03-06$295,000 Active 773-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
* * * NORTHSHORE HIGH SCHOOL DISTRICT * * * You will be proud to play host in this well maintained contemporary style home in great location of Cross Gates Subdivision. This home has plenty to offer including a HUGE den with soaring ceiling & wall of windows that looks out to the backyard oasis complete with large covered patio & inground pool. Kitchen has convenient pass thru breakfast bar, granite counters & stainless appliances. The formal dining features a radiant wood burning fireplace. Gorgeous vinyl wood floors through out. .. NO CARPET. Spacious primary suite has separate closets & full bath with granite vanity sink. Large inside laundry with sink. Plus, newer A/C, over size 2 car garage, plenty of storage space. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2026-03-06$295,000 Active 794-char remark
Show marketing remark (794 chars)
* * * NORTHSHORE HIGH SCHOOL DISTRICT * * * You will be proud to play host in this well maintained contemporary style home in great location of Cross Gates Subdivision. This home has plenty to offer including a HUGE den with soaring ceiling & wall of windows that looks out to the backyard oasis complete with large covered patio & inground pool. Kitchen has convenient pass thru breakfast bar, granite counters & stainless appliances. The formal dining features a radiant wood burning fireplace. Gorgeous vinyl wood floors through out. .. NO CARPET. Spacious primary suite has separate closets & full bath with granite vanity sink. Large inside laundry with sink. Plus, newer A/C, over size 2 car garage, plenty of storage space. Schedule your appointment today!
-
2025-04-18$290,000 Active
-
2025-01-12price $280,000
-
2025-01-09price $280,000
-
2024-10-24price $289,000
-
2024-10-24price $289,000
-
2024-06-26price $299,000
-
2024-05-03price $305,000
-
2024-03-29price $309,000
-
2024-02-07$299,000 Active
-
2024-02-07$280,000
-
2023-07-14soldstatus $281,500
-
2023-07-13soldstatus $281,500 Closed
-
2023-06-19historical Active Under Contract
-
2023-05-29price $294,900
-
2023-05-24status Active
-
2023-05-19status Pending
-
2023-05-04$294,900
-
2023-05-04$304,900 Active
-
2020-06-01soldstatus $229,000
-
2020-05-29soldstatus $229,000 Closed
-
2020-04-15status Pending
-
2020-03-25$229,500 Active
-
2020-03-25$229,500
-
2018-07-12historical
-
2018-04-30price $275,000
-
2018-04-14price $289,000
-
2018-03-23price $299,000
-
2018-03-18status Active
-
2018-03-06historical
-
2018-02-25$275,000
-
2018-02-25$330,000 Active
-
2017-05-30soldstatus $155,000 Sold
-
2017-04-18historical Pending Continue to Show
-
2017-04-18$149,900 Active
-
2017-04-17$149,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast LA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,530 · $294/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,530 · $294/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X · 54% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,399
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$3,530
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,432
- − Management
- −$2,432
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable loss
- −$3,675
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$882
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,007/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Tammany Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2201650
- Math proficiency
- 43% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 55% ▼ -26.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,752
- Composite
- 43.04/100
- National rank
- #3098
- State rank
- #11 of 98 in LA
Livability — Slidell
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #57
- US rank
- #7673
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Tammany Parish · 228,296 people
- City population
- 95,511
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,808
- Household income
- $89,003
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 328.0
Population outlook (St. Tammany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 286,725 people
- By 2030
- 304,175 · +6.1%
- By 2040
- 336,203 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 364,590 · +27.2%
- By 2075
- 433,362 · +51.1%
- By 2100
- 470,333 · +64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 24% Two or more races 14% Hispanic / Latino 11% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 9% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 7% Chinese 1% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Tammany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.8) · D 27.3% · R 71.1% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.6pp toward D · 2008: -53.4pp · 2024: -43.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.8 2020: R+44.2 2016: R+50.8 2012: R+52.2 2008: R+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.47%
- Current HPI
- 151.3353
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.72%
- Metro
- New Orleans-Metairie, LA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
||
| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
|
||
| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+78.9% since first listed62 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-06 Listed $295,000 GSREIN
- 2026-03-06 Listed $295,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-04-18 Listed $290,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-12 Price Changed $280,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2025-01-09 Price Changed $280,000 GSREIN
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $289,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-10-24 Price Changed $289,000 GSREIN
- 2024-06-26 Price Changed $299,000 GSREIN
- 2024-05-03 Price Changed $305,000 GSREIN
- 2024-03-29 Price Changed $309,000 GSREIN
- 2024-02-07 Listed $280,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2024-02-07 Listed $299,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2023-07-14 Sold (Public Records) $281,500 Public Records
- 2023-07-13 Sold (MLS) $281,500 GSREIN
- 2023-06-19 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2023-05-29 Price Changed $294,900 GSREIN
- 2023-05-24 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2023-05-19 Pending — GSREIN
- 2023-05-04 Listed $304,900 GSREIN
- 2023-05-04 Listed $294,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $229,000 Public Records
- 2020-05-29 Sold (MLS) $229,000 GSREIN
- 2020-04-15 Pending — GSREIN
- 2020-03-25 Listed $229,500 AcadianaMLS
- 2020-03-25 Listed $229,500 GSREIN
- 2018-07-12 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2018-04-30 Price Changed $275,000 GSREIN
- 2018-04-14 Price Changed $289,000 GSREIN
- 2018-03-23 Price Changed $299,000 GSREIN
- 2018-03-18 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2018-03-06 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2018-02-25 Listed $330,000 GSREIN
- 2018-02-25 Listed $275,000 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-05-30 Sold (MLS) $155,000 GSREIN
- 2017-04-18 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2017-04-18 Listed $149,900 GSREIN
- 2017-04-17 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2017-04-17 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2017-03-30 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2017-02-03 Pending — GSREIN
- 2017-01-31 Price Changed $149,900 GSREIN
- 2017-01-31 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2017-01-30 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2017-01-26 Pending — GSREIN
- 2017-01-26 Listed $164,900 GSREIN
- 2016-12-14 Pending — GSREIN
- 2016-11-29 Relisted — GSREIN
- 2016-11-23 Contingent — GSREIN
- 2016-11-15 Price Changed $164,900 GSREIN
- 2016-10-15 Price Changed $173,000 GSREIN
- 2016-09-16 Price Changed $179,900 GSREIN
- 2016-08-18 Price Changed $199,900 GSREIN
- 2016-08-14 Listed $214,900 GSREIN
- 2016-08-12 Listed $149,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2016-08-06 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2016-07-24 Price Changed $224,900 GSREIN
- 2016-06-23 Listed $234,900 GSREIN
- 2016-06-21 Listed $224,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2015-12-18 Listing Removed — GSREIN
- 2015-11-18 Listed $209,900 GSREIN
- 2015-11-17 Listed $209,900 AcadianaMLS
- 2006-08-12 Listed $164,900 AcadianaMLS
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $3,530 · -3.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…